Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

news.ycombinator.com

51–60 of 164 posts

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#51
I was the dev lead for a medium size company where we depended on a software platform by a solo dev. We made up 60%+ of his revenue. We insisted as part of the contract that he put his code in escrow and that we had the right to a copy of the code under certain conditions.

But no, I wouldn’t as a person who hypothetically made buying decisions. It’s the “IBM problem” that non dominant companies face. “No one ever got fired for buying IBM”.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#52

For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2%. And short of them dying, their business isn't going anywhere because keeping a SaaS startup online doesn't cost anything -- if you have the skills to do it yourself. Whereas the odds of a venture backed startup shutting down at any point over the next ten years is something like 30%. So from a r…

If it is working for you, that is great, but... Death is not the only reason people quit working on a project. They could get a better offer, their family situation could change, they could get sick or injured, or they could simply get sick of it, just to name a few. Also, keeping a SaaS online does cost money. And those costs increase as you scale. If you are small enough that you can run on a free tier, you are too…

So long as you're profitable, the revenue should scale too, covering the costs. It's a different approach when you're a solopreneur as you won't be burning money to try to scale rapidly. That being said, there are other risks, like the service being acquired and assimilated, but we face that with all services we rely on really.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#53
post #26

For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2%. And short of them dying, their business isn't going anywhere because keeping a SaaS startup online doesn't cost anything -- if you have the skills to do it yourself. Whereas the odds of a venture backed startup shutting down at any point over the next ten years is something like 30%. So from a r…

> For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2% The real figure is more 2.1% (source: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html )

I don't like these numbers. I preferred the old numbers.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#54

For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2%. And short of them dying, their business isn't going anywhere because keeping a SaaS startup online doesn't cost anything -- if you have the skills to do it yourself. Whereas the odds of a venture backed startup shutting down at any point over the next ten years is something like 30%. So from a r…

If it is working for you, that is great, but... Death is not the only reason people quit working on a project. They could get a better offer, their family situation could change, they could get sick or injured, or they could simply get sick of it, just to name a few. Also, keeping a SaaS online does cost money. And those costs increase as you scale. If you are small enough that you can run on a free tier, you are too…

Unless they decide to turn it off, they would just stagnate in features.

Regarding it costing money, yes, of course. But costs increases as users increase. If you're giving away your product for free, that's an issue. If you're charging, then I don't see the problem.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#55

I’m in a similar boat with two email-based SaaS products. People often ask, “what if?”. I’ve considered writing up a worst case scenario plan or migration document to help with initial concerns that these apps will just go away. Are there any funds out there that offer their name as a form of backing to give customers increased confidence? I think a big name would help, not just the money itself. Thoughts?

Many large companies dealing with smaller companies add a clause to their contract enforcing that all code and deployment instructions go to a third party escrow and remains updated. They have the right to a non exclusive license to the code under certain circumstances. I’ve been on both sides of the agreement.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#56
Generally speaking, some big companies are less reliable providers of software than individuals.

Google's long list of killed projects is a good example, but any large (especially publicly traded company) may kill a service if they decide the economics don't look good.

You see this particularly when a large company grows by acquiring smaller companies, resulting in a stock price boost; but then a few quarters later there's a need to offset greater business failures by cutting costs, so some divisions or projects get axed.

I would probably trust in this order:

1. small focused profitable company

2. large private profitable company

3. solo operator

4. large publicly traded company

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#57
post #4

"It depends", there's both optics and trust. A single person is always a liability due to the "hit-by-a-bus" factor. The optics solution: Don't look like a single person, hide behind an LLC (in some countries you can look up the financials though so having money in it from consulting,etc is prob a good idea so it doesn't look vulnerable) A trust solution: You could mitigate it by having an open-sourcing pledge and/or…

Hiding behind an LLC is no help. I’m going to ask for and verify references. I’ve been in the room enough times when it came to purchasing decisions.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#58

For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2%. And short of them dying, their business isn't going anywhere because keeping a SaaS startup online doesn't cost anything -- if you have the skills to do it yourself. Whereas the odds of a venture backed startup shutting down at any point over the next ten years is something like 30%. So from a r…

"Whereas the odds of a venture backed startup shutting down at any point over the next ten years is something like 30%."

Citation needed. I worked in startups my entire life. I thought it was closer to 90+%.

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#59
I (and probably most of us) use them everyday! Things like NTPd or OpenSSL have, for years, been developed by a single guy, as far as i can recall.

Maybe you can use this as part of your pitch, "you already trust lots of solo devs for your software needs".

Re: Ask HN: Do you trust solo entrepreneurs?

#60
post #26

For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2%. And short of them dying, their business isn't going anywhere because keeping a SaaS startup online doesn't cost anything -- if you have the skills to do it yourself. Whereas the odds of a venture backed startup shutting down at any point over the next ten years is something like 30%. So from a r…

> For your typical solo founder in their 30s, their odds of dying at any point over the next 10 years is something like 0.2% The real figure is more 2.1% (source: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html )

I'm confused, where does the 2.1% come from. It does look like 0.001795 which is 0.2% for a 30 year old in the source you linked
Post reply on HN