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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#231

Post by [deleted] »

egfx wrote: post #199
Dirak wrote: post #196

* 50% of all US currency is printed between now and the end of 2021 * 1 Bitcoin will cost over $100k on Dec 31, 2021 * An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge * FB releases a thin virtual reality headset https://research.fb.com/blog/2020/06/holographic-optics-for-... * Austin Tx or Seattle Wa succeeds Silicon Valley as the next major tech hub. San Francisco and its century old Victorians become…

* An animation tool rivaling Adobe Flash for the web will emerge It’s already here https://gif.com.ai

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#233

Post by fendy3002 »

* more countries will attempt fascism or authoritarian type of government

* more countries will have problem with clean water. Hopefully new technologies to make water purification easier or cheaper emerge

* given fall guys and among us success stories, there will be many more games aimed at that gameplay. Likely one or two of those will boom

* non code programming (drag drop, or similar to) will rise. Used to complement customization, not to replace code-based programming (dreamweaver for example)

* PWA or similar web-based app / installer will rise, while having more opposition from apple and google.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#235

Post by kkdaemas »

dnautics wrote: post #46
jokethrowaway wrote: post #34

Prolonged lockdowns and new habits kill 75% of small businesses and greatly increase inequality as the richest 10% stay at home saving/investing instead of spending. This will trigger an economic collapse which will bring down the eurozone. Germany will want country rated euros to avoid having to bail Italy. House prices in Europe will drop to a rent / value rate similar to the USA, as property owners scrap for money…

I think eurozone collapse will begin in germany, centered around the collapse of deutsche bank. No other scenario will make sense. Although it will still be bad, the uk will have dodged a bigger bullet with brexit.

Doubtful, the UK would suffer greatly from reduced demand for their goods and services.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#236

Post by spondyl »

* Sentiment regarding Slack will continue to decline regarding performance and increased micro outages. Perhaps a niche, light weight competitor slowly picks up steam

* Kubernetes/overengineering fatigue continues. Perhaps we see some fledgling attempts at a "platform" that handles external resources (load balancers, SSL) while still having a smaller scope and complexity. Sort of like k3s but a smaller footprint aimed at running on a single VM/host. I may just be describing Dokku plus some addons

* Evernote starts to slowly come back into the conversation as they continue with their wide spread refactorings (I just like their behind the scenes videos)

* More business get breached. No one seems to care

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#237

Post by domano »

fendy3002 wrote: post #233

* more countries will attempt fascism or authoritarian type of government * more countries will have problem with clean water. Hopefully new technologies to make water purification easier or cheaper emerge * given fall guys and among us success stories, there will be many more games aimed at that gameplay. Likely one or two of those will boom * non code programming (drag drop, or similar to) will rise. Used to comple…

I doubt that google will oppose PWA since they are the main force pushing it.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#238

Post by austinjp »

Multiple covid variants found and sequenced. Mutation rate and other factors determined and predictable.

Work starts on annual covid vaccination programmes, similar to current annual flu programmes.

As vaccines are rolled out, death rates in the elderly drop, and rise comparatively among those aged 20s-30s causing much debate about whether this matters.

Covid is found to easily hop from humans to multiple different animals where it mutates before hopping back to humans again. Epidemiologists become hugely worried about this, but nobody seems to listen.

Governments (those who listen to the epidemiologists) attempt to divert more funds to bolster virus surveillance programmes, but are heavily stymied by rising nationalistic tendencies among the electorate. Investment in overseas collaborations such as surveillance programmes are attacked by populist/xenophobic pundits who clamour for protectionist policies. The political landscape becomes increasingly fractious.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#239

Post by kkdaemas »

jayflux wrote: post #219
dt123 wrote: post #204

* Jeff Bezos will be the first person to surpass US$1Tn in net worth * Boris Johnson will resign * Tiktok becomes the most popular social media platform * Japan Olympics go ahead causing hundreds of deaths * Covid eventually fizzles out

Boris’ stock is pretty high right now, he’s just lead the country through COVID and got the brexit deal he wanted at the same time. Whether you like him or not that was no easy feat, it’s unlikely he would have any reason to resign unless something crazy happens in the next 12 months. The affects of brexit won’t be felt just yet, and I don’t see his party pushing him out unless they’ve found a reasonable successor.

Interesting that you came to this view. Boris seems to have handled COVID incredibly poorly (e.g. the death rate in the UK is higher than comparable countries) and the trade deal is considerably worse than deals he previously rejected (e.g. customs border inside the UK). I expect that once the world stabilizes again, members of his own party will want to take his job.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#240

Post by axegon_ »

systemvoltage wrote: post #69

Only negativity so something optimistic to talk about: - Vaccine program will mobilize and kick start the economy. Big Time. New restaurants will open up, it will be like a forest fire that wiped out the trees but new vegetation will grow. New business will start up. - Travel is going to be out of control once everyone is vaccinated and cases plummet after herd immunity is reached. - Python will have a great dep mana…

> - Travel is going to be out of control once everyone is vaccinated and cases plummet after herd immunity is reached.

Sincerely doubt that: for once a very big percentage of the population will refuse vaccination for all the reasons one can think of, many businesses have gone bust so travel is accessible to less people and considering the state of the airline industry, I'm willing to believe that prices will be through the roof and into deep space.

> - Python will have a great dep management finally.

I think it's ok to dream but I've given up hope on that.

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