Russia will collapse.
I fear this is a definite possibility, and it's terrifying. Because the main thing that Russia has, their only real claim to being a major power, and the only reason why they've been able to get away with their invasion, is their nukes. And if the country really collapses, who knows what will happen to those nukes? I don't mean to upset anyone, and I think the chance of collapse is small, but it's not zero.
Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
171–180 of 1001 posts
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#172Energy? I feel like it's been talked about a lot but maybe not? Solar panels are dropping in cost at an exponential rate [0]. As of this writing, consumer "new" panels are $0.75/W and used are at around $0.30/W right now (I won't give a link as a Google search will do). Battery technology is also dropping at an exponential rate. I believe, with a little effort, one can purchase batteries at about $0.08/Wh. Taken toge…
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#173The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#174Pity it's not possible to open-source execution. So many good ideas fail due to poor execution (these days, quite possibly a larger number are killed by birth by bigco's - that's still a 'failure to execute' though, in a certain sense).
I first interpreted this as pertaining to the death penalty.
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#175Energy? I feel like it's been talked about a lot but maybe not? Solar panels are dropping in cost at an exponential rate [0]. As of this writing, consumer "new" panels are $0.75/W and used are at around $0.30/W right now (I won't give a link as a Google search will do). Battery technology is also dropping at an exponential rate. I believe, with a little effort, one can purchase batteries at about $0.08/Wh. Taken toge…
I wouldn’t get too excited for decentralized energy. More energy sources means more power lines all over the place. Few things get NIMBYs worked up like power lines. The social aspect will be harder to solve than the engineering.
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#176Russia will collapse.
Their currency is stronger than before the war (despite internal fragility)
They have the entire continent of Europe by the balls on oil/gas
They've made an absolute killing in the energy sector this year due to the fear and scarcity they have created.
They're making steady gains in their war in Ukraine
They have the ear and economic heart of China
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#177Clean Energy, Water Desalination, Nigeria's crackdown on anonymous SIM cards, Monkeypox, Separation of Church & State in a post-Roe world, Computer chips made out of light, The managed decline of Britain, Crackdowns on E2E encrypted messaging apps, Quantum-resistant cryptography, Tesla cars charged by burning coal.
>Separation of Church & State in a post-Roe world Tell me you're an American without telling me you're an American. While I don't diminish the impact it could have over there, that's irrelevant to the daily lives of literally the rest of the world.
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
I fear this is a definite possibility, and it's terrifying. Because the main thing that Russia has, their only real claim to being a major power, and the only reason why they've been able to get away with their invasion, is their nukes. And if the country really collapses, who knows what will happen to those nukes? I don't mean to upset anyone, and I think the chance of collapse is small, but it's not zero.
They didn't use nukes during the collapse of Soviet Union.
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#179The stumble over abandonment of ICE vehicles. By 2030 (8 years from now) at least six manufacturers will have stopped making ICE vehicles entirely, and India claims it will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. By 2040 (18 years from now) over half of all new cars sold will be electric, and the UK and France claim they will ban the sale of ICE-only vehicles. However, there's still not a plan that makes all that sustaina…
Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?
#180Energy? I feel like it's been talked about a lot but maybe not? Solar panels are dropping in cost at an exponential rate [0]. As of this writing, consumer "new" panels are $0.75/W and used are at around $0.30/W right now (I won't give a link as a Google search will do). Battery technology is also dropping at an exponential rate. I believe, with a little effort, one can purchase batteries at about $0.08/Wh. Taken toge…
> Taken together, one can purchase a 30KWh (daily) solar panel and battery storage system for about $4,200 I haven’t researched it but I feel like I’d have pay 20-40K for such a system. What gives? Is it all just labor and regulations? Why can’t we solve that?
Maybe this is the next big thing.