I'm hoping coding will enter the mainstream and more people will learn to create software that helps them in their lives and work.
Being smart and having a specific mindset will become mainstream? Cool!
Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
61–65 of 65 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#62Let me try :
- politicians will keep lying, bankers will keep ruining good people and stock markets will keep not reflecting the actual state of the economy amidst general apathy, mine included.
- taxes will go up, employment down.
- Miley Cyrus will somehow be nude somewhere on TV and this will appear on one of the many thousand news I will inadvertently consume this year.
- in the same vein, Linus Thorvalds, RMS, Mark Shuttleworth and Theo de Raadt will make outrageous comments (and or gestures for Linus) that will agitate the community (not taking risk here ;-).
- the start-up bubble will implode and common people will pontificate on how investors were throwing millions on stupid apps that a 14yo could have coded in 3 hours a rainy Saturday afternoon.
- on a personal note as a .net developer I will still be paid the same salary as a bus driver reflecting my management's valuation of my work. French job market outside Paris being what it is, I will keep churning business apps each time my manager has a brain fart ... huh ... idea ... while dreaming on the start-up stories that i will read on HN.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#63- Stock market correction. Maybe a crash if Murphy's Law holds true and there is a sudden major unwind. Will have genuinely new characteristics. For example, you might see a selloff in "safe" dividend paying stocks and not tech, due to rotation of retirement funds out of stocks into fixed income. Another theory is you might see a panic out of financial stocks again once we see two quarters of downtrending inflation.…
Odd that the iBand seems like the most "important" of your predictions even though it's objectively something we could do without with no loss of capability from today. I guess that's the definition of being a nerd :) (as well as v long AAPL)
I'm curious if funds will have enough freedom of action to stay out of fixed income more than they otherwise would. I honestly have no idea why even a 50-65 year old now would put anywhere near the "traditional" levels of money into bonds; longer lifespans, prolonged low interest rate environment, and a diversified global equity market seem to make going underweight bonds, even with the risk of a 20% (or even 50%) market correction in equities, rational.
I think on Obamacare you're letting your desire for a good future override rational analysis of what's most likely. I believe healthcare reform is a good thing, and some of what's in Obamacare is good, but it is a big change, and has people actively opposing it, and hasn't been implemented with much competence, so we're going to end up with a clusterduck for the next year at least.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#64webRTC becomes easily usable and almost fully implemented by the end of 2014.
And yet it will still remain infeasible for real-world use due to no IE support.
Is this no good for IE9+?
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#65- Stock market correction. Maybe a crash if Murphy's Law holds true and there is a sudden major unwind. Will have genuinely new characteristics. For example, you might see a selloff in "safe" dividend paying stocks and not tech, due to rotation of retirement funds out of stocks into fixed income. Another theory is you might see a panic out of financial stocks again once we see two quarters of downtrending inflation.…
"By end of 2014 Obamacare will be generally accepted as a Good Thing as people actually start saving money. More people quit their jobs and start companies in 2014 than expected because they no longer fear having to lose employer insurance." Who is saving money? The small minority who have existing conditions are, but not the majority of healthy people. Sounds like you don't run your own business or buy your own insu…
>>Who is saving money? The small minority who have existing conditions are, but not the majority of healthy people.
I am saving money. I quit my job 2 years ago to be a freelancer and was declined health insurance due to a "high" cholesterol condition and was kindly offered a $1200/month plan. I declined to pay such a high premium. Now me and thousands of entrepreneurs are free to choose and get whatever insurance they want at group rates.
>>These plans are incentivized to keep people tied to their current employers. The costs of self-insurance is now just shy of a mortgage payment. Self-employeds are looking for a job, so they can be covered by obamacare.
You must be out of your freaking mind to say that