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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

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61–70 of 219 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#61
post #30

Physical AI will make subversive discoveries that exceed everyone's expectations - space-time integrated computing, rather than the current three-dimensional spatial computing plus discrete time steps

I'm really hoping you mean substantive not subversive.

Allegedly AI recently discovered vulnerabilities in React Server that were/are being exploited on unpatched systems, so that's subversive, and we might expect a lot more of it before it gets better.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#62
* Americans will get their first taste of extended range EVs (full EV powertrain with a tiny ICE that charges the battery) and they explode in popularity. It's the perfect vehicle for the US and most investment in EV charging stations will decrease.

* Oral GLP-1s hit the market and the market shares doubles

* Both OpenAI and SpaceX IPO

* Charlie Kirk's shooter will be executed after being on death row for less than a year. 50/50 chance that it's televised.

* Luigi is also executed

* Seattle causes an international incident with Egypt and Iran when they don't reschedule the Pride Parade to not be on the same day as the world cup game. Trump sends in the troops.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#65

My prediction: 2026 looks normal. AI stays the top story but in a boring way as novelty wears off and models get cheaper and faster (maybe even more embedded). No AGI moment. LLMs start feeling like databases or cloud compute. No SpaceX or OpenAI IPO moment. Capital markets quietly reward the boring winners instead. S&P 500 grinds out another double digit year, mostly because earnings keep up and alternatives still l…

To me, this is wishful thinking. The more I see these "our jobs are safe" claims, the more I fear our jobs are not safe, and people are just trying to convince themselves which is an indicator of turmoil ahead.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#66
post #57

People's minds will become even lazier due to prolonged daily use of LLMs. They literally won't be able to think for themselves without AI assistance (that's why OpenAI won't fall, btw). Attention spans will drop even lower, causing severe psychological problems. Think 'Digital Dementia 2.0.' Later, LLMs will be portrayed as something evil, yet everyone will still use them. Parents will use them, while telling their…

You do know this reads the same as every pessimistic commentary on technology ever, right? So many people were convinced that television was going to fry our brains.

... do you know it didn't?

I'm not sure myself.

I do know that television feels about as deep as a puddle for me. Literature a bit less so. I suspect there is something to this.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#67
post #57

People's minds will become even lazier due to prolonged daily use of LLMs. They literally won't be able to think for themselves without AI assistance (that's why OpenAI won't fall, btw). Attention spans will drop even lower, causing severe psychological problems. Think 'Digital Dementia 2.0.' Later, LLMs will be portrayed as something evil, yet everyone will still use them. Parents will use them, while telling their…

You do know this reads the same as every pessimistic commentary on technology ever, right? So many people were convinced that television was going to fry our brains.

I regret watching too much television as a kid. Fortunately my mother wouldn’t allow us to play indoors on the weekends unless it was raining.
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