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Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

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31–40 of 60 posts

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#31
Just thinking about ChatGPT: it

* doesn't "care" if its output is true or false

* is weak at humour

which (for the moment) suggests that there remains a niche for people who have integrity and can laugh at themselves.

(Should that niche disappear in the future, at least one won't have lived in a shameful manner before then:

  Losing one glove
  is certainly painful,
  but nothing 
     compared to the pain,
  of losing one,
  throwing away the other,
  and finding 
     the first one again. )

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#32

AI will make trivial stuff easier to work with, so we can focus on the harder stuff. This isn't going to hit critical mass for at least another decade, so you have time. > built some pretty fun and cool things like chess engines, video games, 3d renderers from scratch and competed in my national computing contest with a solid placement You're already ahead of 99% of the folks out there. Learn AI, learn ML, get into t…

I agree with you but I also fear that we are making the classic mistake of thinking linearly when the changes will happen on a exponential which is something I think the OP hinted at with regard to Alpha Go.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#33
If it turns out that AI with respect to programming is just a productivity amplifier for programmers - which is all it is currently - then it will be more like a rising tide floats all boats - I think you'd rather be in the mix and super adept at any new techniques and you'll be more competitive than those who fail to adapt. Otherwise - look at what OpenAI suggests and is mentioned in another comment - find the niche and create and train the AI for that niche - profit.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#34

Focus on something you expect AI not to exceed professional humans at in the next couple of decades. If you're convinced there's no such thing, then I wouldn't worry so much about career choice. For a concrete answer in tech, have a look at AI development itself. Keep abreast of what OpenAI and their competitors identify as open problems and orient your academic career towards working in them. The object level questi…

> Focus on something you expect AI not to exceed professional humans at in the next couple of decades.

So I should focus on driving a car?

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#35

Focus on something you expect AI not to exceed professional humans at in the next couple of decades. If you're convinced there's no such thing, then I wouldn't worry so much about career choice. For a concrete answer in tech, have a look at AI development itself. Keep abreast of what OpenAI and their competitors identify as open problems and orient your academic career towards working in them. The object level questi…

> Focus on something you expect AI not to exceed professional humans at in the next couple of decades. So I should focus on driving a car?

Yes, we should all become professional truck drivers. I hear they make six figures too.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#37
post #2

AI will often lie confidently. It will need expert humans to correct these “hallucinations”. You’ll be safe, kiddo.

100% for the near term but a couple decades from now I'm not so sure. Chess computers beat humans every single time even the absolute best of the best and they keep getting even better even since they first beat a world champion over 30 years ago. Is it not likely that similar trends could happen in other areas?

How can you test whether a computer lies? It basically needs to have a model of the world, by which point that becomes AGI, so indeed no human is safe. Until then, we have nothing to worry about.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#38
Classically, what you're looking for in a stable career is to be part of a generational cohort that is well-positioned to transition from something emerging, risky, and low-value, into a more established senior role. And then stay there forever, holding the expertise captive until retirement, at which point the economy now has to figure out what to do without your indispensable knowledge.

This is actually a process that has been a big part of recent news: the Boomer generation, being oversized and long-lived, sucked up a lot of the jobs. By the time their Millenial children arrived, a lot of career paths had no emerging prospects because the parents were still there, still in the same roles, and the world had become fantastically more competitive through globalization. But now they've finally begun to age out altogether, and that transition plays into the dynamic of high unrest, financial turmoil and anxiety around tech that we're experiencing.

The thing is, tech is something societies decide to invent pragmatically, based on what available science allows. We invent "automobile tech" because policy and available resources supported its widespread use in the richest parts of the world. In the ones destroyed by WWII, auto tech still existed but was complemented with reinvestment in rail tech.

So with ML AI, the tech is something we're currently looking for models of application for. The science is cool, and there are certain things it's great at, but contra the "learn AI" replies, that doesn't mean the "AI industry" is something you'll gain the most leverage from by approaching it at its most fundamental level, getting a degree in, and then simply signing up for a research job. That is one of the most competitive routes you could take, as the "easy part" of the field is already behind us, and now everything is going to be about little nuances of improving the tech and integrating it better.

What we currently see in terms of AI users is relatively unsophisticated application: people who log on to one of the apps, send a few basic prompts, and then stop there, satisfied with the result. But I believe the way to think about this is rather to become sufficiently AI-literate to use it to storm the gates of some other field, as a combination threat; a layered synthesis of traditional know-how and new methods. This is why some artists are unconcerned, while others are panicked; one group sees a way to enhance what they're doing with another layer of tech, another sees a threat to their routine illustration and asset creation gigs.

But in "storming the gates" you have to expect to arrive at a surprisingly empty field, where nobody knows what you are doing or whether it's valuable. It might take several years to build up visibility, just trying things and publishing results, before you find a path to monetize on it.

If the basic idea you're building from is coherent - it doesn't contain contradictory elements, and you can use it as a philosophical framework to assess the value of your output - you will stay motivated and eventually succeed. Study enough philosophy to get what it means to be coherent and build such a framework; it'll pay off.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#40

Just thinking about ChatGPT: it * doesn't "care" if its output is true or false * is weak at humour which (for the moment) suggests that there remains a niche for people who have integrity and can laugh at themselves. (Should that niche disappear in the future, at least one won't have lived in a shameful manner before then: Losing one glove is certainly painful, but nothing compared to the pain, of losing one, throwi…

It really is terrible at humor. I tried asking ChatGPT some dumb joke questions like "if I melt dry ice, can I swim without getting wet?" Any human being would know that this isn't a serious question and is intended as a joke. But ChatGPT gave me a short lecture on the actual chemistry of dry ice and then clarified how dangerous it would be to swim in or with dry ice. The joke went way over its head.

I asked some other similar questions. ChatGPT has zero sense of humor.

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