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Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

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Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#61

Post by _b8r0 »

pdelgallego wrote: post #38
chailatte wrote: post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That reminds me: there will likely be a default by a major country next year that will drag every economy in the world along with it. My belief is that it will be Ireland, which will affect UK tremendously, since a lot of the Irish debt is held by UK.

I will bet on Portugal, dragging down Spain in it fall.

I'm down for either Portugal or Spain. Ireland will be bailed out and everyone will be fine, but by the time we get to Portugal there'll be no money left. On the other hand, Spain may have such an impact that the sudden realisation that this is the last bailout may well tip countries over the edge.

Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#63

Post by Someone »

russell wrote: post #28
chailatte wrote: post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That reminds me: there will likely be a default by a major country next year that will drag every economy in the world along with it. My belief is that it will be Ireland, which will affect UK tremendously, since a lot of the Irish debt is held by UK.

Wow, Ireland is in a world of hurt. External debt is 10x GDP. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_external_d... . The US is at 94%, but Europe is way worse. Luxembourg is 38x. Could that be correct? Where is all this money roosting? For the US it's China, Japan, and OPEC, with China way out ahead.

I think it is almost more meaningful to compare Luxembourg to lower Manhattan than to other countries.

Its 'problem' is that it has a huge banking sector for its 500k inhabitants. That brings in lots of money (Luxembourg is the richest country in the EU), but also imports risks.

I do not know where their banks invest their money, but chances are that a fair amount of it is in euro, and that they have been bringing down their investments in the weaker euro countries.

Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#64

Post by smallhands »

TomOfTTB wrote: post #21

General IT ============= * I think the biggest trend is we’ll see computing further redefined. As tablets, Chrome based netbooks and more advanced smartphones flood into the market we’re going to see a bunch of people who realize they just don’t need a home PC anymore. * In business I think we'll see a big increase in user-focused design. Too many corporations are running into problems with employees using web based…

dude i am with you on this one not only teachers but stage presentation in general

Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#66

Post by trin_ »

knowsnothing613 wrote: post #36

2011 will be the year of the dealpool. Myspace deadpools. Digg deadpools. Flickr deadpools/shut down by Yahoo.

i understand the first two but flickr seems to me as a stable thing. bandwith/storage prices continue to go down and so their profits grow.

Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#67

Post by bluesnowmonkey »

Kilimanjaro wrote: post #5

Camera and facetime for the iPad. iPads and macbooks coming in colors. Web of things will kickoff with arduino and programmable toys that can be controlled from and ipad/iphone. Geolocation businesses are the new black. One can possibly disrupt eBay or craigslist. Facebook IPO will be the best evar in terms of hype and money made. Just to deflate at the end of the year and leave the tech world in ruins. Google IS the…

> Google IS the cloud.

I disagree with this. Google was the cloud. Google had an early advantage in the cloud game with their internal infrastructure. Google devs could produce apps on a platform not available to the rest of the world. As publicly available tools mature to the same level, anyone will be able to produce the same kind of robust, infinitely-scalable cloud apps. Actually that's already happening, to some degree.

Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#68

Post by maguay »

- A solid Android powered iPod Touch competitor in the ~$200 price range. Amazed nothing like this has taken off yet

- A new Zune HD, this time powered by full Windows Phone 7 without the phone stuff. Only makes sense to compete against the iPod Touch (which vastly increases the reach of iOS and the App Store).

- I'd love to see Apple make an unlocked iPhone 5 starting at $229 or so for the base model and drop the iPod Touch. If you really don't want a phone, you could just use it without a sim or new plan. This would also give them a leg-up against Android or Windows Phone 7 based iPod Touch competitors. Sadly, though, I don't think this one is very likely to happen.

Re: Ask HN: 2011 Predictions

#69

Post by olliesaunders »

jawee wrote: post #6

Software: I expect Android to become a very widely-implemented operating system and to become popular in not only phones and tablets, but more types of embedded devices and netbooks, even if this isn't what Google intends. I expect Flash to become very insignificant, much in the way Java currently is on the web: good for a few complex applets here and there and on legacy sites, but most people could care less. The We…

It's could not care less.
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