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Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

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21–28 of 28 posts

Re: Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

#21
post #19

Convincing AI with a human voice and evil script is used for scamming, at-scale. Conversational AI robocalls. AI finds its way into children's pets--a next-level tamagotchi. A company releases AI-powered talking pets for the elderly/those with alzheimers. It seems both terribly kind and cruel. Some terribly formed AI regulation passes. AI can create whole movies from scripts, and scripts from suggestions. LLM-based A…

"and scripts from suggestions."

Can't they do that already?

Re: Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

#23

Quantized Inertia is proven when the Barry-1 satellite[1] successfully shifts its orbit using a purely electric thruster (i.e. no propellant) The laws of physics get re-written a bit, and Mike McCulloch starts looking like he'll get a Nobel prize out of it. [1] https://db.satnogs.org/satellite/QDDY-8878-5291-1819-3935#ma...

This seems really cool. Am I correct in reading that this explains away the need for (some? all?) dark matter?

"Quantized Inertia further predicts that for objects with very low accelerations, such as stars at the edges of galaxies, the Rindler horizon moves so far back that it is close to the cosmic horizon so the waves of Unruh radiation are now damped equally all around, and the mechanism of inertia collapses. This explains why stars at the edge of galaxies can orbit faster than expected but still remain bound to the galaxy. As a result, Quantised Inertia predicts galaxy rotation perfectly without the need for dark matter or any adjustment (McCulloch, 2012, 2017)."

Source: https://quantizedinertia.com/about/

Re: Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

#24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This seems really cool. Am I correct in reading that this explains away the need for (some? all?) dark matter?

"Quantized Inertia further predicts that for objects with very low accelerations, such as stars at the edges of galaxies, the Rindler horizon moves so far back that it is close to the cosmic horizon so the waves of Unruh radiation are now damped equally all around, and the mechanism of inertia collapses. This explains why stars at the edge of galaxies can orbit faster than expected but still remain bound to the galax…

Yes that is why I asked. It wasn't clear to me if it was just dm related to galaxy rotation or if, by eliminating galaxy rotation issues, all need for dm goes away

Re: Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

#25
post #21
post #19

Convincing AI with a human voice and evil script is used for scamming, at-scale. Conversational AI robocalls. AI finds its way into children's pets--a next-level tamagotchi. A company releases AI-powered talking pets for the elderly/those with alzheimers. It seems both terribly kind and cruel. Some terribly formed AI regulation passes. AI can create whole movies from scripts, and scripts from suggestions. LLM-based A…

"and scripts from suggestions." Can't they do that already?

Sorry, didn't mean to imply they can't--I just meant it could be "suggestion -> movie" which is nuts to consider.

Re: Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

#27
post #18

- almost all AI startups based on OpenAI will fail (they have no defensibility) - economic activity of LLM-powered self-governing agents seen in the wild - copyright reforms lobbied by OpenAI and similar companies

What do you mean by "defensibility"?

Re: Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?

#28
Quicker than expected, there may come a time that for most people, not a single human has touched, or even seen their food anywhere between growing & when it ends up on their plate.

AI controlled farming + harvesting. Factory machinery to sort / wash / process / package foodstuffs, where the only humans are a few technicians. Fully-automated distribution centers. Self-driving trucks shuttling goods between those. And a 'housemaid' robot that arranges people's shopping & cooks their meals to perfection.

We're not there - yet. But with our existing globalized & industrialized food supply chains, and a bit of 'AI everywhere' sprinkled in, it's not hard to imagine.

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