IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
Fair, but OP (DanielBMarkham) was only 2 days off on his prediction that "major changes will happen in Iran."
Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
201–210 of 462 posts
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#202Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#203HN will split. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025709 Didn't happen! Kudos to @dang and the HN staff for keeping the site going for a decade !!
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#204Earlier quoted context omitted.
> - As Moore's Law marches on, dynamic languages that are even slower than Ruby are likely to catch on. They may be to Ruby what Ruby is to Java, trading even more programmer time for CPU time. Interesting how plausible this one is, yet turned out to be terribly wrong: the newer hyped languages that got some uptake were largely compiled ones like Swift, Rust, Kotlin, and Dart.
One thing that always really bugged me about the "the language will figure it out" philosophy is the complete disregard towards carbon footprint. Like yeah, you can make an interpreted dynamic language that's pretty neat, but you can also make something like go, swift, or Julia that jits and also captures 90% of that ease of use while significantly reducing your hosting costs/energy consumption. Going forward I think…
Cloud spot pricing is I think one example where things that can be batched and deferred will be cheap even in a energy-decline future.
This is assuming we don’t sink so far as to lose our productive capacity for energy infrastructure altogether. Depends how bull/bear you are about the whole thing I suppose. In that scenario, there’s also gonna be no market to sell whatever you’re coding to.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#205Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#206Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#207Earlier quoted context omitted.
But nobody would quite imagine that Microsoft didn't control an iota of mobile computing operating system.
Honestly it doesn’t matter. It came out in the Oracle trial that Google only made $23 billion in profit from Android from its inception to the start of the trial and t still has to pay Apple a reported $8 billion a year to be the default search engine for iOS. Apple has made a lot more in mobile from Google than Google has made from Android. For awhile, MS was making more in patent fees from Android OEMs than Google…
That is not the way to think about it - Imagine if Android didn't exist or faltered like Symbian, RIM, Windows Mobile etc. Google would have been paying way more than 8 billion. Android is definitely worth more than the money accounted towards it.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#208Earlier quoted context omitted.
Honestly it doesn’t matter. It came out in the Oracle trial that Google only made $23 billion in profit from Android from its inception to the start of the trial and t still has to pay Apple a reported $8 billion a year to be the default search engine for iOS. Apple has made a lot more in mobile from Google than Google has made from Android. For awhile, MS was making more in patent fees from Android OEMs than Google…
> still has to pay Apple a reported $8 billion a year to be the default search engine for iOS. That is not the way to think about it - Imagine if Android didn't exist or faltered like Symbian, RIM, Windows Mobile etc. Google would have been paying way more than 8 billion. Android is definitely worth more than the money accounted towards it.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#209This one came true: The post-PC decade. The evolution of SmartPhones, set tops, cloud computing and other mobile devices is going to make the PC redundant for most people. By the end of this decade I could see the PC being exclusively a business tool or power user tool. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1026022
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#210Earlier quoted context omitted.
> - The next big thing will be something totally unknown and unpredictable now, as user-generated content and social networking were in 1999. However, when it does appear, various 'experts' on it will spring from nowhere to lecture us all about it. It will still be really cool, though. I think this basically describes AI.
Nah, the rise of cloud, Shirley?