Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

news.ycombinator.com

81–90 of 109 posts

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#81

With revenue you mean, after substracting your salaries or plain revenue like in "money getting in"? If in one year this only made 100$... Move on, fast. My (very) small blog makes more in a year, with far less work.

To even have a chance at Ramen profitability, you need a couple of grand a month.

With three non-tech cofounders... hmmm, get out, tastefully.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#82
I have two experiences here that may be relevant.

Some years ago I was in a comparable position, only I was working full-time at a salaried job when I was approached to be a partner in a new startup. The elevator pitch and cocktail-napkin numbers were engaging, and it looked like we could bootstrap it with resources we already had on hand and be profitable within a year.

Except that six months in, we had no business plan. Now, I am not an MBA type, and I think that the value of the business plan is more that it's a self-check: if you say "Based on our projections, we should have 100,000 users and be realizing $10,000 a month in subscription fees and ad revenues by December 2012," and in December you have 35 users you know something is wrong; and if in December you see $1.2 million in revenues then you know you're doing something right and you'd better start doing more of it quickly.

Without a business plan on paper, we had no way of gauging even that the founders were on the same page as to what "success" meant, let alone whether we were succeeding or not. After six months of asking for this, I said, "I can't work a second full-time job on spec, and my business questions are not being taken seriously because I'm just the guy who knows web servers and streaming video." And I walked.

You might try an approach like that: pick up a basic business textbook and ask questions. When do they expect to see revenues? Do they have an exit strategy where they make themselves attractive to a large company and get bought for kerjillions of dollars? Do they have a non-exit strategy where they bootstrap themselves to profitability? If they can't answer that question, get out before the paychecks start bouncing.

My other experience was with a startup. It was five non-technical people - three who had lots of experience in the problem domain, one who had experience in business development, and one who had experience in data processing software development for insurance companies and bill collectors. And the goal of the startup was to put a certain experience online. The three experts in the problem domain were full of (and I say this without irony) excellent ideas as to what the software should do.

The principal structural problem that we ran into over and over again is that the only partner (and thus the only voice that was taken seriously) who had any experience in software development came from a domain where the business analysts would issue a mostly-clear set of rules and it was the job of the programmers to turn that into COBOL. So their first approach was to hire a consulting company to build the product for them. That was an almost completely unmitigated disaster: the only real benefit was that it let them get a product off the ground and start realizing some revenue. This was offset by the fast realization that the consulting company was milking them for all they were worth because the consulting company didn't expect them to last, which then led to a very acrimonious parting of the ways followed by lawsuits. And then they hired their own developers.

So the pattern we fell into, which you will probably find strangely familiar, was that the five partners would gather in the conference room once a month and come out with with two or three good solid ideas. They would then instruct the developers (two coders, a web designer, and a database analyst) to make it happen. We would start on it, hampered by the horrendous infrastructure that the consultants had left (but there was no time to address technical debt). We would get maybe halfway through implementing one of the ideas, while putting out fires and serving as tier 3 tech support, and then the next monthly meeting would happen.

That was the job where I learned to give development estimates in person-days on task, rather than in calendar days, and where I picked up the habit of automatically appending "assuming you don't change the requirements in the interim, because that will make it take longer" to estimates.

So what happened there? Well, I was the first developer to leave. Within a year, all of the developers had left, the partner in charge of software development had also left (no doubt with a massive golden handshake for her efforts) and the company had been folded into one of the CEO-partner's other companies, possibly with the recognition that it would never be fully profitable.

Based on my experience: if there is no technical person competent in the development style you're working in among the partners, if the only technical people are employees rather than partners, stay away. There may be exceptions, but generally partners have a lot more credibility with other partners than employees do, and if you as an employee are saying "this will take X person-days to implement and will not be profitable" and a partner is saying "this will be trivial to implement and I read in Infoworld about a company that did this and made ten billion dollars a day!" then the partner will be believed and you will not. No matter how many times you are right and that partner (and Infoworld) are wrong.

Summary of the summary: no technical partner means you shouldn't have signed on in the first place; no path to profitability and no exit strategy means you should get out while you can.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#83
post #59

This may sound counter intuitive, but you have far more to lose by staying than by moving on. In fact you face a couple significant risks that increase the longer you're there. First, the founders may sense your lack of "enthusiasm" and realize that your chances of leaving are high. To protect the company's reputation from the public vote of no confidence implicit in your quitting, they may decide to take the initiat…

Good advice, less: > "Imagine trying to explain to a hiring manager that you were fired because you planned to quit. Unfortunately, no one will believe you." If you are a decent person who can solve problems in the real world, you don't have to worry about explaining yourself to anyone. Ever.

A beautiful theory.

However, the bean counters and glad-handers who stand between you and a paycheck often ask difficult but irrelevant question, and if you don't worry about explaining yourself to them, you make it much harder to get that paycheck.

You get a lot farther with the ability to solve real-world problems and MBA-appropriate skills than with just the ability to solve real-world problems, if only because there is such high demand for technically inclined people with people skills and business skills.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#84

I am not the first and probably won't be the last to say: you should probably leave. Find another job, and leave this one. What does "well connected" mean? If they were really well-connected, you'd probably have funding... and VCs with an active interest in getting users for the product. Well-connected means that VCs who don't fund you will mentor you until you are fundable. It means that you can get TechCrunch cover…

My thoughts exactly. Well connected people essentially raise money on no-cap convertible notes in their seed round at a sum of a few million dollars with no product yet. That means their VCs and angels want in so badly that they essentially give free money to get preference for the series A in a pay to play sort of situation. The founders may be stingy on equity, but they do not have a problem paying at or above market salaries. Also, I would be very skeptical of any CTO that has not worked as an engineer at some point.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#85
post #32

Haven't you answered your own question? ~ No users ~ No revenue ~ No investment ~ No developer founders Sounds like you know what to do, but you're still in a state of denial.

Because he's employee #1. I bet he's thinking there's some great way to come out on top, like "Tell them that you now require 40% equity to continue, 55% of voting rights, immediate cliff, and that if this is more than they can do you must now pursue other options". Well, sorry, there's nothing like that that you can do and 'come out on top.' Just cut your losses. :(

40% of nothing is nothing.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#86
post #49

Everybody keeps telling you that you ought to leave, but that advice isn't terribly helpful, since it is obvious that you already know you need to do that. Often, many of the most difficult decisions in life are not what you should do - because deep down, you already know - but how do it. This is true for your decision right now. A few thoughts for you on that: 1. Irrevocably commit to doing it. Book a meeting with t…

I think there should be a step 0 0. Get your CV out there So you can start some leads and if they ask for some weeks notice, you'll have something going (at least some leads) when you're no longer there

Besides the fact that circulating resumes is just about the worst way to find a new gig, I don't understand the mentality that suggests he should give notice before finding a place to land.

Find a new job, then give notice.

I've worked in this field since 1995 and am an employer at a fairly sizable team now and I'll tell you this is pretty close to industry standard. Competent employers do not have an expectation that they're going to get a heads-up before you start interviewing.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#87
Maintaining the good graces and friendship with the founders and moving on aren't mutually exclusive. They're not stupid, just level with them: the traction achieved isn't what you aspired to and you want to work on something else. Be assured that they respect the technical contributions you've made, if they can't respect your aspirations than their good graces aren't worth worrying about.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#88
I was in a similar situation two years ago. There is no one to blame but our lack of experience. We did the same thing: no growth? let's code up some random new feature (which makes you feel like you are actually doing something, but you aren't). I also don't think we made a great duo, but I'm still friends with my co-founder and we both agree we were just wasting time and it was best to leave (yours will realize that soon enough).

My advice: leave. Yes, you will wonder about the "what-ifs", but you have a bright future ahead. For example, I started a new company a few months ago with a friend, and we have already grown way more in a few months than my last company did in two years, and we are growing month after month (despite $0 in funding and two YC rejections :)).

You don't need investors. Maybe find a job, try some ideas on the side, and charge for them. You might be surprised what you are capable of.

Re: Ask HN: losing faith in the startup where I'm employee #1

#90
I was in a similar situation in a 2-person startup. My advice, GTFO ASAP. YOu'll find more opportunities, your reputation will be fine. You have now just wasted one irretrievable year of your life. Time is the most valuable commodity which you can NEVEER get back. Don't waste anymore. GTFO now
Post reply on HN