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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#211

Deglobalization -- In the US, we're about to be forced to rebuild all the manufacturing we outsourced since the 1970s. It's not going to go well for thos countries dependent on imported food or energy. It's possible a billion people will face famine in the next year or two as a result of the loss of grain from Russia and Ukraine, along with the loss of Fertilizers (or being priced out of them) Energy Blindness -- We'…

Deglobalization I mean, I think it'd be nice, but in the US our leaders are so fucking corrupt and owned by business interests that I don't see it happening until at least all the boomers/Gen Xers die off.

Of course when they were young, the Boomers said that about all the people in power at that time. Big government power attracts corruptible people. This doesn't change in a generation. It probably doesn't change ever.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If we have to introduce population control it will be to increase the population. All developed countries are below replacement.

Is that bad? Surely we can manage with fewer than 8 billion people. A gradual reduction should be welcomed.

You first.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#213

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

> By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely.

Do you believe this? I know its a stated goal, but is there anything to hold the company's accountable or is this just a promise? I can't imagine them giving up a cash cow and something they've been doing for decades. EV sales in the USU are 5.6% of the market. I just find the claim that these companies will just seamlessly switch over to electric when they can't even get a decent touch screen in a car a decade after the first iPad.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#214
post #191

Lab-Grown Meat. Potentially revolutionary impact on reduction of animal suffering and climate change.

I think before lab meat, we're going to see an explosion in both volume and diversity of plant-based meats. Discount chains in Europe and NA are jumping on the bandwagon and creating all sorts of plant-based products and bringing the price way down - already cheaper than meat sometimes. Plant-based raw materials are the cheapest, we just need to improve processes and scale up. And unless governments increase meat subsidies even more, it's likely that meat, specially beef becomes too expensive for some people to eat regularly in the next 10 years.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#215

The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…

Is there a reason you assume people won't simply charge at night with relatively standard 240V (or even 120V) chargers? Most cars don't average more than 60 miles a day, which is less than 20kWh. In much of the US you could install 10-15 solar panels to do that even in the winter.

Now solar panels are mostly made in China (as are almost all consumer electronics), but that seems like a far more general problem to solve.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#216

The rough polygon of Idaho - California - Arizona becoming less habitable every year. Mass migration to the east, water wars between wealthy landowners using most of dwindling water supply for agriculture and the rest of the population for drinking. I'm not expecting some doomer apocalyptic scenario. But every year, it'll get 1% worse. People will struggle 1%, there will be 1% more resentment between race/class/demog…

There's an easy thing we can do to start fixing: ban ag exports. We been subsidizing it for too long and literally shipping our water overseas. We reduce our own ag production to feed just us, even those uses of water are probably doable.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#217
+++ News: +++ Aged Worker remain having social-contacts to colleagues and may have satisfying feelings if their knowledge is in demand.

And like any other 'bubble' at least the ultimate goal seem to fleece somebody.

Honestly the whole point of this is 'to make things easier'. +++

P-:

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#219

Autonomous machines operating in farm land in the USA. Several billion dollar companies could be spun up. Ripe for the taking right now/

There are several I know of right now, although they're each in very specific spaces. From weeding, to insect removal, to high value picking.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#220
post #86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How soon is soon?

Never. We will spend trillions of dollars to pump and desalinate, and as we do so costs will come down.

You say that now, but our leaders have regressed to such a degree that I don't believe they have any kind of foresight to plan ahead more than a couple years.
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