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I am not willing to make this prediction, but I’d be interested in hearing if anyone thinks we will NOT see fully autonomous vehicles on the road by 2030. Even in 2010, it seemed just around the corner — but that turned out to be wrong.
On a positive note, I really really hope electric cars will become more accessible - both for consumers and for manufacturers (i.e.: small companies will get access to batteries and be able to build EVs themselves).
AI proves P != NP. The proof is 20K pages and not comprehensible by humans, who spend the next 30 years deciphering it, by which time the AI has proved the five remaining millennium problems. The AI elects to keep the Clay Prize money each time and donate it all to homeless chia pets, thus proving general-purpose AI is still a ways off.
Chinar: 2022 — the last of political opposition to Xi makes its bid for power, it fails with some noise, and we see a compromise establishment for the rest of Xi's life 2022 — the last of political opposition to Xi makes its bid for power, it fails miserably, and Xi secures claim to absolute power, and reigns Brezhnev style to his last breath EU: Coming of Trump alike in Germany, or Austria is not unlikely. If it com…
Monoclonal antibody drugs will flood the market soon and usher in a new era of treatment for several diseases (MS, AD, certain cancers, etc). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monoclonal_antibody
Here's to looking silly in 2030: - very few desktop applications will exist, they will have moved to web assembly powered browser applications - way more people will work from home and most "work" software will attempt to support this through real-time collaboration powered by CRDT/MRDTs. - the dat:// protocol, ipfs, and other attempts at creating a decentralized internet will not take off, but the concepts will have…
Maybe the avg. car ownership per household will drop dramatically, from ~2 to 1 or less, with the rise of ridesharing/public transit.
2. No progress in identifying dark matter or understanding quantum gravity.
3. At least one of the major social media corporations are overtaken by a new competitor, e.g. Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Youtube, etc.
By 2030 there will at least one small settlement on Mars, population at least 100 but more likely 1,000.