41–50 of 69 posts
I expect something big from Microsoft - something really really big.
- Increasing success of Android
- New FB feature of being able to split up who your messages go to by groups, massive profit for Facebook.
My Domain:
- A lot of move in fashion towards more sustainability, the biggest changes will be in five years though, not one:
- I've written about it at changingclothing.recojeans.com, more specifically changingclothing.recojeans.com/eco-friendly-clothing/
Next year austerity and rising interest rate will take root in major economies, forced by runaway inflation in food, gas and commodity prices - caused by massive printing by US/Europe/Japan/China. This will result in money in flight from risky investments (emerging countries, startups, expansions) to safe investments, which will cause job losses in many of those sectors. Healthcare and Food industries will grow. Ente…
This is a curious expectation, but it feels right to me (with a degree in economics). Recessions are usually preceded by inflation, not followed, However, wars are usually followed by inflation. Since 1960 inflation has been over 600%, energy about 850%. My expectation, is that a huge amount of money has been pumped in to the economy to pay for the wars and the bail-outs. The money is being absorbed by the wars and t…
"The money is being absorbed by the wars and the trade deficits."
Wars do not absorb money, they absorb wealth -- money is paid to make a bullet, and after the bullet is shot the money remains to decrease the value of all money, and the bullet is gone.
Trade deficits can move accumulated wealth (or money) around, but they also don't absorb it; a foreign country might absorb money, if they decide to stockpile it.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The curious thing is that they are already here, e.g. Python/Ruby vs Java. According to Clayton Christensen it takes a paradigm shift of over 5x improvement before anyone notices. I dont think the shift will be programming language based because the decision makers dont pay attention to programmers. (I'm speaking the enterprise world here, not startups.) But I hope you're right, not me. :-)
Right, I'm thinking that X will happen to Python/Ruby like Python/Ruby happened to Java. A 5x improvement is a lot to ask for...I don't think that Python/Ruby offers 5x over Java, and to get 5x over Python/Ruby will be very hard. Even describing software in reasonably precise English probably doesn't offer 5x over the state of the art. On the other hand, 50% is definitely feasible. The form this will take is a combin…
I have been inclined to think for quite a while that a good IDE / compiler combination would achieve a lot with a language Python. (I've been doing my Python development with an ordinary editor.) Python 3 allows type specification, but doesnt do anything with it. Have the IDE get feedback from the execution profile to advise the programmer on possible type errors.
Testing tools: I would like a tool that can read a method and some annotation to generate a set of unit tests.
Given your list I think it results in way more than 50% improvement.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is a curious expectation, but it feels right to me (with a degree in economics). Recessions are usually preceded by inflation, not followed, However, wars are usually followed by inflation. Since 1960 inflation has been over 600%, energy about 850%. My expectation, is that a huge amount of money has been pumped in to the economy to pay for the wars and the bail-outs. The money is being absorbed by the wars and t…
I agree with you, but I think your terminology is inexact when you say: "The money is being absorbed by the wars and the trade deficits." Wars do not absorb money, they absorb wealth -- money is paid to make a bullet, and after the bullet is shot the money remains to decrease the value of all money, and the bullet is gone. Trade deficits can move accumulated wealth (or money) around, but they also don't absorb it; a…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
My prediction: Overall price inflation in the USA will remain low.
I am curious to know your reasoning. In a post in this thread I was leaning towards inflation in a few years, with the other possibility being a long recession or Japanese style stagflation. The downside would come from an austerity program hitting the middle class.
Scott Sumner has written some things on this: http://www.themoneyillusion.com/
The fact that interest rates are very low is also a hint that maybe inflation expectations are not very high.
A good source for the relevant interest rates: http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bond... (yield column). You can also compare to Japan there.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
My prediction: Overall price inflation in the USA will remain low.
I am curious to know your reasoning. In a post in this thread I was leaning towards inflation in a few years, with the other possibility being a long recession or Japanese style stagflation. The downside would come from an austerity program hitting the middle class.