* Robotaxis with L4 self driving will launch in select cities
* there will be hyperinflation and it will be reflected in asset prices
Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
51–60 of 456 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#52Prolonged lockdowns and new habits kill 75% of small businesses and greatly increase inequality as the richest 10% stay at home saving/investing instead of spending. This will trigger an economic collapse which will bring down the eurozone. Germany will want country rated euros to avoid having to bail Italy. House prices in Europe will drop to a rent / value rate similar to the USA, as property owners scrap for money…
I think eurozone collapse will begin in germany, centered around the collapse of deutsche bank. No other scenario will make sense. Although it will still be bad, the uk will have dodged a bigger bullet with brexit.
I can't see DB being big or important enough to cause the collapse of Germany. I could be wrong.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#53my predictions:
1. the vaccine will prove effective against a certain strains of virus but ineffective against other strains, giving a false confidence and later re-emergence of corona.
2. WFH will continue. and companies planning to reopen offices in mid 2021, will postpone till 2022.
3. Trump will refuse to leave White House. grabs popcorn
4. College students graduating in 2021 will face severe competition with 2020 unemployed grads leading to stagnation in salary for entry level jobs. C level positions will have no impact.
5. IT will forget about SolarWinds attack and move on as irresponsibly as before
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#54More serial killers and serial rapists identified and caught via genetic testing.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#552021 will be one of the hottest years on record. Wildfires will rampage across the western US in the last half of the year. Oil prices will decline to $30/barrel. The Dow Jones industrial average will break 40K. Interest rates will remain low. Employment levels will be very slow to recover to pre-COVID levels. Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia.
> Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia. Unlikely. Biden once said to putin directly that "he had no soul".
But will he have the balls to do anything about it? He'll have too many domestic issues in the next 4 years to deal with
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#562021 will be one of the hottest years on record. Wildfires will rampage across the western US in the last half of the year. Oil prices will decline to $30/barrel. The Dow Jones industrial average will break 40K. Interest rates will remain low. Employment levels will be very slow to recover to pre-COVID levels. Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia.
> Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia. Unlikely. Biden once said to putin directly that "he had no soul".
And Putin looked Biden in the eye, smiled, and said "So, we understand each other."
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#57Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia. Unlikely. Biden once said to putin directly that "he had no soul".
But will he have the balls to do anything about it? He'll have too many domestic issues in the next 4 years to deal with
All evidence points towards US foreign policy being set by an enigmatic autopilot known to us only as "the civil service."
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#58Historical 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2017: none? 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 2013: none? 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201 2011: https://news.ycomb…
Funny how optimistic and tech oriented the previous ones are compared to 2021 - mostly politics, inequality and authoritarianism.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#59GDP will continue to increase in the US while a majority of the population will get poorer.
Spot on and the money goes from the poor to the rich via the federal government
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
#60Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Tensions between China and USA will increase, but will decrease between USA and Russia. Unlikely. Biden once said to putin directly that "he had no soul".
But will he have the balls to do anything about it? He'll have too many domestic issues in the next 4 years to deal with
It's not balls, it's sobriety. How can we sober up the fox news people?