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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

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Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#221

Post by vanrysss »

1.) In the US regulators will step in and for someone to be considered a software engineer something like the FE and PE exams will have to be taken.

2.) The above will drive a larger wedge between high and low earning software workers.

3.) A heatwave in the subcontinent will kill over a million people, sparking the first mass migration.

4.) Western politics will trend to more conservatism and isolationism.

5.) Grab or Gojek will be worth as much as Facebook is today.

6.) A $100 Billion tech company will get it's start in Africa.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#223

Post by mjpuser »

* College will become less common, and focus on vocational jobs will increase.

* Autonomous cars will be available by the end of the decade

* First person will land on Mars

* 20-40% of wild animal populations will be gone

* Lab grown meats will be introduced and become the norm as meat prices skyrocket

* Taxes in the US will increase to 40% to "target climate change" even though those funds will be poorly handled

* Starlink becomes operational, disrupting mobile carriers

* New phone number system comes created as all systems will go though the internet

* precision medicine for cancer care improves but is too expensive

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#224

Post by siquick »

adamnemecek wrote: post #96
vharuck wrote: post #91

Dozens of cities in the US will seriously invest money and adopt new policies to become the "next Silicon Valley." One will reach Boston-level success. Probably in a Southern state along the East Coast. Fewer people with CS degrees, more inclusion of CS coursework across different degree programs. Going beyond 2030 to 2050, shopping malls outside of high-value cities will be abandoned, never repurposed, and become co…

I think that malls will become server farms.

or Amazon fulfilment centres

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#226

Post by mcphilip »

-A massive electronic medical records breach due to a security misconfiguration in the cloud gets posted on the dark net and reignites conversations around privacy and flaws in HIPAA regulations.

-The AI job market dramatically shrinks due to automation and tooling built by current AI experts. Advancements in AI puts AI workers out of work, ironically.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#227

Post by amelius »

thrwaway69 wrote: post #107

Huh, not any hilarious predictions yet? - Artificial life forms and pet becomes mainstream. - First experimental artificial wombs for human babies put to test. - Current HIV becomes curable mainstream but another mutation will take its place. It will come from US or Europe. - War will break out in different parts of the world and first AI use for the purpose of killing people. - On demand AI therapist using a wearabl…

- Self-driving cars finally become a reality. But in the same year, teleportation is invented.

- New encryption algorithms become available in browsers to protect against quantum computing. However, it turns out that the NSA saved all our raw HTTPS traffic of the last decade or so.

- Google open sources new AI technology. But ironically, the AI becomes capable of detecting and removing ads.

- Some smart guy figures out the rules of the universe and publishes them in an academic journal. He receives some prize money, but of course he remains a poor bloke in comparison to Jeff Bezos who is obviously much smarter.

- 23andme starts an online dating platform based on genetic data.

- Despite many promises, there are no improvements in battery tech.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#228

Post by rhegart »

NASA SLS does routine trips to the moon via Artemis. Musk sends Starship successfully to Mars yet science shows risks for human travel through space too high. James Webb discovers something amazing.

Battery prices hit $50 making ICE obsolete.

SF6 becomes the biggest worry as carbon is being tackled successfully. 0 coal plants left, LNG replaces with batteries

Bay Area and NYC see population decline and housing market stays stable. Texas is blue 2030

Social media becomes like cigarettes for mental health and politicians ban fb/insta till age 18

Quantum computing primarily used by big pharma

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#229

Post by RickJWagner »

Things will keep getting better and better.

Worldwide poverty will continue to decline.

Infant mortality will continue to shrink.

Electronics will continue to get cheaper and provide more value.

We'll live longer and be healthy longer.

Pretty much an extension of the last decade.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#230

Post by chubot »

liamcardenas wrote: post #11

I am not willing to make this prediction, but I’d be interested in hearing if anyone thinks we will NOT see fully autonomous vehicles on the road by 2030. Even in 2010, it seemed just around the corner — but that turned out to be wrong.

It doesn't matter if there are SOME self-driving cars on the road in 2030, or if they're level 4 or level 5. [1]

What matters is if they're economically feasible by 2030, and say have 100M or 1B customers. Is Waymo bigger than what Google search is now, or another self-driving company bigger than Facebook?

My answer is no for consumer applications, e.g. rideshare. I wrote in this thread:

Self-driving cars won't impact the average consumer in the next 10 years. It will continue to be cheaper to operate rideshares with human drivers in most parts of the world and most terrains/climates. It will make sense for commercial applications though.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21942100

[1] There are people in this thread arguing that this has already been achieved. I don't agree, but if the threshold is one car demonstrating one thing, then meh I might not argue.

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