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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

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501–510 of 1001 posts

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#501
1. Decentralized social media grows rapidly, reddit/twitter/FB lose users and power 2. Identity politics culture wars end 3. Alien disclosure / discovery / first contact 4. AI winter 5. Rust dominates development

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#502
No one here has specifically mentioned the two primary things I'll be working on over the next decade. Although, the trends surrounding these two things have been (generically) mentioned many times, and I actually see a handful of people predicting the exact opposite of one of them.

I see this as a good sign that I'm on the right track.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#503

- Ads are no longer presented or indicated as such. All advertisement besides public space billboards are paid product placements, advertorials, and sponsored dialogue in TV shows. - The trend toward "authenticity" still ramping up in 2020 hits full swing, and commercial entities follow suit. Any announced commercial speech is viewed with distrust, while meme tweets are celebrated as "real." Corporate messaging becom…

This is horrifying.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#504
1. More profitable artificial food will replace natural foods, similar to how canola oil replaced butter for cooking. Vegan 'meat' will be the default, cheaper option in McDonalds which in turn makes natural food more expensive.

2. Russia and China will launch a competitive, international currency to fight the US dollar and China will humiliate the US in a regional conflict.

3. Most countries in the world will benefit from global warming or see no ill effects. Climate fear mongering will continue unimpressed by this.

4. Smartphones will be replaced by smaller optionally wireless computers, the screen will just be a screen and receive all the computing information from a detached CPU/GPU/computer you keep in your wallet. Commonly sold desktop monitors will have a place where you can slide in or connect your personal wallet computer wirelessly.

5. As social support systems in Europe start to crumble under the strain of continued limitless immigration, they will enact openly communist policies such as a duty to work for all citizens. This will be celebrated across the world as a progressive action to fight the low economic performance of the EU compared to China.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#507
Huge increase in informational distrust (e.g. because of fake videos)

FAANG company is broken up

Bitcoin maintains value

Huge population drop in US. Government intervention takes plus with some sort of incentive to have children

Tesla is most valuable car company in the world

Rank voting for presidents

VR will allow people to the most beautiful things and for others very disturbing things

There will be some cases of rich people will secretly genetically modify their children

Quadrocopters/Drones will be used for raids and police enforcement

Global Internet will become distinct country-nets to protect citizens from increasing cyber warfare

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#508

OK these are some a very long predictions: - At least one East Asian country out of {singapore, south korea, japan, china (ROC or PRC)} legalizes Cannabis. - Microsoft extends the dominance it began in late 2010 decade. C# and F# eclipse Java as enterprise programming solutions. - Google runs into some major trouble and loses considerable market share; the biggest tumble comes on the heels of an internal, employee-le…

> Early 2020s: Brexit unexpectedly results in the UK narrowly escaping [..]

I had this thought too and reading it explicitly spelled out by someone else is extremely chilling. Apparently this is no only my crazy idea. Maybe no better time than now to buy some property in the UK, move there and try to get a passport?

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#510
post #482

1.) As quantum computing advances, there will be at least one successful 51% attack on a major cryptocurrency. 2.) Tesla/SpaceX StarLink will become a major competitor in the ISP space. Most transmitted data throughout the world will touch a StarLink satellite. 3.) Financial downturn/semi-recession in mid-late decade primarily caused by excessive corporate stock buybacks artificially inflating stock prices. (Stock bu…

Point 6 would be such an amazing achievement to hit, even if adoption isn't widespread immediately.
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