The Figma acquisition will likely be under investigation by regulators before it goes any further. That is almost certain.
Agreed.
In relation to that, I would expect some similar products to pop up on the market. Or even better ones.
Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
51–60 of 85 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#52* Generative imagery starts finding commercial use cases, with advertising as the first destination. * Copilot continues growing among developers, and eventually reaches a point where it's as essential as autocomplete or syntax highlighting. * Venture capital remains dry for half of the year. * Someone - with bets on figma - ships a feature that auto generates react code from a design. This process is ripe for automa…
Regarding code generation from design, this space is more or less as old as designing webpages itself. Even early versions of Adobe Photoshop already included the slice functionality which you could then export as HTML. This part has always been reasonably easy. The real problem is how do you keep your changing design in sync with your changing code and I'm yet to see anyone solve that problem well.
Another problem with code generation is that maybe you want React code, I want static html, someone else wants Vue.js code, etc. There isn't a single standard target that everyone agrees on and the frontend landscape change so frequently that it would be hard to keep up.
A lot of times you also have a page template framework in your app with a reusable header, footer, etc, and are really just designing the content of a page. It's difficult for generated code to slip cleanly in to an existing page framework in a way that doesn't take more time to rework than to just write yourself.
I'm not saying these are unsolvable problems, but it just makes it hard for a code generation product like this to find a single big enough addressable market to be exciting.
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#53Earlier quoted context omitted.
"ChatGPT will not replace coders at least in 2023" ChatGPT is the smaller model more aimed at chat, the davincy model is already better ;)
To produce working software systems, you need, among other things: - Business analysis / product management skills - Software architecture skills - Ability to read the code output, and edit it as needed - Ability to run the code and deploy it - Ability to debug it - A combination of all of the above to prioritize and implement changes as business requirements evolve Does Davinci directly address any of this?
yes. Everybody tends to think their business requirements are very unique. In reality not so much.
Also it does not need to replace -all- coders. but if ONE smart Architect is able to bang out a mid tier MVP all by himself by feeding a textbox, you might feel trouble approaching.
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#54Earlier quoted context omitted.
> filter out garbage and toxicity I find these kinds of descriptions confusing. What does "garbage and toxicity" mean? You might as well have written "filter out bad things", it would be equally vague and subjective.
Not exactly. It's possible to identify anti-social comments. You just have to define what's considered anti-social, either from a human nature perspective or a cultural one. For example, if we go the human nature route, then any comment - no matter how inflammatory - is fair game as long as the goal of the comment is to "help the tribe" in some sense. That's kind of like political speech. So, you could faithfully arg…
> You just have to define what's considered anti-social
Who exactly should have the authority to decide such things?
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#55By the end of 2023 majority of the worlds population will be roaming Facebook's MetaVerse on a daily basis. Work In Meta Verse is the new WFH!
I am expecting the opposite, metaverse to be less and less relevant.
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#56Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not exactly. It's possible to identify anti-social comments. You just have to define what's considered anti-social, either from a human nature perspective or a cultural one. For example, if we go the human nature route, then any comment - no matter how inflammatory - is fair game as long as the goal of the comment is to "help the tribe" in some sense. That's kind of like political speech. So, you could faithfully arg…
> You just have to define what's considered anti-social Who exactly should have the authority to decide such things?
In terms of human nature and tribal dynamics: scientists. Otherwise, the platform creators.
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#57I'll make an anti-prediction instead. People will fail to find decent use cases for ChatGPT/etc. We'll get used to the fact that AI models can generate language that looks indistinguishable from humans on the surface, but there won't be profound impact. GPT-3 was released in 2020, and generative image models have been decent since ~2017. In the short term there hasn't been as huge of an impact as many have predicted.…
I agree that people will get used to text generation existing and it won't be as exciting. But I think people are already finding lots of use cases for it.
For example, we had a case where we had thousands of technical medical descriptions and we wanted to simplify them into "average person" descriptions. In the past, that meant someone going through each one and re-wording them as best as they could. But an engineer tried pasting them all in to ChatGPT and asking it to reword them and it worked surprisingly well.
In another example, my wife had to send an email to a volunteer group asking them to participate in an upcoming activity. She was able to draft a base email to edit in about 1 second with ChatGPT. Then she could edit it as needed.
I've also heard from folks in marketing getting a lot of use out of these tools.
So maybe none of these use cases are individually transformative, but I think it will at least be a tool on par with spellcheck that is super handy and widely used.
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#58in an age of computer generated content, public websites will become garbage heaps of object spam no matter how much verification and moderation you throw at it
the only interesting spaces will be anonymous and invite-only
the internet becomes balkanized as international cyberattacks increase in frequency
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#59Earlier quoted context omitted.
To produce working software systems, you need, among other things: - Business analysis / product management skills - Software architecture skills - Ability to read the code output, and edit it as needed - Ability to run the code and deploy it - Ability to debug it - A combination of all of the above to prioritize and implement changes as business requirements evolve Does Davinci directly address any of this?
yes. Everybody tends to think their business requirements are very unique. In reality not so much. Also it does not need to replace -all- coders. but if ONE smart Architect is able to bang out a mid tier MVP all by himself by feeding a textbox, you might feel trouble approaching.
> Everybody tends to think their business requirements are very unique
How did that pan out for low-code tools? Or hell, the advent of high-level languages in the 60's and 70's? Did either of these paradigm shifts reduce the amount of coders needed?
For these tools to really eat up into demand for programmers, it would need to increase productivity enough to:
1. Meet the ever-growing demand for software
2. Close the permanent gap for devs in the world (which some quantify in the millions)
Dev prospects could worsen in 2023 due to the rise of interest rates and the displacement of investment towards fixed-assets, but if you think that Davinci or whatever model is the factor that's going to be pushing the needle, I don't know what to tell you.
Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?
#60I'll make an anti-prediction instead. People will fail to find decent use cases for ChatGPT/etc. We'll get used to the fact that AI models can generate language that looks indistinguishable from humans on the surface, but there won't be profound impact. GPT-3 was released in 2020, and generative image models have been decent since ~2017. In the short term there hasn't been as huge of an impact as many have predicted.…
I agree that people will get used to text generation existing and it won't be as exciting. But I think people are already finding lots of use cases for it. For example, we had a case where we had thousands of technical medical descriptions and we wanted to simplify them into "average person" descriptions. In the past, that meant someone going through each one and re-wording them as best as they could. But an engineer…
I agree. What I meant to say is not that there won't be any use cases, but rather that they won't be as obviously transformative as people expect them to be. We won't have new kinds of products that are uniquely enabled by ChatGPT. Instead, we will get incremental improvements in spell checking, rewording text, code search, etc. But just like Gmail's autocomplete, better language translation, or better voice recognition, these will be largely behind the scenes and won't lead to big societal changes. Many of these improvements will be existing companies integrating better models, not new startups that become possible now because of ChatGPT.