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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#531

Post by irthomasthomas »

irthomasthomas wrote: post #293
throwaway787544 wrote: post #163

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

The quantity of CO2 needing to be dumped in to the atmosphere to manufacture new cars to meet this is going to be astronomical. The majority of the CO2 cost of a car is in the manufacturing. I don't understand why they are doing this?

Look, according to Volvo, (who make an EV and ICE version of the same car, on the same manufacturing process),

"The emissions from Materials production and refining of the ICE are roughly 40 per cent less than for the BEV" [0]

Therefore, forcing people to scrap working vehicles and buy new ones, in such a short time period, is going to dump massive quantities of CO2 in to the atmosphere in very order. This sounds extremely dangerous. I don't understand their reasoning.

Surely they need to fix the EV electric energy mix to make it more renewable, before forcing people to buy the EVs

[0]https://www.volvocars.com/images/v/-/media/project/contentpl...

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#532

Post by kixiQu »

david927 wrote: post #526
klntsky wrote: post #518

80% of all USD have been printed since 2020. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL

This is crazy big news and no one is talking about it.

Really? To me it seems to show up in every discussion about the general economy these days.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#533

Post by jimmyc_ »

spaetzleesser wrote: post #317
Geee wrote: post #284

General purpose humanoid robots. They're kind of mainstream idea, but very few people talk about them or take them seriously. Humanoid robots will have an absolutely massive impact in very near future. Most people don't realize that with general purpose humanoid robots, labor becomes software. Labor becomes repeateable, testable, simulatable, modular, extensible, verifiable, etc. All things that apply to software wil…

“Put your robot in a forest with a few tools and soon you'll have a log house - built perfectly to the spec.l I wonder how the capitalists will deal with this. If we have a robot that can build and maintain a house and grow food for you, how will they make money?

Robot would be a rental with addons charged as subscribed.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#534

Post by klntsky »

Bjorkbat wrote: post #522
klntsky wrote: post #496

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> which are basically community spaces. These are primitive 2D games with videochat. These technologies existed for decades, it's naive to expect anything more from them than already exists. Changing the name to something more hyped will result in nothing more than a wave of hype.

I wouldn't discount something simply because the underlying technology has been around for decades. People said the same thing about Slack being nothing more than IRC. Didn't stop people from talking about how it was the future of work, or whatever. For that reason, and many others, we really shouldn't ignore the amount of innovation in software and web that is largely design-oriented rather than engineering-oriented…

So what are these design decisions in case of everything "meta-"?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#535

Post by rodneyhayes »

kixiQu wrote: post #532
david927 wrote: post #526

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is crazy big news and no one is talking about it.

Really? To me it seems to show up in every discussion about the general economy these days.

The FED printing money? All I hear is everyone blaming everything/everyone but the FED as far as inflation goes.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#536

Post by walls »

klntsky wrote: post #518

80% of all USD have been printed since 2020. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL

That's probably because it's not true. You can see the definition of M1 changed at the exact time that chart shows a spike.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.h...

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#537

Post by nomel »

dangus wrote: post #276
throwaway787544 wrote: post #163

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

EVs aren't going to be popular because they are the solution to climate change. The better solution to climate change is sustainable city planning and development that minimizes energy use for transportation needs, emphasizing walking, bicycles, and rail travel. EVs are going to take over no matter what because in their end state they're better than ICE vehicles in nearly every way. Quieter, smoother, simpler, faster…

> That's not very hard

From what I understand, it involves replacing nearly every local distribution station in existence, because nobody prepared for this.

When I had my charger installed, my electrician mentioned that I was at capacity for the service line. To upgrade it, I would have to pay to have the sidewalk and road dug up and repaired, for a couple of city blocks.

I don't think "not very hard" is the appropriate framing.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#539

Post by bko »

ChadNauseam wrote: post #247

Preimplantation polygenetic testing. The idea is that, when doing IVF, you sequence the genome of all the embryos and implant the ones that you predict will have properties that you like. This already exists for monogenetic screening (for parents who don't want to pass on heritable diseases for their children, where those diseases are localized to one gene). But the idea here is that, by checking thousands of genes,…

> If the process is expensive, it will only be available to rich people.

Most technology gets distributed to the masses. It makes more sense to sell something cheaply to a lot of people than just a few people at a higher price. The same reason the wealthiest people in the world can't buy a better iPhone. The economics behind the technology encourages mass adoption and a reasonable price

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#540

Post by frumper »

irthomasthomas wrote: post #531
irthomasthomas wrote: post #293

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The quantity of CO2 needing to be dumped in to the atmosphere to manufacture new cars to meet this is going to be astronomical. The majority of the CO2 cost of a car is in the manufacturing. I don't understand why they are doing this?

Look, according to Volvo, (who make an EV and ICE version of the same car, on the same manufacturing process), "The emissions from Materials production and refining of the ICE are roughly 40 per cent less than for the BEV" [0] Therefore, forcing people to scrap working vehicles and buy new ones, in such a short time period, is going to dump massive quantities of CO2 in to the atmosphere in very order. This sounds ext…

Who's being forced to scrap working vehicles?
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