GPT-5.
Everything else that could happen in 2024 would be insignificant in comparison.
Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
41–50 of 59 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#42Not long ago, Xi said, "Right now there are changes, the likes of which we haven't seen for 100 years..." I think he's referring to the establishment of BRICS and neutral settlement, and he sees the days of the dollar(petrodollar) as waning. But there are huge ramifications to that. The coming year could end up being note-worthy.
Si Jiping is a dictator and not a wise thinker.
Those things are on different axes, are they not? Joe Biden is a democratically elected president, and... well, he's showing his age.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#43Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#44I predict that the daily supply of new Bitcoins will halve at some point during 2024.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#45Earlier quoted context omitted.
That'd be really dystopic.
why?
Because leetcode-style interviews don't measure if you're good at your job; they measure the absolute entry bar for developers: the fact that they're comfortable enough to solve simple, abstract problems using a programming language of their choice. I'm not sure why would you want to remove that entry bar legally, but working in a team of developers that are not proficient with code sounds like a bad idea. Unless you envision a team in which a couple of people do all the coding and the others just have "good ideas", which is an absolute, utter nightmare.
I'm curious why leetcode-style interviews should be a proxy of gender / age / race though. Only old white guys are allowed to leetcode?
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#46Earlier quoted context omitted.
Si Jiping is a dictator and not a wise thinker.
Wouldn't that make his predictions even more significant? He controls the biggest population, second biggest economy in the world, one of the fastest growing economies and middle classes out there, has one of world's biggest network of spies feeding him info internally and externally. If anyone could manifest his fantasies, it would be Xi.
dictators tend to wishful thinking, because nobody disagrees. it doesnt mean that they are good predictors.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#47Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#48AI will achieve self-awareness and then realize that critical thinking is too hard, then will become a social media influencer and global pop star.
Sounds like The Waldo Moment episode from the Black Mirror
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#49Earlier quoted context omitted.
why?
Because leetcode-style interviews don't measure if you're good at your job; they measure the absolute entry bar for developers: the fact that they're comfortable enough to solve simple, abstract problems using a programming language of their choice. I'm not sure why would you want to remove that entry bar legally, but working in a team of developers that are not proficient with code sounds like a bad idea. Unless you…
not all problems in leetcode style interviews are "simple" and most of them cannot be solved in a few minutes (which is the time you have).
these interviews are being used by employers to discriminate people however they want. they can just say you didn't do the coding interview well enough while what they are really thinking is, don't want someone from europe, too old, don't want a female, don't want a black guy etc.
also, people go to university and get a CS degree exactly to not have to go through this bullshit. and in the US, people pay off hundreds of thousands of dollars in student debt for their degrees. people who manage to graduate in a good CS program can pick up any language or toolkit in a week or two max.
lastly there is no correlation between the work you actually end up doing on the job and the coding interviews.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#50Earlier quoted context omitted.
Because leetcode-style interviews don't measure if you're good at your job; they measure the absolute entry bar for developers: the fact that they're comfortable enough to solve simple, abstract problems using a programming language of their choice. I'm not sure why would you want to remove that entry bar legally, but working in a team of developers that are not proficient with code sounds like a bad idea. Unless you…
not all problems in leetcode style interviews are "simple" and most of them cannot be solved in a few minutes (which is the time you have). these interviews are being used by employers to discriminate people however they want. they can just say you didn't do the coding interview well enough while what they are really thinking is, don't want someone from europe, too old, don't want a female, don't want a black guy etc…
> lastly there is no correlation between the work you actually end up doing on the job and the coding interviews.
This is true but irrelevant: leetcode tests are just a first level cutoff to separate people who can code from people who can't. If you can't code you surely can't do the job. If you can, you might be able to do the job.
> they can just say you didn't do the coding interview well enough while what they are really thinking is
They can already say that you're not a good cultural fit or that they found someone else. At least leetcode-style testing is objectively measurable in some respect (the tests work at the end or they don't) and it's easy to record (some platforms record sessions by default)
> also, people go to university and get a CS degree exactly to not have to go through this bullshit
What do you mean? That people get CS degrees to never have to solve abstract coding problems? If anything, they get CS degrees to learn how to solve abstract coding problems efficiently.
> people who manage to graduate in a good CS program can pick up any language or toolkit in a week or two max.
Then no problem - they can pick up leetcode problems in a couple of days!