Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

news.ycombinator.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

721–730 of 1001 posts

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#721

Post by pasttense01 »

mikewarot wrote: post #94

Deglobalization -- In the US, we're about to be forced to rebuild all the manufacturing we outsourced since the 1970s. It's not going to go well for thos countries dependent on imported food or energy. It's possible a billion people will face famine in the next year or two as a result of the loss of grain from Russia and Ukraine, along with the loss of Fertilizers (or being priced out of them) Energy Blindness -- We'…

The U.S. uses 40% of its corn crop to make ethanol. If the famine situation actually happens this will shift to food for people.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#722

Post by pasttense01 »

nostrebored wrote: post #621
tootie wrote: post #517

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Next year or two" is extremely unlikely. The US is absolutely no going to switch back to a manufacturing base. It's only attempting to gain leverage against adversaries when it comes to critical supply chain components. China is all but guaranteed to see slowing growth compared to the past 40 years simply because there aren't enough farmers left to exploit for cheap labor and living standards are already so much hig…

But critical supply chain components are more frequent than people would like to think. In a period where sea freight becomes less stable, it's not a question of 'what goods can we not live without' but 'what goods can we not live without if delivery isn't stable and regular'? The U.S. is already losing sea hegemony. This was a key piece that enabled globalization to begin with.

The answer to 'what goods can we not live without if delivery isn't stable and regular' is that you go back to the traditional approach which was used for centuries when delivery wasn't stable and regular: simply keep large inventories of the goods. [In recent decades business switched to Just In Time, but this has been shown not to work with irregular delivery--so business is going back to the traditional methods.]

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#723

Post by lamontcg »

mywittyname wrote: post #644
youngNed wrote: post #364

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this 'people are rich because they are smart' is not a take i expected to find on HN. Its not quite as damaging as 'people are rich because they work harder' but its really not far off

Intelligence is inheritable. Intelligence is correlated with educational attainment and wealth. People tend to marry within their socio-economic group. Wealthy people who came from nothing are the exception. Even in places with high degrees of social mobility, climbing the social ladder is a multi-generational saga. Maybe a working class family has a child or two who enter the professional class, then maybe their chi…

> Intelligence is inheritable.

inheritable traits like intelligence tend to revert to the mean.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#724

Post by quickthrower2 »

Refinement types.

Because instead of using types you can use proofs. And have the compiler prove things about your code.

You then may not need such complex higher order types in typed code.

And you could retrofit this to JS, Ruby, C so you don’t need to learn new languages to get excellent type safety.

For example assert that a number is in the 0-100 range and have the proven at compile time. Not just unit tested. It would be amazing.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#725

Post by quickthrower2 »

nokya wrote: post #131
thom wrote: post #63

Drone tech is going to get tiny. It’ll have microphones and cameras and it’ll probably be untraceable. It’ll spy on you arbitrarily and the equivalent of 4chan will have access to it in abundance. You will never again have any form of privacy unless you buy expensive countermeasures for your home and office. Fortunately deepfakes will be so good you can blame it all on that.

I was recently caught up in a very good friend's divorce, who suspected either her apartment or her car had been placed under surveillance (her husband constantly had knowledge of her whereabouts). For some reason I cannot expand here, she assumed I could help her "check" her apartment. This brought me into looking for solutions on how to detect electronic surveillance. I discovered the term "bugsweep", and rapidly c…

Could she keep staying at different friends places? Move every 2-4 weeks. Get a new phone every month.

Hassle/cost wise that might be in-between the two extremes.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#727

Post by blub »

c7DJTLrn wrote: post #350
woeirua wrote: post #273

Nuclear war. It has fallen out of favor to talk about this as a serious possibility, but the world is in many ways closer to nuclear armageddon right now than it has been at any point since the Cuban Missile Crisis. People seem to have gotten comfortable with the idea of Ukraine as a low-tempo conventional war, but it could very quickly turn into something much more significant.

Ironically this could all be happening because a lack of nukes. Ukraine gave theirs away and have been left essentially naked and defenceless since. Would Putin have thought twice if they had a nuclear arsenal? Who knows.

They didn’t give them away, they were convinced by Russia and the US to do so.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#728

Post by sufficer »

kanzure wrote: post #468
jfk13 wrote: post #422

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You just have to condition them appropriately, so that they happily accept their place. See Brave New World for the blueprints.

You might find that Brave New World is not quite the same cautionary tale against genetic enhancement that popular discourse would have you believe (it's more about totalitarianism): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22128854

Uh did you read brave new world? Lol.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#729

Post by sufficer »

kanzure wrote: post #468
jfk13 wrote: post #422

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You just have to condition them appropriately, so that they happily accept their place. See Brave New World for the blueprints.

You might find that Brave New World is not quite the same cautionary tale against genetic enhancement that popular discourse would have you believe (it's more about totalitarianism): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22128854

You quote so much but I don't think you've read the book man.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#730

Post by blub »

nokya wrote: post #129
unpopularopp wrote: post #20

Climate migration. What happens Europe now/since 2015 is nothing that will come in the next couple of years. And the individual countries and so as the EU is pretty much unprepared. I'd even say that will be one of the cause of downfall of the union.

I am under the impression that instead of preparing for climate immigration, EU citizens are actually slowly but surely mutually brainwashing themselves into increasing hate towards immigrants as a whole. From what I read and understood about climate change, a tsunami of immigrants from southern hemisphere countries towards northern hemisphere countries is to be expected. I would rather have my elected ones work on a…

The EU can mostly integrate migrants from within the EU, conflicts because of East to West migration aside (see Brexit). It can also integrate migrants from other countries with shared cultural values like the US, Australia, Japan, etc. Basically other democracies and allies.

It has consistently failed to integrate other migrants, especially from the MENA countries. At this point, experience has proven that such large integrations are and will be out of reach for the EU.

The only logical conclusion is therefore that the EU has to prepare to reject further migration. Even hopeless cases like Sweden are starting to take action in that direction.

Post reply on HN