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Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?

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Re: Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?

#771
post #621

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, those asymptom case can also infect others. In all likeliness they will infect others, multiple others. So if epidemiological root trauce is done right, we would find those asymptom carrier.

This doesn't mean those cases are "asymptomatic". Most people who get the disease fare about as they would with a flu. I'd also venture to guess that most people do not go to the hospital unless things are really bad (e.g. they can't breathe on their own). Furthermore, because not everyone at the hospital gets tested, I'd also guess that there's a number of cases where deaths are misattributed to plain old flu, too,…

Well. How is common flu any different? Most people don't get tested and they just recover, if any, a lot more don't. So seeing those two numbers on the same page should mean something, even if you doubt the accuracy based on the assumption a large quantity of people aren't tested.

Re: Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?

#772

There are three things to consider: 1) Even if they contained it inside the UK, it will be imported every day by people returning from the continent/USA. Unlike the quick flu tests, its 2+days for a result in testing 2) Vaccination at scale is a year+ out (as in at least may 2021) 3) flu season is only 7 months away, which means doing this all again, but with a newer version of the virus. This virus might be more mel…

update

Given the new data, I'm changing my opinion to insane.

I think we are two weeks away from northern italy in london, but with 1/4 of the equipment.

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