51–60 of 1001 posts
When the battery tech, encapsulation (anti immune-reaction coating) and blood flow powered electronics is solved, the only thing we will have left to solve is the slow and buggy software. Anywho, just be afraid that it might never get solved and my prediction fails.
Monoclonal antibody drugs will flood the market soon and usher in a new era of treatment for several diseases (MS, AD, certain cancers, etc). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monoclonal_antibody
And how could that "flooding" happen? that still would be produced from the living cells, cell division is slow. If breakthrough happens, such synthetically produced antibodies would not be called monoclonal and instead we'll hear some new marketing name there.
What you mention about cell division rates being slow was solved by the hybridoma protocol where you fuse two cells, one of which is a myeloma (cancer that is a rapidly reproducing cell line) and another is a B cell that produces Antibodies that are specific for your intended target. Since then there have been a lot of strides in monoclonal antibody production. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monoclonal_antibody#Production]
Prediction for 2030. There will be 2030 new javascript frameworks.
I am not willing to make this prediction, but I’d be interested in hearing if anyone thinks we will NOT see fully autonomous vehicles on the road by 2030. Even in 2010, it seemed just around the corner — but that turned out to be wrong.
If anything were to get in the way of fully autonomous vehicles by 2030, I would think it will be a government's lack of political will to create the infrastructure or regulation needed for driverless vehicles.
Here's to looking silly in 2030: - very few desktop applications will exist, they will have moved to web assembly powered browser applications - way more people will work from home and most "work" software will attempt to support this through real-time collaboration powered by CRDT/MRDTs. - the dat:// protocol, ipfs, and other attempts at creating a decentralized internet will not take off, but the concepts will have…
What, no 'true AI' (yet)?
I am not willing to make this prediction, but I’d be interested in hearing if anyone thinks we will NOT see fully autonomous vehicles on the road by 2030. Even in 2010, it seemed just around the corner — but that turned out to be wrong.
Technically, we already have fully autonomous vehicles on the road, they're just not generally allowed to be used as such and have obvious failure modes not shared by human drivers. However, if by this you mean "autonomous vehicles that are clearly superior to reasonable human drivers under all reasonably frequent scenarios (including inclement weather) in any developed country" then yes, I feel very confident we won…
There will be a new American political party that garners mainstream popularity (possibly inhabiting the corpse of one of the parties existing in 2020.) China will fall in power as investment from the west decouples. Nuclear energy will make a PR comeback. There will be at least one scientific breakthrough surrounding the underlying nature of consciousness. Optimism about the possibility of AGI among experts will inc…