1) developers won't be needed anymore (https://medium.com/thron-tech/as-a-service-offering-is-chang...)
2) population decline will be huge, but not for the reasons most ppl talk about. It will be because we will reach a "good enough" sex robot and that will end most physical relationships between sexes
3) there will be just one or two languages in the whole world, with a huge loss in diversity from a culture standpoint
4) we will be augmented with tech and bio implants to enhance our perceptions (better sight and hearing). Genetical imperfection will be only for poor people
5) cars will be disappearing in favor of "transportation pods" that will act as "transport-as-a-service" elements.
6) HUGE wars will arise because of the crisis in capitalims. Work won't be a reason to get a salary anymore, this will lead to the biggest social crisis ever
and many more... but i'll stop here :D
Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
41–50 of 99 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#42Music(Songs) at-least in English language would be largely, completely machine generated. Reasoning: songs leading the charts are mostly written by same lyricists, music is largely dependent on auto tunes, repetitive sections, machine learning algorithms for audio processing is growing at a fast rate.
Possibly true for the horrendous muzak-like audial otyughs known as chart music. People will never cease to make artistically meaningful music, though.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#431) developers won't be needed anymore ( https://medium.com/thron-tech/as-a-service-offering-is-chang... ) 2) population decline will be huge, but not for the reasons most ppl talk about. It will be because we will reach a "good enough" sex robot and that will end most physical relationships between sexes 3) there will be just one or two languages in the whole world, with a huge loss in diversity from a culture standp…
Ive long said that a good enough/affordable sex robot is more dangerous to the western civilization than literally any weapon of mass destruction.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#44Since at least medieval times, civilization as a whole has tended to move towards freer, more democratic societies - almost without any meaningful, lengthy changes. This is particularly true since the industrial revolution. (Correct me if I'm wrong above.)
Given this, I find it hard to believe that future societies would somehow become more oppressive. Rather, I think true democracy will have reached virtually, if not practically, all of the world. Menial tasks have largely become automated. Most people are well fed, secure and have access to education and information. Brick and mortar stores (be they for clothing, groceries or anything else) are largely a thing of luxury.
Speaking of education, most societies do not emphasize a traditional educational path involving 3-5 years at universities like they do now. Higher institutions now play a larger role but the benefits of technology in information diffusion and communication now means we have more meaningful and regarded ways of acquiring knowledge in other places, in other periods of life and at different paces.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#45[deleted]
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#46Since at least medieval times, civilization as a whole has tended to move towards freer, more democratic societies - almost without any meaningful, lengthy changes. This is particularly true since the industrial revolution. (Correct me if I'm wrong above.) Given this, I find it hard to believe that future societies would somehow become more oppressive. Rather, I think true democracy will have reached virtually, if no…
> Since at least medieval times, civilization as a whole has tended to move towards freer, more democratic societies - almost without any meaningful, lengthy changes. This is particularly true since the industrial revolution. (Correct me if I'm wrong above.)
This is a very Eurocentric view. In the rest of the world, this mostly wasn't (and still isn't) the case.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#47Nothing of real significance will happen. I know this for a fact this because in 1967 I wrote about 2017. Nothing become true, Finland does not have Space Forces, cars do not fly, lasers do remove space junk from orbit etcetc. The Lasering of space junk was part of Finland's 100 year celebration, instead of fireworks the worn-out space-vessel "Kokko" was destroyed with lasers.
You think nothing of real significance happened between 1967 and 2017? The 90's was extreme with both internet and cellphones becoming mainstream, suddenly you no longer needed several bookshelves full of encyclopedias just to look up information and everyone was reachable from anywhere! 2000's and 2010's where pretty lackluster in comparison as they just fleshed out the offerings from the 90's, but we could very well have another decade similar to the 90's again.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#48You'll have a guaranteed next World War considering the current decouplings and many countries exiting from international treaties that provide stabilisation.
I have no idea what will be the the post-war order so impossible to predict.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#49After Second American Civil War of 2025 and the following Drone Wars across the globe, the nation-state system will fall. It'll be replaced by a mix of city-states near the coasts and corporate territories in the hinterlands, with the two existing in an uneasy tension.
Several city-states (notably SFBay, NYC DC, Pearl River, Amsterdam, Venice, Florida, and Houston) will be wiped off the map, either by the Drone Wars or by rising sea levels and increasingly violent storms. Also, regions like the American Midwest, the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and the Bengal/Burma/Myanmar area will be severely depopulated as regional conflicts and border skirmishes lead to the near-extinction of the local populace from drone cleansing efforts. Sub-Saharan Africa (now split between the Corporate States of Alcoa, DeBeers, and BP) will still be populated, but not by Africans. The Corporate State of ExxonMobil in Northern Athabasca will be a rising power, as will be the Corporate States of Monsanto in Canada and Russia. The City States of Barrow, Cambridge Bay, Taloyoak, and Fort Ross will be rising economic powers on the Arctic Ocean, as will be there lesser-populated equivalents in Siberia. The Corporate State of SpaceX will just be establishing the first Mars colony.
Standards of living for the survivors will be high. The near complete destruction of existing infrastructure in the Drone Wars will allow surviving cities to rebuild with more modern technology; in particular, the widespread adoption of robotics in that conflict means that most daily transportation and logistic problems are taken care of by machines. Everything is electrified, powered by renewable solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal sources. The severe depopulation in the Drone Wars means that the survivors are able to bargain for higher wages and better working conditions, and many Corporate States are run as egalitarian worker collectives (albeit at the cost of oppressing or exterminating the native populations they displace). City States face continued inequality, though, as they struggle to care for skill-less refugees that were not killed in the Drone Wars.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for the next 50 years?
#5050 years seems to medium term predictions, which is near impossible to predict.
For everything else.