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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#431

Post by david927 »

ColanR wrote: post #410
youngNed wrote: post #364

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this 'people are rich because they are smart' is not a take i expected to find on HN. Its not quite as damaging as 'people are rich because they work harder' but its really not far off

To me it falls in a similar category as how highly intelligent people are less likely to be overweight. I think that with intelligence comes a better sense of how to control oneself. Ever seen the stats on how often lottery winners end up going broke? Not that many people have the capacity and knowledge to control their emotions with their reason. Being wealthy is not a question of making money, it's a question of ke…

This is the type of statistic that embarrasses statistics. How many of those rated "highly intelligent" (I would be fascinated on how they measured that!) were in an elevated economic group and so now we're reduced to tautology.

Lottery winners have had no experience in managing wealth, often have had years and decades of being impoverished and wishing for products like jewelry that was always out of reach, and then they get inundated with money. They found that who marshmallow experiment was literally kids who have their needs met aren't rushing to consume what's in front of them and that patience pays off.

You're not making any argument here other than when you're born wealthy you're more likely to be wealthy, and that we know.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#432

Post by orangepurple »

aaronsimpson wrote: post #255
JasserInicide wrote: post #189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Deglobalization I mean, I think it'd be nice, but in the US our leaders are so fucking corrupt and owned by business interests that I don't see it happening until at least all the boomers/Gen Xers die off.

Is globalization really the result of corrupt leaders though, or a shift in corporate practice to accommodate the rising demands of consumers? It seems like no amount of corruption really matters as long as we're drinking lattes and eating avocado every day.

It's cyclical because demand is induced through media propaganda. In turn US media is owned by oligarchs, which in turn have a stake in companies that benefit from rising demands of consumers.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#433

Post by bombcar »

kickout wrote: post #394
markisus wrote: post #342

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I heard about many companies in this space that have since shut down / become acquihired. Root AI acquired by AppHarvest [1], Abundant Robotics (shut down) [2], Traptic acquired by Bowery [3]. To me, this suggests that the problem is hard. Last I checked, the state of the art in robotic grasping seems similar to the state of many other AI systems before ML hit the scene. It's super-mathematized all to the questionabl…

The higher value crops (fruits, veggies) have different and more difficult problems than maize,soybean,wheat,cotton which are grown in huge fields with known parameters (thanks to precision planting, etc.). Having machines till the space between these rows would be an easy proof of concept. Syncing and coordinating multi machines in one field would be step two. There's 200M acres like this and farmers would be happy…

The problem is the "easy crops" are already harvested by a machine that's GPS guided and nearly infinitely wide; at that point hiring some farmer to "pilot" it is cheap.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#434

Post by 888666 »

spaetzleesser wrote: post #317
Geee wrote: post #284

General purpose humanoid robots. They're kind of mainstream idea, but very few people talk about them or take them seriously. Humanoid robots will have an absolutely massive impact in very near future. Most people don't realize that with general purpose humanoid robots, labor becomes software. Labor becomes repeateable, testable, simulatable, modular, extensible, verifiable, etc. All things that apply to software wil…

“Put your robot in a forest with a few tools and soon you'll have a log house - built perfectly to the spec.l I wonder how the capitalists will deal with this. If we have a robot that can build and maintain a house and grow food for you, how will they make money?

Selling robots

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#436

Post by zajio1am »

dicroce wrote: post #368
kanzure wrote: post #344

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"If the audience is supposed to accept that genetic determinism is true in Gattaca, then no amount of Vincent's hard work should make Vincent a hero. He's just a fraud. If the audience is not supposed to believe that in the world of Gattaca genetic determinism is true (that is, it's false), then it should be interpreted as a story of discrimination, and a story of the underdog's heroic hard work overcoming the negati…

It's not that you cannot use Genetic information to accurately predict certain aspects of someone's future... It's that genetic information tells you nothing about human will, and human will can overcome a lot.

Why do you think that predispositions for human will are not genetically determinted?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#437

Post by orangepurple »

SoftTalker wrote: post #211
JasserInicide wrote: post #189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Deglobalization I mean, I think it'd be nice, but in the US our leaders are so fucking corrupt and owned by business interests that I don't see it happening until at least all the boomers/Gen Xers die off.

Of course when they were young, the Boomers said that about all the people in power at that time. Big government power attracts corruptible people. This doesn't change in a generation. It probably doesn't change ever.

I'd go a step further and assert that big government generally only allows corruptible people to ascend in power

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#438

Post by lesuorac »

spywaregorilla wrote: post #405
c7DJTLrn wrote: post #350

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ironically this could all be happening because a lack of nukes. Ukraine gave theirs away and have been left essentially naked and defenceless since. Would Putin have thought twice if they had a nuclear arsenal? Who knows.

Ukraine didn't have the codes to use them.

I mean Ukrainians aren't idiots, I'm sure they could've either cracked any necessary codes or worked around their need in the ~31 years since 1991 (Ukraine's independence).

I suspect it would be easiest to just take the nuclear material out of the unusable missiles and construct a different weapon using it. Russia is adjacent to them so any sort of nuclear weapon launch-able from an artillery or plane still sounds useful.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#439

Post by kleer001 »

spaetzleesser wrote: post #317
Geee wrote: post #284

General purpose humanoid robots. They're kind of mainstream idea, but very few people talk about them or take them seriously. Humanoid robots will have an absolutely massive impact in very near future. Most people don't realize that with general purpose humanoid robots, labor becomes software. Labor becomes repeateable, testable, simulatable, modular, extensible, verifiable, etc. All things that apply to software wil…

“Put your robot in a forest with a few tools and soon you'll have a log house - built perfectly to the spec.l I wonder how the capitalists will deal with this. If we have a robot that can build and maintain a house and grow food for you, how will they make money?

that robot will only be leased or rented and impossible to fix by the consumer, the newest one will outshine the last version just enough to get people to buy it.

think cell phones

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#440

Post by orangepurple »

kvothe_ wrote: post #167
mikewarot wrote: post #94

Deglobalization -- In the US, we're about to be forced to rebuild all the manufacturing we outsourced since the 1970s. It's not going to go well for thos countries dependent on imported food or energy. It's possible a billion people will face famine in the next year or two as a result of the loss of grain from Russia and Ukraine, along with the loss of Fertilizers (or being priced out of them) Energy Blindness -- We'…

unlikely we'll rebuild locally. We will outsource it to a friendlier country with cheap labor. In 50 yrs the cycle will repeat. (Probably South America.)

That country will be Mexico. There is already a strong logistics relationship with that country and it will only get stronger
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