Microsoft retrenching into "IBM mode" under the new CEO.
Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
51–60 of 65 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#52same as 4 years ago: http://lazyant.com/post/424318610/predictions-for-the-new-ye...
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#53Moore's Law remains halted. Nobody figures out how graphene will help. Programmers continue (see below) to move away from Java in favour of C to claw back some performance. * See http://www.tiobe.com/index.php/content/paperinfo/tpci/index....
I doubt so. Programmers are more likely to adopt relatively new programming languages which are easier to learn and provide and produce software that is relatively fast, while not being as optimized as a C/C++ program.
Java probably still has a long life ahead.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#54By the end of 2014, very few people have a smart watch. Bitcoin continues to become more popular. Many physical places begin supporting the currency. The UK government will start pushing for the porn block to be enforced for existing subscribers (not just new ones, as is the case now). Low-end cameras are replaced by smartphones. Linux's marketshare increases but remains relatively low. Steam OS has varying degrees o…
Low-end cameras are replaced by smartphones has already happened, surely?
Some people still have cameras but I suspect they will be off the shelves by the end of 2014.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#55* Battery tech makes a leap forward - on the consumer level not academic.
* Google Glass goes nowhere. Makes for very interesting case study though - much is learned.
* Apple faces an uphill battle on all fronts. Manages to hold its ground well.
* US keeps pushing the copyright angle hard. Zero real world effect - pirates keep on happily pushing bits and bytes around the world.
* Startups in northern Europe soars. Not UK. Probably Germany - as rdl said in his prediction.
* Germany continues to kick ass on the economy side. Spain / Italy / Greece still in trouble. Tension within EU as a result.
* Elon continues to kick ass - at least on the Tesla front
* Startup scene becomes (more) overcrowded. Even the people with good products struggle to get noticed.
* Steambox takes off. xbone loses out to PS4 by a sizable margin.
* Win 8 adoption picks up significantly at home. Zero corporate interest though.
* The year of the Linux desktop doesn't happen. nix dominates everywhere else though (server, tablets, home entertainment etc)
* The hits keep coming for the USA - whistleblowers, NSA etc. Real world financial consequences - but only noticed by the tech crowd.
* More people start using VPNs. Internet security expenses become a must for the tech crowd (i.e. in addition to paying for internet).
* UK economy wobbles significantly. If the wobble is anywhere near their housing market then things could get shaky world wide.
* At least one serious flash crash / HFT drama of sorts. Widespread acknowledgement that its dangerous. Nothing happens to curb it due to powerful players protecting status quo.
* Military drone tech keeps soaring. US starts doubting their big budget manned fighter programs. China drone tech makes more progress than expected - USA caught off guard.
* Renewable energy takes off. Drama because the grid & energy sector just isn't ready for the distortions it causes.
* Epidemic of some kind comes from India. Everyone realizes global coordination is inadequate & medical sector panics about drug resistance.
* Fukushima keeps being a problem. Japan mans up and asks Russia & USA for serious help (i.e. not gestures) - only 3 years late.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#56- Stock market correction. Maybe a crash if Murphy's Law holds true and there is a sudden major unwind. Will have genuinely new characteristics. For example, you might see a selloff in "safe" dividend paying stocks and not tech, due to rotation of retirement funds out of stocks into fixed income. Another theory is you might see a panic out of financial stocks again once we see two quarters of downtrending inflation.…
I'm not sure that the technology exists to make the iBand in the way you describe in 2014. Bear in mind that they would have to already be pretty heavily into development if they're releasing it this year. Curved displays are only just being worked out, and getting all of those features (and a large enough battery) into a device small enough to not be another Galaxy Gear watch looks tricky. Just to heap on a little m…
What i meant there is democrats are a lock to win both the house and maintain the senate, provided Obamacare ends up being accepted by the public.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#57- Stock market correction. Maybe a crash if Murphy's Law holds true and there is a sudden major unwind. Will have genuinely new characteristics. For example, you might see a selloff in "safe" dividend paying stocks and not tech, due to rotation of retirement funds out of stocks into fixed income. Another theory is you might see a panic out of financial stocks again once we see two quarters of downtrending inflation.…
"By end of 2014 Obamacare will be generally accepted as a Good Thing as people actually start saving money. More people quit their jobs and start companies in 2014 than expected because they no longer fear having to lose employer insurance."
Who is saving money? The small minority who have existing conditions are, but not the majority of healthy people.
Sounds like you don't run your own business or buy your own insurance. Small and healthy business owners like me just had a massive increase in the cost of doing business. Health insurance costs are much more and the benefits are much less.
A doubling of health care costs in my case, and a much higher deductible.
These plans are incentivized to keep people tied to their current employers. The costs of self-insurance is now just shy of a mortgage payment. Self-employeds are looking for a job, so they can be covered by obamacare.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#58Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm looking forward for this. My prediction is that I don't move forward on my RetroBSD running DIY calculator.
Hah, well keep an eye on the RetroBSD forums, I've been hacking away at the simulator and working on the PCBs for the keyboard and display. I've based it off the Fubarino, which I'm pretty sure is what my mail slip that arrived today is for, yay! I do predict it'll take me most of the year, as I'm going to have to hack in proper power management and other things, but it's so much fun that I don't care! I can't think…
Unfortunately on the hardware side I haven't done more than ordering a LCD and trying out several switches, and on the software side I'm not beyond POC software. I'm still not sure what kind of interface i want. Currently I think it should be RPL alike, but i see some UX issues i'd like to solve sometime. Sorry, no link.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#59Bitcoin is overtaken by something else. JavaScript continues to get faster. Google Glasses gets released and we see them grow quickly, similar to how stuff like the pebble has been growing traction. 2013 was the year of the smartwatch. 2014 will be the year of the smartglasses. 2014 is the year of the Linux desktop with SteamOS!
"2013 was the year of the smartwatch" - did not really happen though.
Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?
#60Bitcoin is overtaken by something else. JavaScript continues to get faster. Google Glasses gets released and we see them grow quickly, similar to how stuff like the pebble has been growing traction. 2013 was the year of the smartwatch. 2014 will be the year of the smartglasses. 2014 is the year of the Linux desktop with SteamOS!
"2014 is the year of the Linux desktop with SteamOS!" - can't be 'desktop' since most of them will be under TVs.