Still no Duke Nukem Forever.
Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
171–180 of 462 posts
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#172Still no Duke Nukem Forever.
Edit: I meant that they got that wrong, but it wasn't an unreasonable prediction.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#173IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
> - The next big thing will be something totally unknown and unpredictable now, as user-generated content and social networking were in 1999. However, when it does appear, various 'experts' on it will spring from nowhere to lecture us all about it. It will still be really cool, though. I think this basically describes AI.
neural networks are not new
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#174Predictions are a fun mental exercise, but they read an awful lot like horoscopes. They're just too subjective to be truly interesting. It's not really all that different than predicting the weather ten years out. It'll be hot in the summer and cold in the winter. Things will be pretty much the same but different.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#175Moore’s law will peter out and everyone will be forced to squeeze out more performance out of existing hardware.
The tide will turn hard against “the cloud” when companies figure out their cloud spend is many times worse than their own data centres cost them. There may be a new wave of “lean” cloud systems.
Fast programming languages will be in vogue again once the wastefulness of things like Ruby/Erlang is finally understood.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#176Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#177I predict by 2029 Hacker News will be overrun with AI bots and nobody will be to identify them.
Are you sure it hasn't happened already?
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#178People will start moving en masse to EV's.
There will be a spectacular fire because of an improper electrical install that will become a huge news media event with people asking whether or not EV's are actually safe (despite ICE vehicles having gas tanks)
There will be a major continent-wide power outage either because of a natural disaster or a highly sophisticated and coordinated attack against the poorly secured power stations that at least span NA.
Valve will beat the ever-living daylights out of everyone else in the cloud gaming space.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#179No one saw Trump coming.
Scott Adams did, but not quite 10 years in advance. Check out his blog about a year before the election.
Edit: here's just one example. It goes earlier than this. https://www.scottadamssays.com/2015/09/23/the-reason-for-tru...
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#180Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's interesting how none of the commenters envisioned Microsoft repositioning itself to adapt to technological and business trends. Everyone seems to have thought they would either fight them and lose, or contract to becoming an IBM-like consulting business.
Also, look how much things changed between 2000 and 2010 compared to 2010 to 2020. Facebook didn’t exist. Apple was “beleaguered”. Google was in its infancy and Yahoo was still dominant (before the crash) Microsoft was seen as unassailable. Amazon was mostly just an interesting book seller. They were just getting into CDs and hadn’t even made the deal with Toys R Us yet. Netflix was struggling against BlockBuster ren…
Sure, the large players stayed about the same in the last decade but we also found some new large players.
The entire app ecosystems was in the earliest infancy in 2010. AWS was in its infancy. Slack wasn’t released.