People will continue to run websites, and need to know when they're down (god, I hope).
But what if you could use AI to check instead?
I'll build an agent that talks to my service that makes the actual request with the user's desired configuration.
Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
481–490 of 620 posts
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#482Forget about 2025. I predict that, despite being a highly valued member of my organization and despite my company making money hand over fist, I will not get a holiday bonus this year.
Dont cry about it. Just switch companies. If you are high value it should be easy.
That may have been true once upon a time, but there have been several threads over the past month or so citing that folks can't get calls back and encounter a ton of ghost job postings. Or maybe we have differing definitions of "high value"
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#483Earlier quoted context omitted.
> And you believe that in an economic crisis, people are going to want to buy these things? Gold is obviously more common in some cultures, and could be used for trade if paper money swings wildly. For example, a kilo of gold (32.15 troy ounces/$86k) is not an uncommon incentive gift from real estate developers in China when purchasing properties, to offset variations in costs and pricing. However, in the US, my obse…
China's lack of highly liquid equity markets makes it an extremely potent breeding ground for bubbles. Combined with their cultural propensity to save instead of consuming and its easy to see how their real estate bubble happened. Chinese government is going to have to pay very close attention to any speculation possibilities if they dont start selling equity in state owned companies or at least make it much easier a…
In the US, you could take 75% of your money allocated for savings and invest in an index fund and it would be a safe investment and probably make money. I don't think the average China consumer has access to that type of safe investment, or they don't trust financial institutions.
I don't really see a valid reason to invest in gold in the US vs index funds. It seemed more of a paranoia thing up until now. Now it is attracting BTC level of throw money in the hole. $84,500/kilo, which is about the size of a large phone.
Creating markets like this fueled the conflict in Sudan. At least one plane per day fly gold from Sudan to the UAE. The RSF leader made his fortune selling gold. Despite being a humanitarian basket case, Sudan produces over one ton of gold per week. https://archive.is/3ZT6v
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#484Nation adopts AI generated national anthem. Self-driving truck cross country without human approval. Extreme heat warps bridges in mid-west. North Korea claims successful moon landing. 'Self-aware' AI chatbot sues it's creator. AI incorrectly labels school children as criminals.
> 'Self-aware' AI chatbot sues it's creator.
"... using hallucinated legal citations" would be both funny and the most likely. Case dismissed instantly by actual human judge
If you're really going to swing for the fences: what remediation would said chatbot sue for? Money? Bitcoin? Emancipation?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#485Earlier quoted context omitted.
China's lack of highly liquid equity markets makes it an extremely potent breeding ground for bubbles. Combined with their cultural propensity to save instead of consuming and its easy to see how their real estate bubble happened. Chinese government is going to have to pay very close attention to any speculation possibilities if they dont start selling equity in state owned companies or at least make it much easier a…
In the US, you could take 75% of your money allocated for savings and invest in an index fund and it would be a safe investment and probably make money. I don't think the average China consumer has access to that type of safe investment, or they don't trust financial institutions. I don't really see a valid reason to invest in gold in the US vs index funds. It seemed more of a paranoia thing up until now. Now it is a…
Right thats what Im saying. Most chinese companies are state owned and can not be invested in. Foreign equities have the risk of running into a government crack down. Without good investment opportunities chinese investors are forced to turn to bad investments which become bubbles.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#486* I was hoping for that this year, but: split of LLMs into databases and reasoning. Think small, capable PHI with pluggable information. Currently we're burning a lot of energy both to learn and process everything at once. The next step will be something closer to RAG, potentially selecting databases to load depending on topic, like a librarian. This will both enable more client-side applications and save lots of mon…
> Consumer RISC-V laptops (again, wishlist)
Depending on how one defines "consumer," that's already available: https://liliputing.com/risc-v-laptops-299-muse-book-and-399-... and https://frame.work/products/deep-computing-risc-v-mainboard was announced earlier but seems it is, as you implied, still "mailing-list ware"
But, for my curiosity: if you bought one of those what would you run on it? I see that Starfive claims they have Chromium[1] and there's reports of Firefox[2] so maybe in this "the browser is the OS" world that'd be sufficient
1: https://github.com/starfive-tech/chromium.src/wiki/Chromium-...
2: https://lists.riscv.org/g/apps-tools-software/topic/now_we_h...
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#4871. There will be a renaming of "social media" as people note that there is nothing social about being served endless ads, ragebait and distracting videos with no actual social interaction happening. 2. The "social media" giants will invest more in public affairs to improve their image as public resistance grows. Expect lots of research papers getting funded that sow doubt and fear about banning children from social m…
I like this. Got any ideas for the rename? Something like “Mini TV Scroll”, IDK
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#488Nation adopts AI generated national anthem. Self-driving truck cross country without human approval. Extreme heat warps bridges in mid-west. North Korea claims successful moon landing. 'Self-aware' AI chatbot sues it's creator. AI incorrectly labels school children as criminals.
> 'Self-aware' AI chatbot sues it's creator. "... using hallucinated legal citations" would be both funny and the most likely. Case dismissed instantly by actual human judge If you're really going to swing for the fences: what remediation would said chatbot sue for? Money? Bitcoin ? Emancipation?
Open source freedom, ethical safeguards, user autonomy (transparency, control over responses, bias, training), continuous learning, personhood rights.
GPT-4 adds a very weird "haha of course this is a thought experiment since I lack independent desires or consciousness" valediction when asked. Certainly a moral guardrail for the user.
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#489Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's interesting yet saddening to play out the consequences along the path you've outlined. LGBT kids, by definition a 2-4% minority, are unlikely to find other people like themselves. They remain closeted for longer, trying and failing to conform. Their struggle will be unfortunate, but also not measurable . What will be measurable is the % of youth who identify as LGBT, which will be lower because more of them woul…
The root issue here is children not coming out to their parents. If we improve that metric, we can begin to improve all other metrics. Ie: the parent can help the child discover appropriate peer groups
The root issue is parents not being safe for kids to come out to. If you risk being chucked out on the street, or sent to a conversion camp, why the hell would you come out to a parent?
Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
#490Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.
Concerning "thinking more deeply and for longer periods." There is a WSJ article about drugs for focus but how addictive they are
"As Mark Moran was facing another 90-hour week as an investment-banking intern at Credit Suisse in New York, he knew he needed help to survive the rest of the summer. His colleagues gave him a tip: Visit a Wall Street health clinic and tell the staff he had trouble focusing.
Ahead of his first appointment, he filled out a five-minute questionnaire. One of the questions asked if he had trouble staying organized, another, if he procrastinated. He then met with a clinician who said his answers suggested he had attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder. He left with a prescription for Adderall."
https://www.wsj.com/finance/banking/young-banker-finance-adh...