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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

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51–59 of 59 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#51

1. AI will be adopted into more and more things, the AI industry will still grow, but nothing more impessive than e.g ChatGPT will appear in 2024. 2. China will not attack Taiwan 3. 2024 will be relatively boring year (in compare to last 3) 4. Nvidia will not grow to $650 or above 5. Electric cars hype will slow down

everything except 2 is incorrect. 2024 is foom year for AI

Well, time's gonna show :P

Feel free to ping me in X months

BTW. Did you bet on AI stocks?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

everything except 2 is incorrect. 2024 is foom year for AI

Well, time's gonna show :P Feel free to ping me in X months BTW. Did you bet on AI stocks?

yes, any reasonable person would bet on AI stocks in companies that have a real stake in AI trends that will reasonably lead to future productivity gains and aren't just using it for clout or PR

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#55
Greetings from Ukraine, country at war.

Well people, you have really interest predictions, but they all depend on how Ukraine withstand.

This is not very high probability case, but unfortunately, it is really possible, Ukraine could fall.

If Ukraine will fall, will start chain reaction of conflicts in all parts of world, and US will become literally owe their allies to help.

And this is not only about tiny countries, this will involve China-Taiwan, China-Korea, and may be even China-Japan, and Putin will not stop in Ukraine but will continue in Baltic and probably, Poland.

If will happen so many wars, in 2024, probably, US will consider to turn economy to war rails, and next years could become similar to 1940th, when military administration dictated to business, what to produce.

For example in 1940s, already exists good diesel locomotives, but mils prohibited steam locomotives producers to switch to diesel, and huge part of diesel production directed to ship building.

Unfortunately, if Ukraine will just stop on current positions, or even if Ukraine with western help will return territory from occupation, this will not mean world is safe.

- Russia constantly grow military production, and even when we see limits, we cannot be sure,they will not invent some new method to avoid sanctions. And even with current production, they could attack EU in 5-6 years, so now, in NATO conduct talks about be ready for war in 3 years.

So, any way, in 24, Ukraine war will constant headache of west, and US military already officially said, they preparing for war with China in 25, and I'm to lazy to list how Poland and Baltic countries already preparing for war, you could read in wiki and google.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#56

- Google will lose the 30% tax on their app store and so will Apple. - OpenAI is going dominate the AI-space (again). - Inflation will continue to go down, and we will see inflation at ~2 % at the end of 2024. - Trump will be favoring the american election starting at the end of 2024. - Ukraine will be forced to start negotiations on giving up land to Russia. - a JSON parser will be accepted into the C++ standard, bu…

> - Ukraine will be forced to start negotiations on giving up land to Russia.

Unfortunately, you probably right. Very bright seen in Ukraine, Korean scenario.

Most, West could do at the moment, to convince Russia, to not include Ukrainian territories into their official papers, but territories will remain under occupation.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#57
These were my predictions for 2023 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34196161

My prediction for the web is that this will be the year of HTMX.

My prediction for the war is that Russia will have full mobilisation.

2023 will not be the year for disclosure.

2023 will not be the year for the adoption of an international language.

These are my predictions for 2024

My prediction for the web is that this will be the year of HTMX.

My prediction for the war is that Russia will have full mobilisation.

2024 will not be the year for disclosure.

2024 will not be the year for the adoption of an international language.

HAHA!

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#58
post #26

Donald J. Trump will again become the leader of the free world. Hilarity ensues.

It's odd, I believe this on some level too. It seems almost certain he will win re-election. EDIT: it's not an outcome I want, it's just what I believe will happen.

Oozing into 2025,

- I predict Trump will say the quiet part out loud: these elections are annoying and won’t you be relieved that 2024 is the last one?

- The plan to purge the Executive branch is well-defined for Heritage Foundation causes, too boring and preachy for Trump. He enacts some of it, but mostly offends true conservatives by irrationally attacking things like Federal accounting standards and postal carrier pensions.

- The biggest disagreement between the Heritage Foundation and Trump’s followers will be the single statute they fear most: the Hatch Act. Trump himself won’t care, and the battle to neuter the Hatch Act will elevate an insider to be his successor, because:

- Among his loyalists, the spoils system: identify a civil servant whose job you want, hound them and demand in social media your immediate appointment. I predict Trump delegates this not to underlings but to social media itself.

- The value of spoils here is the delusional interpretation of Federal statutes criminalizing interference of Federal employees. It is not a bold prediction to say these people are immune to shame. An IRS appointee just walks onto flights for free. A Department of Agriculture appointee takes his cameraphone into the women’s locker room. An immigration and naturalization appointee runs a beauty contest of immigrants. The point of Republicans tolerating this will be that it’s the fastest, dramatic solution to prove we need to shrink the evil government.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#59
post #57

These were my predictions for 2023 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34196161 My prediction for the web is that this will be the year of HTMX. My prediction for the war is that Russia will have full mobilisation. 2023 will not be the year for disclosure. 2023 will not be the year for the adoption of an international language. These are my predictions for 2024 My prediction for the web is that this will be the ye…

International language?

When I recently was in Thailand and used Bolt to get taxis, I could write in Swedish and they in Thai and the app would translate to our native languages in my experience perfectly to arrange pickup location and logistical details.

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