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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

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71–80 of 219 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#73
I think that food instability will be a serious problem. I don't think that the store shelves will be empty per se, but rather I believe it will be priced so high that people will be starving because they simply can't afford it.

Its already happening but I believe it will accelerate in 2026 especially with the Fed turning the money-printers back on. Inflation is sure to increase :-/

Grow a garden everyone. Just do it.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#74

* Americans will get their first taste of extended range EVs (full EV powertrain with a tiny ICE that charges the battery) and they explode in popularity. It's the perfect vehicle for the US and most investment in EV charging stations will decrease. * Oral GLP-1s hit the market and the market shares doubles * Both OpenAI and SpaceX IPO * Charlie Kirk's shooter will be executed after being on death row for less than a…

Nice details in this one.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#75
End of the Russian/Ukranian war.

US improves relations with China.

Climate problems are shown to be less serious than previously thought.

The rich get richer, but nobody cares because quality of life is improved for everybody.

AI brings additional leisure time, which results in a worldwide resurgence in bluegrass music as millions take up the guitar, mandolin and violin. The biggest surge is in banjo, though. Billy Strings leaps ahead of Taylor Swift in concert sales.

2026 is really looking up! Happy New year, Hacker News!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#76
There will be a cliff in the number of people in this industry. There will be a bunch of senior people floating around the job market and no more junior talent. There will be fewer new grads and the pipelines will dry up.

If they go down the route of automating as much as possible, it'll destroy the social pipelines that allow companies to reproduce themselves.

I don't think that'll actually happen, but it'll be interesting to watch

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#77
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Read the 2025 prediction thread for some perspective. (Hope you didn't stake your retirement on bitcoin hitting $200,000!)

> There are even more restrictions aimed at stopping kids using social media. I dont recall if the Australia ban was on the cards then.

The act passed federal parliament late 2024. It already existed in the state of South Australia before that.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#78
post #57

People's minds will become even lazier due to prolonged daily use of LLMs. They literally won't be able to think for themselves without AI assistance (that's why OpenAI won't fall, btw). Attention spans will drop even lower, causing severe psychological problems. Think 'Digital Dementia 2.0.' Later, LLMs will be portrayed as something evil, yet everyone will still use them. Parents will use them, while telling their…

You do know this reads the same as every pessimistic commentary on technology ever, right? So many people were convinced that television was going to fry our brains.

I assure you that it did fry many brains.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#80

* Americans will get their first taste of extended range EVs (full EV powertrain with a tiny ICE that charges the battery) and they explode in popularity. It's the perfect vehicle for the US and most investment in EV charging stations will decrease. * Oral GLP-1s hit the market and the market shares doubles * Both OpenAI and SpaceX IPO * Charlie Kirk's shooter will be executed after being on death row for less than a…

I can't imagine a public execution; that seems insane. I know the world is crazy right now, but I don't know about this.
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