21–30 of 53 posts
I believe that gpt-4o was really gpt-5, just renamed, and the multimodal stuff they demoed will actually be released within a month.
The gpt-4 branding has made quite a reputation, I will not be surprised if they milk it until it lasts
So that is why the name changed maybe.
Here's a completely made up point of view. (I haven't read the articles.) GPT-4 is not an LLM, but a complex software system, which has LLM(s) at its core, but also other components like RAG, toxicity filter, apologizing mechanism, expert systems, etc. "GPT-4" is product name / marketing name. For OpenAI, this would be logical for performance and business reasons. This explains also how they can tune it, the apparent…
Everyone keeps thinking current GPT models will improve to be superhuman, it won't. It's trained on human data. Much like alpha-go had to drop completely the concept of learning from human plays since it was stuck at a local minimum. Once they started to train with adversarial networks, it evolved a well above the previous local minimum (with an extra order of magnitude of computation). So, don't expect much more fro…
Basically the same trap as CPU's in the 90's early 2000's where the naming convention had to change to reflect the fact that speeds can't continue to double every 2 years.
I predict - a steady increment of GPT-n+1 every 6 months for marketing purposes. - each will improve on the last by smaller and smaller margins. - hallucinations won't be fixed anytime soon. - We will hit a bit of a winter, as the hype was so big but like self driving cars the devil is in the details. The general public realizes these things are just essentially giving us averages. - A big market will emerge around "…
> - a steady increment of GPT-n+1 every 6 months for marketing purposes. You already failed then, gpt4 was released more than a year ago
But there is little to engage with in your comment, I'd be most curious to explore on what u believe it's capacities might be, and societal impact.
I believe that gpt-4o was really gpt-5, just renamed, and the multimodal stuff they demoed will actually be released within a month.
Training takes a few months, but I bet that they'll do some testing first before releasing it to the public. I also believe that they will delay the release of GPT-5 as much as possible, the reason being that it will be underwhelming (at least in comparison to GPT3.5 hype). Possibly release close to some Google new release timeline (their main competitor). They are the main driver of a bubble that has benefited a lot…
Your opionion is based on the assumption that GPT-5 will be underwhelming. Do we have any hint to why you think so?
I bet it'll be focused on being a better Siri for Apple. This is good for them as a business, but innovation-wise, it's pretty meh.
It'll still suck for factual or precise information, and its reasoning will still be -1
I predict - a steady increment of GPT-n+1 every 6 months for marketing purposes. - each will improve on the last by smaller and smaller margins. - hallucinations won't be fixed anytime soon. - We will hit a bit of a winter, as the hype was so big but like self driving cars the devil is in the details. The general public realizes these things are just essentially giving us averages. - A big market will emerge around "…
> - a steady increment of GPT-n+1 every 6 months for marketing purposes. You already failed then, gpt4 was released more than a year ago