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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

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191–200 of 620 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#191

I predict that I will finally finish making that bird feeder camera that I've been wanting to make for my wife. I've got all the parts for it, I just need to figure out how to put them together and write some code to take a picture of a bird. Can't be too hard, right?

[deleted]

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#193
post #70

Debt chickens will come home to roost and once the bond interest/return death spiral starts it will be very difficult to break. Interest payments are already #3 in the national budget.

Interest paid on treasury bonds is a policy choice. There is no default risk, and the govt could easily implemnet ZIRP forever and run the economy without monetary policy entirely.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'll bandwagon on chat.com getting 10% or higher marketshare. Look back at Google search's 800 number; https://techcrunch.com/2013/05/12/google-kills-sms-search/ (the only article I could find). We're at that stage of chat.com going mainstream. Already chat.com is a better experience for finding local shops and restaurants. ChatGPT voice mode was surgically amazing while driving. I had a personal assistant refining c…

I think Open AI will release a GPT phone and the UX is built around your phone being your personal AI assistant. When you pick it up it's like you are always on a Facetime call with your AI personal assistant. You can skin your AI personal assistant how they look .. to look like a celebrity to a deceased friend or relative whose always there to help & guide you through your day (get things done for you, your knowlegd…

I’m also bullish on this.

It looks really cool and revolutionary. And doable.

But it also looks horrible in how this will force us to lose what remaining control we had over our privacy :(

LLMs are really cool but we really need to make them work locally.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#195
* Guatemala starts a major war over Mexican espionage in Petén

* Donald Trump is revealed to be the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto

* President Nelson (prophet of the LDS church) dies and is replaced by Dallin Oaks

* Dugin writes a sequel to The Fourth Political Theory, titled The n+1'th Political Theory

* New microscope finds the words "God was here" etched into every molecule in the universe

* People become at least 5% cuter as estrogen/testosterone ratio continues to tip in that direction

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This 100%. The monstrous debt storm just over the horizon that most people can't see (or refuse to acknowledge) will hit and will hit hard. The Fed won't be able to restrain or lessen it with policies and blunt instruments at their disposal. Over the last 4 months I've moved most of my investments to gold, trading cards, BTC, wine, land and rare earth.

I'm not American but would like to read more about this "debt storm", since your politics move world markets. Can you provide some jumping-off points for the financially-literate?

Read The Deficit Myth by Stephanie Kelton and watch the film Finding the Money to find out how this "debt storm" is neither debt, nor a storm.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#198

Sora and similar video generating models will mark the beginning of YouTube like era.

- the video watermarking will be interesting here, i wonder how ai companies and socmed companies will tolerate and punish each other on these things. - lots of new creators on this market too, particularly those with no studio setup but better creativity and imagination. there is still cost of entry of course, need $, but it's now less. - i wonder how each audience will react to this, from children, to teens, to adu…

The cost issue is similar to the bandwidth issue faced by YouTube in its early days. It took a while for countries across the world to get high speed internet. As technology advances, the cost to generate video using these models would go down significantly and perhaps the quality of the generated video would also be better than what it is today.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#199
- (90%) US accelerated inflation

- (75%) US marked increase in military-industrial complex spending, perhaps $800B/y

- (70%) US hollows-out functional regulators necessary for safety, growth, and industry

- (65%) US recession spring-summer 2025

- (50%) US major cyberattack crippling infrastructure

- (45%) US austerity cuts to Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security

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