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Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

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31–40 of 53 posts

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#32

The cool thing about AI is that its all or nothing. What we have right now is not really AI, its not really intelligence in the sense that the models can't reason. All the models out there are forward pass (and yes, even recurrent ones, which can essentially be unrolled). There is nothing on the horizon that indicates that we are even close to getting something that can reason, or are headed in the right direction. T…

> the cool thing about it is that you will be able to simply ask it a question "Im a regular guy, what is the best way for me to optimize my life that guarantees my current standard of living?", and it will answer this for you.

It won't be able to make you exercise 5x a week or reduce alcohol consumption to change your life. Advices from AI will be even more ignored.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#33

The cool thing about AI is that its all or nothing. What we have right now is not really AI, its not really intelligence in the sense that the models can't reason. All the models out there are forward pass (and yes, even recurrent ones, which can essentially be unrolled). There is nothing on the horizon that indicates that we are even close to getting something that can reason, or are headed in the right direction. T…

> the cool thing about it is that you will be able to simply ask it a question "Im a regular guy, what is the best way for me to optimize my life that guarantees my current standard of living?", and it will answer this for you. It won't be able to make you exercise 5x a week or reduce alcohol consumption to change your life. Advices from AI will be even more ignored.

It will be able to reason through your psychology insanely well through a combination of trained material of all the research. It will ask you questions, build an internal model of you, simulate things and match it with known research and evidence to give you a plan.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#34

I want to second two other responses: first, the one about outsourcing to India. This was a very real threat, and practically no one wanted to get a CS degree for a while. But we learned that the hard part about writing software is not hacking out code, it's communicating with the people that are driving requirements. Being in the same culture and time zone turned out to be more important than being cheap. This part…

>Finally, breathe a little. We have some time, probably. The world won't change overnight.

Tell that to all the artists, desginers, editors, copywriters, voice actors, customer support folks, and on and on...

There are many, many people facing real existential threats, with no clear path to what to reskill towards.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#35
post #8

I have tried a variety of AI tools to simply Transcribe or Translate French to English from audio and video tracks. One of my favourite French TV series with 35 episodes and there are no English subtitles for it. With all the hype around AI I thought it would be a simple task using Open whisper, Open whisper faster and Vibe. I Downloaded and tried all and every model, still no success. I have extracted the audio with…

Try subsai on github. I recently used it to bulk subscribe and subtitle many hours of video of an accented speaker talking in a speciality domain with the appropriate jargon and i would say using the openai api model for whisper it was about 95-97% accurate. Super impressive.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#36

I want to second two other responses: first, the one about outsourcing to India. This was a very real threat, and practically no one wanted to get a CS degree for a while. But we learned that the hard part about writing software is not hacking out code, it's communicating with the people that are driving requirements. Being in the same culture and time zone turned out to be more important than being cheap. This part…

> Being in the same culture and time zone turned out to be more important than being cheap.

I wish my company would learn this. We’re a US company, and they just gave all the lead project management positions to EMEA and about 60% of development to APAC. It’s a mess trying to schedule meetings or to get everyone on the same page.

They’re trying so hard to be global that they’ve thrown logic out the window. They’ve been trying for a decade, and every time a new leader gets hired, they try again. I’d much rather work with a team in Brazil, at least we can meet during most of the day without working weird hours.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#37

I want to second two other responses: first, the one about outsourcing to India. This was a very real threat, and practically no one wanted to get a CS degree for a while. But we learned that the hard part about writing software is not hacking out code, it's communicating with the people that are driving requirements. Being in the same culture and time zone turned out to be more important than being cheap. This part…

>Finally, breathe a little. We have some time, probably. The world won't change overnight. Tell that to all the artists, desginers, editors, copywriters, voice actors, customer support folks, and on and on... There are many, many people facing real existential threats, with no clear path to what to reskill towards.

I would think artists would adapt. The camera drastically reduced the need for portrait painters and photorealism in general, but painters still exist and styles evolved.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#38

I am worried too. But not as much for the AI itself, but the hoards of brainless humans (including quite a number in positions of at least some power) who are being seduced by the idea of AI without a hint of critical thought.

I hate how quickly people are willing to give up thinking once a new magic tool comes along.

Even without AI, I’ll write a basic script to automate a task, and people will assume it’s magic. They’ll feed it complete garbage in, then wonder why it doesn’t work. They will also instantly forget how to do the task manually, after having done it manually for years prior. Within 2 days they forget everything and are fully dependent on their new tool. It’s terrifying.

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#39
This is a case where The Bitter Lesson [0] should make you feel better about the future. We are already butting up against the limitations of the current model and veering into fine-tuning and incremental improvement of what we've got (RAG, etc). The next step change will indeed leverage an order of magnitude more compute, but what we have now isn't "it" (AGI).

[0] http://www.incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html

Re: Ask HN: How to deal with the AI-pocalypse as a regular guy?

#40

At my workplace they recently enabled Microsoft's Copilot which is basically OpenAI + RAG. It's a joke. It is painful to watch how slow it types. About 30% of the time it doesn't work at all. I asked it how big a particle accelerator would have to be to have 1 PeV protons and it got the right equation for the radius of the ring but it told me the ring would be like 10^34 meters in radius which is about 10^24 times to…

But why are you asking copilot physics questions?
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