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Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#41

Post by mhd »

- WFH will increase and thus apps and processes that support this. For example, I expect we have one additional team communication product on the Slack/Teams level of popularity. Focusing on either privacy or more employer surveillance.

- Legal issues for AI coding help.

- Commercial support/add-ons for the "fediverse". Resulting in a lot of de-federalization and thus at least two sub-spheres.

- AAA gaming will tackle the new rise of AI. Better bots, for one (your computer will now insult your mom, too). Prompting tech journalists to coin horrible new pseudo-acronyms like "AIAIAI" or "AAAAI".

- More people moving away from VSC due to better LSP integration in existing and new editors (Helix, neovim etc.)

- You'll read a lot more about "permacomputing", with no definite products.

- Metaverse will continue to fail, possible new book by Jared Lanier gloating.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#42

Post by jhoelzel »

arcturus17 wrote: post #38

- Microsoft will continue to grow. Their tech ecosystem is hyper-expansive, touching everything related to development and IT (.Net, TypeScript, Github, VSCode, PowerPlatform, Azure, etc.). Please don't directly come at me with moral qualms or commentary on the quality of their products - I'm just the messenger. - Low-code tooling will see a growth spurt, not driven by "citizen developers" but by increased developer…

"ChatGPT will not replace coders at least in 2023"

ChatGPT is the smaller model more aimed at chat, the davincy model is already better ;)

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#43

Post by mudrockbestgirl »

I'll make an anti-prediction instead. People will fail to find decent use cases for ChatGPT/etc. We'll get used to the fact that AI models can generate language that looks indistinguishable from humans on the surface, but there won't be profound impact. GPT-3 was released in 2020, and generative image models have been decent since ~2017. In the short term there hasn't been as huge of an impact as many have predicted. It'll probably happen very slowly over the next 5-10 years. People overestimate the short term.

Twitter is going to be interesting to watch. I think it'll either crash and burn, or become huge doing something very different from what it is now.

EDIT: I'll add one more. Meta will keep declining and fails to deliver anything meaningful wrt. Metaverse.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#44

Post by lefstathiou »

I’m not an expert in anything, just wild guesses projecting some of my biases:

1- significant portion of mass market retail becomes automated. Labor is getting too expensive and entitled. Everyone needs to hire no one wants to work and businesses can’t make $20 minimum wages profitable.

2- Drone military spending goes up by 10-100x. Fueled again by enlistment shortages and arms proliferation and need for deterrence.

3- AR/VR becomes the most hyped consumer technology (more than now). People are thirsting for something new and a 100 megapixel camera in the phone doesn’t move the needle

4- More and more companies announce migration away from Chinese manufacturing. Vietnam and India become primary beneficiaries. Global undeclared economic war wages on.

5- Google and Fb will see persistent losses in active usage. They are too addicted to the ad money and user experience is becoming borderline hostile.

6- Still won’t be able to buy PS5 if you want one. Nintendo will continue to milk the switch without a meaningful update. Won’t stop unless sales dry up.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#45

Post by prohobo »

rudrakshsingh wrote: post #16
prohobo wrote: post #3

Nothing particularly interesting outside of AI. But, a lot of interesting new products enabled by the integration of GPT-3, maybe even in the crypto scene. For example, there have always been ideas floating around about creating a blockchain based repository of scientific knowledge or social media or whatever. The main blockers for ideas like that were always content moderation at scale: how do you know that what som…

But why do we need a blockchain based social media?

Let's take Twitter for example. There's new information coming out that Twitter colluded with the US government to shadow-ban and censor political opponents (including politicians) in the last 4-5 years, without anyone knowing about it, or being able to prove it.

That wouldn't be possible on a blockchain-based social platform because the algorithm would be public, provably in use, and there would likely be voting mechanisms for changes to the algorithm.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#46

Post by exitb »

huseyinkeles wrote: post #36
poisonborz wrote: post #6

2022 predictions https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29760026 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236

Seems like someone successfully predicted Russia invading a country (Ukraine). https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746655 Another one, even more accurate with the energy crisis we are having right now in Europe. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746942

It's not such an outrageous guess, Russia has been building up the army presence at the Ukrainian border for months before the invasion, citing military exercises as the official reason.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#47

Post by GartzenDeHaes »

louison11 wrote: post #2

- Big Tech becoming more privacy-friendly (just like Apple who just enabled end-to-end encryption on iCloud) - Mostly a lot of the same stagnation we've seen in the tech industry for the past 5 years. - Some sprouts of innovation around generative language, probably around fact checking, detecting and removing "hallucinations" from models. But probably not anything significant enough to significantly shift anything f…

> Big Tech becoming more privacy-friendly

Privacy is not having a camera in your bedroom. Promises to protect the data collected from the camera are meaningless.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#48

Post by nnoitra »

unsupp0rted wrote: post #35
Saphyel wrote: post #23

I think Digital currencies and Rust. More chinise apps will conquer the market like tiktok is doing

I think that TikTok was low-hanging fruit. It's hard to replicate that success.

No post body was provided.

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#49

Post by arcturus17 »

jhoelzel wrote: post #42
arcturus17 wrote: post #38

- Microsoft will continue to grow. Their tech ecosystem is hyper-expansive, touching everything related to development and IT (.Net, TypeScript, Github, VSCode, PowerPlatform, Azure, etc.). Please don't directly come at me with moral qualms or commentary on the quality of their products - I'm just the messenger. - Low-code tooling will see a growth spurt, not driven by "citizen developers" but by increased developer…

"ChatGPT will not replace coders at least in 2023" ChatGPT is the smaller model more aimed at chat, the davincy model is already better ;)

To produce working software systems, you need, among other things:

- Business analysis / product management skills

- Software architecture skills

- Ability to read the code output, and edit it as needed

- Ability to run the code and deploy it

- Ability to debug it

- A combination of all of the above to prioritize and implement changes as business requirements evolve

Does Davinci directly address any of this?

Re: Ask HN: What are your technology trends predictions for 2023?

#50

Post by genezeta »

loosescrews wrote: post #18
dopeboy wrote: post #10

* Generative imagery starts finding commercial use cases, with advertising as the first destination. * Copilot continues growing among developers, and eventually reaches a point where it's as essential as autocomplete or syntax highlighting. * Venture capital remains dry for half of the year. * Someone - with bets on figma - ships a feature that auto generates react code from a design. This process is ripe for automa…

> Someone - with bets on figma - ships a feature that auto generates react code from a design. This process is ripe for automation. https://www.framer.com/

That website has such poor performance on my browser that I just had to close it. It doesn't give a very good impression about their product.
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