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Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

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51–60 of 99 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#51
Traditional society management via myth will fail (the 3 NYC CD's will be common knowledge).

The 1st and 2nd Amendments will be further adopted outside the United States.

Open, non-DRM 3D printers will be as common as a 2D printer is today in the US.

Personal wayback machines will be standard computing kit.

Cash will still exist.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#52
post #15

I agree on most of the arguments in the book "The Sovereign Individual" on what will most probably happen in the next decades. Summary: https://www.nateliason.com/notes/sovereign-individual

I managed to read the summary. Sounded like blockchain-sovereign citizen crossover fanfic.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#53
post #46

Since at least medieval times, civilization as a whole has tended to move towards freer, more democratic societies - almost without any meaningful, lengthy changes. This is particularly true since the industrial revolution. (Correct me if I'm wrong above.) Given this, I find it hard to believe that future societies would somehow become more oppressive. Rather, I think true democracy will have reached virtually, if no…

> Since at least medieval times, civilization as a whole has tended to move towards freer, more democratic societies - almost without any meaningful, lengthy changes. This is particularly true since the industrial revolution. (Correct me if I'm wrong above.) This is a very Eurocentric view. In the rest of the world, this mostly wasn't (and still isn't) the case.

Yeah, I realize I'm being rather eurocentric. The setbacks have been longer and more plentiful in Africa and Asia, but I maintain that the trend is also true there.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#54
Started as a joke here on HN, there is a series of predictions based on a numerical correspondence between the intervals [1436,+\infty) and [1969,+\infty), where:

- 1436 is the invention of the printing press and

- 1969 is the start of the ARPANET.

Many of them are postdictions (to validate the correspondence) but the funny thing is that the series ends in the year 2024, where there is a sort of singularity, because the interval [1436,1969] maps to [1969,2024].

https://mbuliga.github.io/gutenberg-net.html

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#55

Nothing of real significance will happen. I know this for a fact this because in 1967 I wrote about 2017. Nothing become true, Finland does not have Space Forces, cars do not fly, lasers do remove space junk from orbit etcetc. The Lasering of space junk was part of Finland's 100 year celebration, instead of fireworks the worn-out space-vessel "Kokko" was destroyed with lasers.

You think nothing of real significance happened between 1967 and 2017? The 90's was extreme with both internet and cellphones becoming mainstream, suddenly you no longer needed several bookshelves full of encyclopedias just to look up information and everyone was reachable from anywhere! 2000's and 2010's where pretty lackluster in comparison as they just fleshed out the offerings from the 90's, but we could very wel…

I had a personal computer in 1975. And radio amateurs had a pocketable device he could make phone calls everywhere in Finland. The coverage was probably better than cell-phones today, because at 7 Mhz. I also had internet address in 1985: timonoko@nokia.fi.

Nothing much else has happened in last 30 years.

https://www.flickr.com/photos/timonoko/102552851/in/album-72...

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#56
post #15

I agree on most of the arguments in the book "The Sovereign Individual" on what will most probably happen in the next decades. Summary: https://www.nateliason.com/notes/sovereign-individual

I managed to read the summary. Sounded like blockchain-sovereign citizen crossover fanfic.

the book was written in 1999, far before a blockchain existed

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You think nothing of real significance happened between 1967 and 2017? The 90's was extreme with both internet and cellphones becoming mainstream, suddenly you no longer needed several bookshelves full of encyclopedias just to look up information and everyone was reachable from anywhere! 2000's and 2010's where pretty lackluster in comparison as they just fleshed out the offerings from the 90's, but we could very wel…

I had a personal computer in 1975. And radio amateurs had a pocketable device he could make phone calls everywhere in Finland. The coverage was probably better than cell-phones today, because at 7 Mhz. I also had internet address in 1985: timonoko@nokia.fi. Nothing much else has happened in last 30 years. https://www.flickr.com/photos/timonoko/102552851/in/album-72...

You having a computer or your friend having a cellphone didn't change the world, internet and cellphones becoming cheap and mainstream did.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?

#60
Real dairy only comes from hobby farms - artificial milk is at least as good, and tuned for it's final use as drinking milk, cream, cheese, etc, and different health needs.

Many juices and even some pulps, flours etc, are also largely made using engineered yeasts and bacteria. Fruit is reserved for eating directly, or adding as an additive to gain a 'made with real fruit' label.

Similarly most real meat is more a speciality food, reserved for steaks, roasts, ribs, etc, anything processed (minced beef, chicken fillets, soups, curries, pies, sausages) is made using artificial meat. Much pasture is reforested.

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