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Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

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21–30 of 69 posts

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#21
post #19

A few weeks. This is an over-reaction. The push for suppressing entire populations for months and years are coming from those that want to dis-empower these populations the rest of the time. If by "normal" you mean the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda "progressing"... that is increasingly unlikely

What is the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda?

Also, the state of quarantine is happening at a global level, not just the US.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#22
post #19

A few weeks. This is an over-reaction. The push for suppressing entire populations for months and years are coming from those that want to dis-empower these populations the rest of the time. If by "normal" you mean the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda "progressing"... that is increasingly unlikely

Hardly an over-reaction with 100.000 expected deaths. Of course earlier actions might have prevented this tragedy.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#23
post #21
post #19

A few weeks. This is an over-reaction. The push for suppressing entire populations for months and years are coming from those that want to dis-empower these populations the rest of the time. If by "normal" you mean the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda "progressing"... that is increasingly unlikely

What is the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda? Also, the state of quarantine is happening at a global level, not just the US.

I'm not in the U.S. And I'm not interested in starting a flame-war. By all means, research these ideologies yourself.

I was answering the poster's question with my opinion. You do not have to like it.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#25
I think as soon as serology tests become widely available and cheap, lots of people will get a "certificate of immunity" and be allowed/encouraged to return to work. My thinking is that in 3 months (i.e. around end of June), lots of people will be back to work.

In the US in particular, public schools get money from the federal government conditional on administering state tests. It doesn't look like the stimulus bill is leaving them off the hook, so schools have a very big incentive to give the test by the end of the school year (around 25-June). There was no official statement that state exams are cancelled for this year, and what's more my son's teacher resumed the exam prep with the kids yesterday.

So, I'm not sure when stores will open, but I give a more than 50-50 chance that schools will open at some point before the Summer vacation, maybe second half of June or early July, in order to give the state exams.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#26
post #19

A few weeks. This is an over-reaction. The push for suppressing entire populations for months and years are coming from those that want to dis-empower these populations the rest of the time. If by "normal" you mean the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda "progressing"... that is increasingly unlikely

“Liberal” and “marxist” in a single sentence... What gives.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#27
post #19

A few weeks. This is an over-reaction. The push for suppressing entire populations for months and years are coming from those that want to dis-empower these populations the rest of the time. If by "normal" you mean the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda "progressing"... that is increasingly unlikely

The neoliberals and neomarxiists want opposite things.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#28
post #23
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda? Also, the state of quarantine is happening at a global level, not just the US.

I'm not in the U.S. And I'm not interested in starting a flame-war. By all means, research these ideologies yourself. I was answering the poster's question with my opinion. You do not have to like it.

> the neo-liberal/neo-marxist agenda ... And I'm not interested in starting a flame-war.

Non-sequitur.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#29
Folks are estimating many weeks, even months.

But consider: the doubling time is around 4-5 days. We'll hit 1M worldwide maybe Friday.

40 days after that, we'll hit 1B people. That's about the estimated total that typically get infected by a pandemic. Peak infection.

Two or three weeks after that, everybody will be through it. No problem; scars and health issues; death; whatever, it'll be over.

So 60 days to do anything and everything we hope to do with this. No more than that.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#30
My fear is that economic impacts will end up so severe that we won't really see normal again as a result for a long, long time. I hope I'm being alarmist, but my gut tells me (and my brain) that my city is hemorrhaging cash and even with economic stimulus, jobs aren't going to come back as quickly as people think.

A lot of local business owners who were doing alright (making money and paying several employees) are not at all interested in getting back to it. The risk in the next few years due to future waves of infection is too great, and government assistance is incredible here in Canada but only enough to help you limp along. That's a scary condition to run a business.

I think this will be great for large companies. Jobs and economic opportunity might relatively shift towards them for quite a while.

I hope I'm wrong, but I don't see a significant change to isolation practices any time soon and the economic impacts seem likely to change our lives in a very noticeable way.

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