Ask HN: What big programming productivity gains you see happening in 5-10 yrs?

Some other reinvented wheel that makes one thing 10x easier but takes five years to build up an infrastructure from scratch for everything else that real programs need (an infrastructure that was already present in whatever the new thing replaced). Let a bit more time pass to forget a few other things, rinse and repeat. In other words, no net productivity gains, just churn.

Kubernetes and other container systems are so widely adopted and accepted that most common system services are solved and require only minutes to integrate. As a result people move back to their monoliths because it is easy and productive

I think people will see that type safety and functional programming don’t impact productivity much in a business setting, and we’ll see a flight from these languages as examples of horrible legacy code reveal themselves to show that the problem is behavioral / sociological, and has nothing to do at all with enforcement on the code or compilation vs testing.

I also think more job candidates will reject interviews that waste time with unrealistic homework assignments, marathon on-site interviews, etc.

Finally, I think productivity losses and health issues related to open-plan offices will soar, but companies will continue to be disingenuous and act like it improves collaboration or saves money when it’s uncotroversially flat false.

> Frameworks like React & Angular give you decent building blocks to create SPAs, but the learning curve & effort required to create ambitious applications is very high.

Any ambitious application is going to require a high learning curve and lots of effort. Otherwise it wouldn't be ambitious.

> Another productivity booster is Cross-Platform frameworks.

I would be so, so happy to see a UI framework that runs (well) on Windows, Mac, Linux, Android, and iOS. My druthers would be for it to have bondings to a JVM language (Kotlin is my happy place these days), but I would be okay writing in any similarly productive language.

Flutter is trying to get there, but it's not a viable solution on the desktop yet, and somehow doesn't even have a decent HTML widget. I do like Dart, however; it's similar enough to Kotlin/Swift that I'm comfortable writing it, even if I have to look up exact syntax now and then.

Electron wants to solve this problem, but we all know the arguments about its bloated runtime and egg-cooking power usage.

I suppose Progressive Web Apps and WebAssembly have the potential to solve this, too.