Ask HN: Predictions for 2025? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#591

Post by danzero » Thu, Dec 26, 2024, 1:30 PM UTC

[dead]

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#592

Post by ignition_6 » Thu, Dec 26, 2024, 2:35 PM UTC

my predictions for 2025 in AI:

- agents be able to do reliably well in long-range, multi-step tasks (some crazy new architectures/planning strategies/learning strategies)

- important empirical work in mech-interp (breakthroughs in scalability) + alignment (develop kind of value alignment frameworks)

- robotics + agentic ai will take off

- oh while we are at it, "world peace" and why not indeed :)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#593

Post by kentich » Thu, Dec 26, 2024, 3:39 PM UTC

Trump will sell Haiti to Denmark in exchange for buying Greenland ;-)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#594

Post by brunarupp » Thu, Dec 26, 2024, 4:53 PM UTC

IA will become less

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#595

Post by rookderby » Thu, Dec 26, 2024, 10:51 PM UTC

A couple days late, but its still 2024. Here's mine, I'll go back and check in a year. I'll try and do at least 10 predictions for future laughs. In 2025, we will:

* Extract more crude oil than in any year in history.

* Produce more steel than in any year in history.

* Not produce more cement than in any year in history.

* Install more solar capacity than in any year in history.

* See a US federal government funded by CRs (no budget will be passed).

* Experience power outages worldwide from a CME.

* See the US officially declare war on more than one country to export immigrants.

* See the AMOC measurably weaken and cause flooding on the Eastern coast of the US.

* See me sell my first game or application.

* See an end to the war in the Ukraine, with Russia gaining the Donbas region.

* Go crazy with the Steam Deck 2.

* Observe that a keyboard left unattended next to my 5 year old will result in key mashing. * [o[p 8.ikomt,j8mhykufvgvjlrdl,kersrkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkjkkkjkjjkjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk777777777777771111111111111111110000000000000000333333333333333123456789012356789w23536376376276217111111111111111654321`1234567890-z/.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;GFV

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#596

Post by emptiestplace » Fri, Dec 27, 2024, 6:52 AM UTC

idiot_predictor wrote: post #586

mattkenefick wrote: post #553

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For real. It's always a headscratcher when I see these weird takes against it. Amazon has been working with Anthropic which at the very least will create a much more comprehensive Alexa. > expensive talking fidget spinners Like Alexa, Siri, and Hey Google? Which are used A LOT and will only be used more when they're natural, smarter, and conversational? Always a strange take.

Alexa Google assistant and Siri were all significantly down sized in the last year or so (teams, product). Turns out the top queries billions of dollars went into were to set timers or to play a song. I would love to be proven wrong though.

I think part of the problem with these assistants is they are fucking annoying to use for all but the most trivial tasks. The only thing I've ever used Siri for more than once is "Siri, two minutes" - and sometimes she still tells me I don't have the timer app installed. The moment I can reliably get an answer to something I'm contemplating, it's going to have a huge impact on how much I use my phone.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#597

Post by danicriss » Fri, Dec 27, 2024, 10:19 AM UTC

quantisan wrote: post #72

Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…

2009 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=416530

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#598

Post by crash031003 » Fri, Dec 27, 2024, 2:07 PM UTC

im gonna narrow down my predictions for whats gonna happen in India in 2025 the rupee value starts falling more and more and they keep raising taxes and avoiding the real problems and india starts to fail as a country

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#599

Post by [deleted] » Sat, Dec 28, 2024, 4:13 AM UTC

Yoric wrote: post #509

Xen9 wrote: post #423

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The world is cyberpunk. Has been since 1990s.

Well, in the 90s, cyberpunk was a parody. But of course, a few too many people took it as an instruction manual, so yes, by now, we're basically there.

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#600

Post by lilyxl8 » Sat, Dec 28, 2024, 5:02 PM UTC

Bird flu becomes an epidemic. A hundred cases in Q1

More models enter the AR glasses market. Ray-Ban Meta gains an AR display, a minimalist Orion. More market adoption spread out across different manufacturers

Gen AI products become really sticky. Like daily use. eCommerce product recommendations. The power consumption drives more Big Tech to invest in nuclear energy (SMRs). COP30 sees even less government participation. Google Cloud continues attracting more startups across the US & UK with its scalable gen AI infrastructure.

Some AI companies jack up their prices after gaining a critical mass of user base (Meta’s Llama)

More AI deployed in more Tech co.s like , replacing more jobs - customer service, transaction compliance, outbound sales.

More mental health awareness with social media use. Hopefully more AI or protective measures deployed against active shooters, ie, ZeroEyes.

More DEI in the arts - Hollywood, music, publishing.

Some sort of immigration crackdown. Trump will need to clarify his stance between Musk’s policies & his MAGA old guard. He & Musk fall out at some point

The Russia-Ukraine war ends via attrition. Maybe Israel too