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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

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21–30 of 219 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#21
post #9
post #8

YouTube will be so inundated by AI cat and dog videos that people stop watching them altogether. People will automatically assume anything labeled "cute" is fake.

Facebook is already like this. People didn't stop watching. In fact, they mostly stopped caring if it's fake. And no point in debunking the obvious BS: they scroll faster than you can say AI.

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#22
- EVs will be in the Early Majority group, and 2/3 of them will be Chinese. At least 1 in 4 of new cars purchased will be EVs.

- AI will innovate towards visuals, personality, and tool use. AI tool use will start to innovate past just reading docs, maybe into more things like gaming and robotics.

- Some AI products (not necessarily LLMs) will start competing on latency. Notably on voice/calls, but also things like drones, robotics, etc.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#23
post #11
post #6

Previous Years: - 2025: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42490343 - 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 - 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 - 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 - 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 - 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 - 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 - 2018: https://news.ycomb…

Read the 2025 prediction thread for some perspective. (Hope you didn't stake your retirement on bitcoin hitting $200,000!)

> There are even more restrictions aimed at stopping kids using social media.

I dont recall if the Australia ban was on the cards then.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#24
post #13

The USD will devalue 5-10% further. Flock and other government tools for watching and controlling you will expand. Big companies will expand their regulatory capture, especially in medical care. Fingers will continue to be pointed at health insurance as the problem while the real problem of an artificially limited supply of doctors goes unaddressed. Government agencies will continue their slow bloat as no mechanism e…

Given most assassinations on US politicians (including attempted) targeted Democrat politicians in 2025, I would have different expectations to your last point.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#25
- Major disruptions on the financial markets due to the USD losing value. Commodities go up. Not certain about Bitcoin/Crypto as it is backed mostly by the USD itself.

- US goes on the offensive on tokenization moving bonds, stocks, transfers, etc. to the blockchain. China opens up its eCNY to the grand public.

- AI bubble pops. Companies decide that LLM-coding is not worth it after accounting for the downsides. LLMs for generating photos and videos are still not good enough. OpenAI goes the way of pipedpiper.

- The war in Ukraine remains unresolved. Russia advances but only marginally. Europe still shaking its head about what to do. US lower its involvement.

- The US world cup goes very badly. Like embarrassingly bad. Goes okay in Canada and kinda okay in Mexico though.

- China invades Taiwan in the last month of 2026.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#28
post #8

YouTube will be so inundated by AI cat and dog videos that people stop watching them altogether. People will automatically assume anything labeled "cute" is fake.

I wish, but from what I've seen, most "normies" don't care at all as long as they are entertained. It makes me depressed seeing my friends consuming and sharing all that AI slop while either believing it's true, or not even asking themselves if it is. At least they're having fun while they still can... right?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#30

Physical AI will make subversive discoveries that exceed everyone's expectations - space-time integrated computing, rather than the current three-dimensional spatial computing plus discrete time steps

I'm really hoping you mean substantive not subversive.
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