Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

news.ycombinator.com

61–70 of 76 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#62
post #57
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We already have plenty. The washing machine knows what to do with the clothes. The dishwasher knows what to do with kitchenware. The robotic vacuum cleaner knows how to navigate and clean your house. They are single-function, and not autonomous. This makes them massively cheaper and safer.

Idea here was, a robo-servant will put clothes inside washing machine or dishwasher. And take them out and put them in order too.

Would be great! I still suppose the washing machines will get this capability specifically for themselves.

I can imagine a pair of top-mounted robotic "helper hands" in the kitchen, capable of sorting, peeling, cutting foods, and maybe also hand-washing dishes (current dishwashers are notoriously poor at cleaning anything but lightest grease).

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#63
- AR: Handheld devices will make way for wearables with augmented reality displays. This will largely be led by usability advantages. Like Google Maps will see a shift towards glasses with augmented reality displays. Think navigation instructions from Google Maps overlaid on street view-like camera imagery on a wearable device.

- Robots: Robot sidekicks, like Vector: https://www.anki.com/en-us/vector, but bigger and more useful, will become common. Tbh Vector is currently at best a cute and expensive toy. With progress in AI, specifically at the intersection of language understanding, computer vision, and robotics, these robots will become easier to talk to and work with.

- Self-driving cars: Self-driving cars will be common, with some business models getting to wider deployment faster than others, for e.g. Waymo, Uber, Lyft. New set of traffic protocols will likely emerge on 100% self-driven localities (humans' traffic rules are _extremely_ inefficient for robots) for faster + safer transport.

- Space: Space tourism will start to emerge. There will emerge entire industries supporting this shift -- from ticketing aggregation services (like Kayak.com, etc. for space) to data services (equivalents of AT&T, TMobile, etc. for space) to cargo (faster earth-to-earth, earth-to-x), hotels, hospitals, etc.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#64

This probably sounds crazy... I think in the next ten years there will be a cultural shift away from carrying any form of electronics on yourself. That's including mobile phones and media devices.

My phones been in the shop for the last week thanks to an unfortunate incident with the washing machine and it's given me some new perspectives. Many of what I'd call "vital" features of a smartphone now seem to be net negatives, others are only important because I don't have the old way anymore.

PT App: I didn't realize how frequently I checked my light rail app, telling me how long until the next one arrives. Now that I don't have it I realize it only added stress for something largely out of my control, knowing if the next one is 3 minutes or 5 minutes away doesn't affect when I'll get to work. It would still be useful in some situations but I hope to use it a lot less in future.

Clock: My phone was my watch and like the PT app this mostly cause stress about arriving to work on time which mostly involved factors beyond my control. I just try to leave this house on time and I'll get there when I get there.

Reddit: Haven't missed it. Again it's probably adding stress for no real gain.

Internet: Haven't missed it.

Alarm Clock: Miraculously I haven't slept in during the last week and most day's I'm up earlier because can't roll over and go back to sleep without the alarm clock telling me to get up. I could also buy a dedicated alarm clock, it's very rare I get any value from a portable one.

Phone: This one wouldn't generally worry me but this week I've had a sick family member and really needed it. If I had a home phone that would have been more than enough, maybe I should get an IP phone again.

Weather: Turns out the seven day forecast is just noise I don't really need. The morning news tells me if I'll need to wear another layer or not and that's enough.

Music and E-books: This is the one feature I've really missed.

Overall it's amazing how much time and money I've spent on these little devices that offer very little value.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#65

This probably sounds crazy... I think in the next ten years there will be a cultural shift away from carrying any form of electronics on yourself. That's including mobile phones and media devices.

One of the things I find most striking when watching old movies is the general attitude of people toward tech. If you look at movies from the 70s and 80s, conspicuous display of tech was common. Look at stereo systems of the time, and how people treated mobile phones (they were huge and conspicuously displayed). This partially echoes the "machine age" [1] of the early 20th century, a a time when tech was seen as "mod…

This reminds of an interesting story from Robert Caro's great biography of Robert Moses (The Power Broker). Very paraphrased from memory, but:

Robert Moses built large parts of New York City, including a lot of its roads/infrastructure. When Moses was growing up, cars were very new, and a luxury item. Driving through a scenic route was a very fun experience for most people. Therefore, Moses built the roads to emphasize these scenic routes.

This later became problematic, as he kept doing it well into the age when being in a car was considered a nuisance, rather than an attraction.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#67
post #8

This is a bit cliched but does anyone think there should be a set of end of year predictions made/voted on by everyone on HN ? It would certainly be a bit more interesting and informed than the average celebrity blogger predictions that we are usually subjected to.

Check out https://www.metaculus.com/

Also http://longbets.org/

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#68

- AR: Handheld devices will make way for wearables with augmented reality displays. This will largely be led by usability advantages. Like Google Maps will see a shift towards glasses with augmented reality displays. Think navigation instructions from Google Maps overlaid on street view-like camera imagery on a wearable device. - Robots: Robot sidekicks, like Vector: https://www.anki.com/en-us/vector , but bigger and…

https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/news/orbital_debr...

We have filled up our atmosphere with so much junk that space travel may become limited to our past rather than our future.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#69

It’s a stretch but urban farms: malls will be turned into farms. The produce will be on racks so you might have 20 layers. Right now like half of all produce spoils. This way you can also deliver fresh produce the day it will be consumed. You can deliver the perfect combination of water and nutrients for plant growth. No pests, transportation, weather damage etc. it’s gonna be big.

I have a few dead malls in my area. It's been interesting to see what tenants have come due to decreased rent costs. Currently right now there's a 20,000 sq foot museum amongst other things in there

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 10 years for our daily lives?

#70

I hope I'm not a crackpot, but I have a really pessimistic outlook. The increase in wealth disparity coupled with centralization of corporate power will cause a proportionally large increase in poverty. You'll either be fortunate enough to have a job (where your hours will rise, due to heavier competition - those at the top will say to hell with the research claiming productivity has an optimum with respect to hours…

I don't understand why comments like above get minuses.

If you don't agree with the idea, just put that in comment. But giving minuses because someone has different thoughts.

I understand minuses when somebody is just talking things completely not true like that there never was World War II or X-Rays are safe for you.

Future is by definition not deterministic so everybody may have own imagination. And by giving minuses you're discouraging the people with sharing their thoughts with you.

At least explain you're giving minus.

Post reply on HN