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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#221

Post by ed25519FUUU »

pavlov wrote: post #198
baobob wrote: post #176

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I feel like this definitely needs to be expanded. What makes you think that? Their currency is stronger than before the war (despite internal fragility) They have the entire continent of Europe by the balls on oil/gas They've made an absolute killing in the energy sector this year due to the fear and scarcity they have created. They're making steady gains in their war in Ukraine They have the ear and economic heart o…

All of these are illusions. The currency is propped up by the government because it's not freely exchanged anymore. Europe is making a massive turn away from Russian energy despite the medium-term pain. The Russian military has achieved very little in five months of warfare. And China genuinely doesn't care about Russia. If the Russian Federation were to balkanize into smaller states, the Chinese leaders certainly wo…

I’m also confused about OP. Military now controls some the largest and most productive farmland in Europe.

And the Ruble remains strong because Russia is insisting on taking payments in Rubles, and Europe agrees or will freeze to death this winter.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#222

Post by briffle »

abetusk wrote: post #195
rm_-rf_slash wrote: post #156

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn’t get too excited for decentralized energy. More energy sources means more power lines all over the place. Few things get NIMBYs worked up like power lines. The social aspect will be harder to solve than the engineering.

I would like to see a more in depth treatment than what I've seen (or what I've thought about). Certainly cross country electric lines aren't going to needed as much because the energy can be produced by a relatively clean factory. With coal, we want it very far away enough away from consumers so as not to cause health concerns. Decentralized energy, at the very least, means we can create solar power plants next to l…

> Certainly cross country electric lines aren't going to needed as much because the energy can be produced by a relatively clean factory. With coal, we want it very far away enough away from consumers so as not to cause health concerns. Decentralized energy, at the very least, means we can create solar power plants next to larger cities and towns.

Your going to need very long electric lines, to send clean energy from places where its sunny to places where it cloudy, or from places where its windy, to places where its currently calm.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#223

Post by neon_electro »

throwaway787544 wrote: post #163

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

You wanna provide some sources for your claims?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#224

Post by elmomle »

blinkingled wrote: post #202
throwaway787544 wrote: post #163

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

It's amazing to me how little talk there is about reduce and recycle - with remote work, better city and public transport planning etc if we could completely eliminate the use of cars for the vast majority of the populace we would not need to mine more for batteries, wonder where and how our electricity is going to come from and how we are going to offset carbon. We literally have no vision for optimization, we just…

The problem is that it's a classic large-scale prisoner's dilemma. Living in a walking city is nicer than living in a driving city. But living in a walking city with a car is even nicer!

The only way to fix it is by passing taxes or other restrictive legislation, which has so far been extremely difficult because most voters choose "let's make things a bit easier for you today" over "we should all sacrifice now to make things probably better later".

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#225

Post by patwolf »

pibechorro wrote: post #140
e_joules wrote: post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Something about this cannot be right, surely? You are saying one can invest in a solar setup and have 7+ years of free electricity, and all that starting after 3.5 years?

I have been living fully off solar (and some wind here and there) for 10 years. Its amazing. Never do I stress powerlines going down, brownouts, etc. You can run a fridge, lights and a laptop 24.7 on about $300 of solar. You can add panels as your needs and budget increases. The biggest cost is the battery.

I'd be curious what your wind setup looks like. I have some land off grid which gets good wind, and I'm trying to decide whether that could be a reasonable alternative to solar. I don't see nearly as much information about residential wind turbines as I do solar.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#226

Post by mcv »

leesec wrote: post #171
mcv wrote: post #166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I fear this is a definite possibility, and it's terrifying. Because the main thing that Russia has, their only real claim to being a major power, and the only reason why they've been able to get away with their invasion, is their nukes. And if the country really collapses, who knows what will happen to those nukes? I don't mean to upset anyone, and I think the chance of collapse is small, but it's not zero.

They didn't use nukes during the collapse of Soviet Union.

They didn't, but those nukes did end up in various member states. The last couple months people have talked a lot about the 1993 deal between the US, Russia and Ukraine that got Ukraine to give up its nukes in exchange of (now apparently worthless) guarantees of territorial integrity.

If Russia collapses, there's going to be mostly tribal territories in Siberia that have nukes.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#227

Post by rieTohgh6 »

throwaddzuzxd wrote: post #185
2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote: post #170

We saw a post the other day about using DALL-E and GPT-3 in conjunction with one another. I think more of these systems working together is going to revolutionize basically everything, especially when democratized with cheaper consumer hardware.

Did DALL-E and GPT-3 revolutionize anything yet? (I know it might sound snarky but it's not my intention, I genuinely wonder how they're used today, other than demos)

If nothing else DALL-E showed that automation will takeover artists jobs too.

GPT-3 can generate quite sensible paragraphs but is far away from generating pages of internally consistent content. On there other hand it works OK as semantic aware knowledge base: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32348768

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#228

Post by kickout »

kurthr wrote: post #219
kickout wrote: post #208

Autonomous machines operating in farm land in the USA. Several billion dollar companies could be spun up. Ripe for the taking right now/

There are several I know of right now, although they're each in very specific spaces. From weeding, to insect removal, to high value picking.

There are a few no doubt. For being either 10x or 100x simpler problem to solve than full self-driving, there are far fewer companies pursuing it.

All of the tech companies and all the ICE car companies should (in theory) be able to solve these problems on their way to FSD. But it largely ignored IMO.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#229

Post by outsidetheparty »

historytold wrote: post #217

+++ News: +++ Aged Worker remain having social-contacts to colleagues and may have satisfying feelings if their knowledge is in demand. And like any other 'bubble' at least the ultimate goal seem to fleece somebody. Honestly the whole point of this is 'to make things easier'. +++ P-:

I'm having a very difficult time understanding what you're trying to get across here; can you rephrase?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#230

Post by mdp2021 »

throwaddzuzxd wrote: post #179
throwaway787544 wrote: post #163

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

ICE = Internal Combustion Engine for other non-native who wouldn't understand how a vehicle can work on ice

The initialism is increasingly known. And yet bad: we could argue that "ICE vehicles" are connected cars, because - after William Gibson - Intrusion Countermeasures Electronics are not relevant on traditional combustion-based vehicles.
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