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Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

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Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#23

Off-grid living will follow solar's trajectory. The planet is a massive place, the mass majority of it uninhabited. Not for long.

> The planet is a massive place, the mass majority of it uninhabited. Not for long.

The water, food, and logistics concerns that have driven human habitation patterns forever haven't gone away, and show bo signs of going away for a long time. Is it possible to support habitation in places that aren't currently well-settled? Sure, but it's expensive, and that's not going to change relative to the places that are well-settled.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#24

Off-grid living will follow solar's trajectory. The planet is a massive place, the mass majority of it uninhabited. Not for long.

> The planet is a massive place, the mass majority of it uninhabited. Not for long. The water, food, and logistics concerns that have driven human habitation patterns forever haven't gone away, and show bo signs of going away for a long time. Is it possible to support habitation in places that aren't currently well-settled? Sure, but it's expensive, and that's not going to change relative to the places that are well-…

It's expensive now, but those costs are rapidly decreasing. Drone transportation into and out of once-remotely habitated places will be commonplace by 2050. Those “settlements” will have renewable power, desalination, agriculture, industry even. Conjecture, but when you look at the technology curves, telling.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#25
post #14
post #10

Does anyone else feel like their brain is broken when thinking about questions like this one? I lean way too much on the pessimistic side about any tool or technology, present or future, to the point that I don't trust my own judgement to predict these things at all.

I think it means you hang around too many old people. Younger people have a good feel for what's changing and the optimism.

Younger people can't predict the future either and optimism doesn't predict the future either.

The future might be terrible.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#26
post #7

Smart glasses Biotech powered by AI Privacy & moderation tools Cuelang :fingers_crossed:

I would agree with smart glasses. So many people wear glasses, lenses or contact lenses which means adoption can happen pretty easily once a good product comes out. Maybe peaked caps (to hold the camera) and glasses combined or something.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#27
post #25
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it means you hang around too many old people. Younger people have a good feel for what's changing and the optimism.

Younger people can't predict the future either and optimism doesn't predict the future either. The future might be terrible.

Young people are frequently wrong too. Reddit communities are a good sample. They don't understand paradigms from 1998 or so.

You need a counter balanced perspective, young with experienced, optimistic with pessimistic.

But one advantage they have is that many are fresh from university and have more exposure to latest research. A new grad might have a better feel for the tech level of, say, optical routers or quantum computing.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#28
post #27
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Younger people can't predict the future either and optimism doesn't predict the future either. The future might be terrible.

Young people are frequently wrong too. Reddit communities are a good sample. They don't understand paradigms from 1998 or so. You need a counter balanced perspective, young with experienced, optimistic with pessimistic. But one advantage they have is that many are fresh from university and have more exposure to latest research. A new grad might have a better feel for the tech level of, say, optical routers or quantum…

Have you ever worked with a grad before though? Most of them are pretty useless - there will be exceptions though.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#29
If anyone is reading this and can answer a little further: What are some emerging technologies that can be broken into without a university degree? I've been very successful in my 7 year career as a field service engineer on chip equipment, and while it is a great job, I am actively looking to branch out into coding, or another field in tech. The enormity of different fields contained therein is overwhelming. Any guidance is greatly appreciated.

Re: Ask HN: Which technologies will become important in the next 5 years?

#30
post #28
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Young people are frequently wrong too. Reddit communities are a good sample. They don't understand paradigms from 1998 or so. You need a counter balanced perspective, young with experienced, optimistic with pessimistic. But one advantage they have is that many are fresh from university and have more exposure to latest research. A new grad might have a better feel for the tech level of, say, optical routers or quantum…

Have you ever worked with a grad before though? Most of them are pretty useless - there will be exceptions though.

They've done better than seniors (including me) in some situations, but I wouldn't expect them to carry a project. The variance is huge - you'll have really dumb ones who shouldn't have a job, and geniuses who will probably run their own company later.

You don't have to work with them though. Most of my interactions are tech memes and hanging around with the people who make game-related bots on Discord.

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