Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

Will be a very divisive year. Media (backed by Musk) will push any felony committed by an illegal alien to further back their plan of mass deportation. This mass media plan will happen across all first world countries, which would finish convincing the average citizen that the foreigner is bad.

For real. It's always a headscratcher when I see these weird takes against it.

Amazon has been working with Anthropic which at the very least will create a much more comprehensive Alexa.

> expensive talking fidget spinners

Like Alexa, Siri, and Hey Google? Which are used A LOT and will only be used more when they're natural, smarter, and conversational?

Always a strange take.

This one from 2010 is just creepy: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093

Social Media and Communication: * TikTok will continue to dominate engagement among social media platforms, but a new platform blending immersive elements (like augmented reality) and privacy will emerge, attracting younger and corporate audiences. * Facebook (Meta) will persist but lose relevance among younger users. Its strength will lie in niche communities and integration with AR/VR products like the Meta Quest.

Technology and Computing: * Generative AI will be widely integrated into productivity tools (emails, text editors, coding, graphic design), but stricter regulations will emerge, especially in the European Union. * Quantum computing will see notable advancements but remain restricted to experimental and governmental use. A "quantum moment" comparable to the "cloud moment" of the 2010s could emerge after 2030. * Smartphones will plateau in innovation, with greater focus on sustainability, repairability, and seamless integration with wearables.

Economy and Work: * Remote work will solidify as the norm in many industries, especially technology and creative fields. However, well-structured hybrid models will become the standard for large corporations. * Cryptocurrencies will remain volatile, but related technologies, such as blockchain for contracts and utility-driven NFTs, will gain practical relevance, especially in finance and real estate.

Energy and Environment: * Electric vehicles will represent over 50% of sales in developed markets. Pressure to build charging infrastructure in rural and remote areas will significantly increase. * Renewable energy sources (solar and wind) will attract more investment, but storage challenges (batteries and green hydrogen) will remain a major bottleneck. * Global climate action will remain fragmented. Extreme weather events, like severe droughts and floods, will catalyze regional adaptation efforts, but global cooperation will be limited by political disputes.

Health and Biotechnology: * CRISPR-based therapies for rare genetic diseases will achieve regulatory approval in several countries, though costs will initially limit accessibility. * Telemedicine will become even more widespread, including real-time AI diagnostics, but ethical and privacy challenges will arise in less-regulated regions. * Pandemics will remain a global concern, but early monitoring systems powered by AI and genetic sequencing will significantly reduce mortality from new outbreaks.

Culture and Society: * The popularity of "retro-futuristic" aesthetics and digital escapism will grow, especially in gaming, films, and interactive entertainment. * Increasing awareness of mental health will lead to broader acceptance of practices like meditation and alternative therapies, integrated into conventional healthcare systems. * Social and environmental rights movements will gain momentum but face opposition from conservative groups, driving polarization in countries like the U.S. and Brazil.

Geopolitics and Society: * China will expand its technological and diplomatic influence but face internal tensions with regional pro-democracy movements. * The European Union will solidify its role as a regulatory leader in technology and environmental policy, while the U.S. focuses on technological and military dominance. * Artificial intelligence will be used both for misinformation and security, sparking a new "digital arms race."

Education and Science: * Hybrid educational models will be widely adopted, with AR and AI technologies personalizing curricula and teaching methods. * Space exploration will yield new milestones, including a manned mission to the * Moon and advancements in Mars exploration, paving the way for settlements in the 2030s.

Unexpected Future Trends: * A currently underestimated technology, such as ambient computing (intelligent environments with sensors and automation), may become ubiquitous. * There will be a revival of local communities and self-sufficiency (urban gardening, home renewable energy) as a response to growing digital control and corporate dominance.

- We will feel more useless and sad than 2024, with AI and other technological advances showing us we will soon be out of work, with of course, China and other countries doing everything better than us.

- There's a 50% likelihood that if you are an American, you will eat at a restaurant where the food is made by machines.

- More inflation coming. FED is right. And even more inflation once more protectionist laws and acts are passed.

- US's economy will start showing signs of a recession.

- Google's search business will start to dwindle. But it has it's own TPUs, worth trillions in NVidia money. Waymo. Android. Youtube, Deepmind. It's a company hard to put a price tag on.

- Tesla is going to $1K without any fundamentals. I will feel like throwing away my Benjamin Graham books again.

- US dollar will start to devalue as the protectionist policies will start showing its side-effects.

- The EU will hit American Big Tech companies hard, as the US is no longer a friendly partner. Beginning of the end for the US techno-feudalism over there.

- China is in deflation, but even stronger. People will see again that economics doesn't apply that well in autocracies. It will keep eating the EU's auto industry in countries that have no auto industry (most of them!), as they have no reason to make China a foe or follow the US, which have isolated itself.

- Ukraine and Russia will strike a deal, but the war won't end.

- US making its own chips will continue being a big topic. More drama to unfold about Intel.

- Intel will start showing progress. The Battlemage GPU is a huge success.

- NVidia will see its revenue shrink in comparison to this year.

- GenAI will become less relevant, with other AI applications having a bigger focus.

- OpenAI's market valuation will start going down. Don't get me wrong, ChatGPT is the biggest invention of our decade, but the market is saturated with Anthropic and other competitors doing the same for less. And OpenAI became an one-trick poney.

- Robotics will have its run. Tesla will show its lead.