731–740 of 1001 posts
1. No autonomous cars 2. Will be at least 2 tech starwards that go away due to financial or labor violations 3. World War involving China, Africa will be pulled into this one 4. Test camps on another planet 5. South America will become more developed. 6. Recession 7. More economic challenges in Western Europe, Canada, and the US 8. Mexico: nothing changes 9. South east asia and india labor unions. 10. Australia: bank…
Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…
Man! You really know how to drop a bummer for your last one :(
2. Interval combustion engines are finally seen as the bane of mankind. Electric cars become commonplace. Petrol is only used in planes and boats.
3. The world gets used to negative credit rates. Some companies abuse this system and a few large bankruptcies threaten to pop the bubble. The central banks massively inject money to prevent systemic collapse.
4. Remote work becomes the norm. Real estate prices in large hubs go down a bit, but not much.
5. South East Asia becomes the new silicon valley, welcoming a horde of digital nomads.
5. Hurricanes gain in strength and some coastlines are redrawn.
6. Trump-like governments are elected all over the Western world. Global trade slows down a bit. People get happier overall. Global Super richs are a bit less rich and way less global.
7. Fully autonomous Electric cars are there but only for niche use (touristic islands, Gated communities). They are slow and uncool.
8. Intel and Boeing go under. US federal government save both companies with taxpayer money. Both companies are cut in pieces and resold to competitors.
* AI and expert systems in design.
* People WILL care about privacy
* VR really takes off
* Very few political changes.
* Self driving cars don't become a thing until 2030s, after which society changes dramatically.
Here's some 1. Civil war in China 2. A new, significant non iOS/Android OS in mobile 3. Uber/Lyft will gradually shift to a unionized, national taxi company 4. Nothing significant will be done about Climate Change, and it won't matter. Some new environmental issue will be talked about instead. 5. A third political party will become significant in the US 6. There will be a major Christian missionary movement from the…
Any rationale for 8 ?
I kinda think any other car company could make the cars Tesla does more efficiently.
But then again who knows :).
Thanks to Einstein we live in a 4D reality, 3 spatial dimensions and the dimension of time.
In the next 10 years I predict our understanding of physics will evolve (with a confirmation through observation) from us being 3D beings living in a 4D reality to...something more.
If I could personally lead the charge on any changes in the next 10 years...I would eradicate all new cases of childhood type 2 diabetes. Sadly this has been achievable and avoidable since the first case of childhood type 2 diabetes was diagnosed in 1983. Unfortunately, I don't expect or predict there will be any gains, only more and more children diagnosed with this terrible disease (my prediction: many as 25-50% of children) by the end of the next decade.
1) European countries become increasingly poor and economically irrelevant relative to the United States and Asia. EU breaks up.
2) Climate change is surpassed by ground water depletion as the most important problem, ecologically. Not that the former gets any better...
3) No world wars, but many violent internal movements.
4) Most governments triple down on surveillance. Nothing useful comes of it but practical consequences turn out to be pretty rare.
5) Disney starts making high budget live or Lion King style CGI adaptations of anime
6) Social mobility grinds to a halt and more and more people are employed in increasingly personal attentive service jobs
7) Liberal coastal states push for a modified governing system which allocates more power to states that generate wealth
1. People finally realize that wind and solar are not going to replace coal any time soon. Nuclear goes back in fashion. China and Russia lead the way. 2. Interval combustion engines are finally seen as the bane of mankind. Electric cars become commonplace. Petrol is only used in planes and boats. 3. The world gets used to negative credit rates. Some companies abuse this system and a few large bankruptcies threaten t…
I predict we will have electric cars widely available by 2030, IFF car manufacturers stop trying to make them autonomous at the same time. Consider the Chevy Volt [1]: it's just an electric car. It does not include any autonomous capabilities. Furthermore, electric charging stations will be more common. Existing gas stations will have charging stations added, or they are abandoned all together and new charging stations (maybe "refuel" stations) will be built.
The world surely needs electric vehicles sooner rather than later. This will help climate change due to reduced emissions from vehicles.
However, I don't think the autonomous part will be figured out by 2030. I predict progress will slow. More government oversight will be applied due to the 737 MAX issue [2] and self-driving cars killing people [3][4]. Due to these issues, general distrust in computer-driven-machines (airplanes, cars) will increase. People will go back to non-connected / offline / "dumb" devices, including and especially their vehicles.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chevrolet_Volt
[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_737_MAX_groundings
[3]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Elaine_Herzberg
[4]: https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/03/tesla-says-autopilot-wa...
Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…
You had me up until here: 'Web development matures and a "standard" stack is accepted, all in JS.' The Node ecosystem is a mess and it starts with core being a hodgepodge of deprecated mush. I think it's more likely that wasm picks up steam. Rails, PHP, Django, etc aren't going anywhere.
The former will keep going and keep solving problems, but it'll be relatively quiet in the grand scheme of things just like it is now. The JS ecosystem will continue to thrive in the latter world where there's more VC money, hype & RAM than common sense, so we'll keep hearing about it. As long as there's enough VC money to fuel the fire this situation will keep going (along with NPM's storage expenses growing alarmingly) but the second the VC money dries up and hype-driven startups die off, companies will mostly come back to the first approach and the majority of "React developers" will be out of a job.