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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#261

Can I say what I hope/wish were on the horizon? 1. Approval voting becoming widely adopted. This would go a long way toward mitigating the hyper polarization in politics in America (and likely elsewhere as well). Electing politicians with broader approval means legislation would likely move more quickly. 2. Moving to a Land Value Tax system in America. This would organically help us transition to a culture that build…

> legislation would likely move more quickly

I tend to think the slow pace is a feature not a bug. Could you imagine if something like Roe v Wade was flip flopping every 4 years on political whims?

That said, I do think a modern democracy should have more frequent digital voting abilities perhaps on a policy level. Voting for a person you hope will represent you, it’s a decent concept when you lack technology but as we know it’s heavily flawed as well. I don’t quite understand how we can build something like Bitcoin but can’t solve digital voting in a way that’s not constantly under threat of hacking/some Evil manufacturer etc.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#262
post #234

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is one of the reasons we moved from California to Ireland. People thought it was weird in 2013. Less so now.

They were telling us Manhattan would be underwater by now 20 years ago.

How low is Manhattan? Projections have always been around 50-100 cm sea level rise for the next century.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#263
post #155

I think the next big theme right now is energy. From generation to storage to consumption were going to rethink how we deal with it. Right now our pricing model is broken due to government regulation but I think the coming energy crisis will push utilities to use spot rate metering like Texas has already started in places. Spot rate metering will finally make iot (formally known as the internet of shit) actually make…

I think I speak for a lot of people when I say the last thing I want is for my local power grid to become a low regulation real time market. We've seen the flaws of the Texas approach, and doubling down on it with a sprinkling of IOT tech on top is not gonna go anywhere good.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If we have to introduce population control it will be to increase the population. All developed countries are below replacement.

Until per capita carbon emissions are below zero, falling population is a good thing.

I can’t think of any sentiment that I commonly hear that’s as ghoulish as that. As if the moral value of a human life is somehow less than her lifetime net carbon emissions. My only solace is the hope that people who believe that sort of thing will go extinct and be replaced by people whose values are closer to mine.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#266

Preimplantation polygenetic testing. The idea is that, when doing IVF, you sequence the genome of all the embryos and implant the ones that you predict will have properties that you like. This already exists for monogenetic screening (for parents who don't want to pass on heritable diseases for their children, where those diseases are localized to one gene). But the idea here is that, by checking thousands of genes,…

I think the underlying idea is spot on, if not the specifics.

Biology, sequencing, health, bioinformatics etc. is going to be huge business.

As of this writing, I believe whole genome sequencing is in the range of $400 with the cost (slowly) dropping exponentially. When the cost of whole genome sequencing gets to be within $100 or below, we'll see a huge influx of whole genome sequencing and all the side effects that come with it, like sequencing colds, flu and other diseases in real time, at home genetic testing, etc.

Not just baby screening but made-to-order organs, personalized medicine, etc.

I think the timeline is going to comparatively long, on the order of 10-20 years, but it's my belief it is coming.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#267

I don't know about "big" in terms of a viral hit, but in terms of what will change in our day-to-day experience... Here are some wild guesses, mostly along the theme of a societal conversation about and re-thinking of "sustainability" on nearly all levels. * Robotic carts that follow you around when shopping in dense, pedestrian oriented areas and/or stores. Might go hand in hand with the rapid normalization of e-bik…

> Robotic carts that follow you around when shopping in dense, pedestrian oriented areas and/or stores.

I'm now imagining these following you around like The Luggage follows Rincewind around.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#268

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

I'm quite worried about the future of cars, especially EVs. I will never own a Tesla due to their always-on tracking and blatant anti-consumer practices like hiding upgrades on the car behind a paywall. Sadly ICE manufacturers are following suit with more and more useless dogshit like touchscreens everywhere, always-on data connections, and subscriptions for shit like seat warmers. I think this apprehension is partia…

I see a lot more negative anti-car sentiment online these days than I used to. I hope this leads to more car-free parts of the world. I don't want to use a car on a daily basis, owning one is a chore, but I'm forced to by the world that I live in.

I'm also worried about the future of cars, of course. I'm an optimist, though -- I hope that the oncoming car dystopia leads to a rejection of cars by a bigger chunk of society. And a more sustainable, quiet, walkable, bikeable world for those of us who embrace it.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#269

Preimplantation polygenetic testing. The idea is that, when doing IVF, you sequence the genome of all the embryos and implant the ones that you predict will have properties that you like. This already exists for monogenetic screening (for parents who don't want to pass on heritable diseases for their children, where those diseases are localized to one gene). But the idea here is that, by checking thousands of genes,…

So, like in the 90s sci-fi classic GATACA?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#270

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honest feedback, the whole point of this is to make things easier, but the examples on your post seem quite contrived. Some APIs today are literal one-liners, I wouldn't change that for another abstraction layer in between that requires me to write 1K of boilerplate. I think it's a good idea, just work on making the user feel like it's actually easier to do the same stuff with wunder.

Thank you, great feedback. You're right in that we should provide better examples. If you find anything else that bothers you, please keep it coming.

This is a small thing, but one of the first sentences in the documentation you linked is "At least I have never thought about API dependencies before building WunderGraph." It makes the problem seem small, as if you can get away with not thinking about it.
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