Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

news.ycombinator.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

791–800 of 1001 posts

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#791

Post by childintime »

BenoitP wrote: post #779

1. Hardware: The only way to get more performance will be to adapting it to the workload. We're going to see a lot more special purpose chips. "Managed Language Chips" with hw accelerated garbage collection. The Map operation of BigData's MapReduce will be executed in-place in RAM with vast parallelism. RISC-V will have picked up steam and start chipping away in open-source mode at the Intels and NVIDIAs. Stacked com…

Near a depression are you?

> SpaceX crash-lands something on the Moon (before the first half) and Mars (after the first half)

Well, that or Musk rightfully claims the next decade, just like the last, where he came out of nothing. If so, and given a decline of the USA, a climate of desperation means he ends up elected president.

Well then I see what you see, when you say you want him to crash-land ;)

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#792

Post by sktrdie »

- The PC as we know it will die and everything will be done through cellphones/tablets. This means that the mouse and keyboard will probably die as well and apps will adapt to other more common interfaces such as voice-commands.

- Social networks that are less "company controlled" will become more popular: users will be able to change the algorithms behind what their social networks are showing them. They'll also be able to prove that the networks haven't "hampered" the data in any particular way. These technologies will help the laymen to better filter out fake news and we'll have less "flath earthers" groups becoming popular.

- AI techniques (machine learning / neural networks) will not just be useful for apps, but will be part of the development process itself: our IDEs will have powerful AI technology to help us code.

- Solitude apps will be even more specific: we'll be able to find/filter people with very particular interests and hang out with them. Finding your partner or best friends through apps will be even more common.

- Cities might experiment with shared-living areas where people live together with one another in common places and are incentivised to participate in activities with each other with a stronger push towards community rather than isolation.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#793

Post by mdgrech23 »

screye wrote: post #781

1. Electric cars become the norm. All cars are fully autonomous on highways. A driverless highway transport service will go mainstream in some states. (California) 2. China will undergo a major recession, as manufacturing moves to Africa and US maintains its trade war with China across Govts. 3. The best performing stock will be a meat substitute company 4. VR will take off big time. Concerns about VR porn being too…

You had me till cargo pants...

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#794

Post by pgcj_poster »

Wordpress will remain the most popular CMS.

ChromeOS and Android will merge into one product with Fuchsia as the kernel.

Donald Trump will be re-elected.

IPFS will not catch on.

ActionScript will make a comeback.

Bill Gates will give away all his money and join a monastery.

Universities will go back to teaching LISP in intro programming courses.

The FSF will buy out Microsoft.

At least one major country will outlaw cash and make everyone use Bitcoin.

Facebook will become "the real world."

Scotland will leave the UK, but France will join it.

PhP programmers will be found guilty of violating the Geneva convention.

Paul "the people's hammer" Graham will lead a successful communist revolution.

No celebrities will die.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#795

Post by el_cujo »

safog wrote: post #306
air7 wrote: post #132

Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…

I think these predictions are way too safe, to the point that they aren't predictions at all. These are all very widely accepted views already (in the tech community / HN atleast) which explains why this comment is top currently.

>they aren't predictions at all

Sure they are, it's a nice counterpoint to the people who think in 10 years we'll have flying cars and a fully immersive VR matrix and nobody will have a real job since AI and robots will do everything for us.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#797

Post by warrenm »

tonyedgecombe wrote: post #686
niyazpk wrote: post #453

This is fun. Here are some of my predictions: By 2030: 1. Google shuts down at least one of Pixel Phones, Gmail, Google Cloud. Even after a decade, Google is not able to make a successful social-network or messaging application. 2. Stock market: Microsoft and Amazon at-least doubles in MarketCap. AMD will be at-least 4 times what it is now. Tesla will be 5 times by the end of the decade. FB stays about the same! 3. F…

I'd put money on Tesla being bought by another manufacturer, possibly Ford or FIAT.

That'd be one HELUVA leveraged buy-out ... especially because Tesla owns (or partially owns) SolarCity and other aspects of Musk's empire

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#799

Post by im3w1l »

rraghur wrote: post #500

1. Renewables are dominant source of energy. Every new house is energy positive. Wind and solar are primary for industrial sources. 2. ICE vehicles are quaint. New electric vehicles sold overtakes ICE vehicles sometime around 2027 - 2029. 3. Autonomous vehicles L4/L5 are still 'just around the corner' 4. Ubiquitous Gigabit wifi/cellular/sat data across most of the world. 5. Masses still don't care about privacy. 6. N…

> 2. ICE vehicles are quaint. New electric vehicles sold overtakes ICE vehicles sometime around 2027 - 2029.

There will be a long lag between majority of sales are electric and majority of cars on the road are electric. ICE will still be majority on the road by the end of 2029. For this reason, ICE will not be quaint.

Post reply on HN