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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#154

We'll get similar stories than the one told in the movie Her [1]. People will get married to AIs. [1] https://www.imdb.com/fr/title/tt1798709/

this has already happened: https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/japan-ai...

Wow I'm late, but not so surprised!

I'll correct my take then: due to this, the epidemic of loneliness will start to surge like never before. This might pave the way to some reaction in the public opinion, but real concrete actions will not happen in 2026, I would rather expect them around 2028 or even 2030.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#155
Positives:

- Major breakthroughs in robotics research thanks to ultra scalable simulation software and RL

- AI will become even more useful in daily life

- New drug discoveries or successful stage 3 clinical studies related to / similar to GLP-1. Also in longevity research.

- Renewables will get even cheaper

- Creators will thrive with all the new AI tooling

- Government services will become more digital (at least in Germany)

- The war between Ukraine and Russia will end

- Interest rates continue to fall, causing an uptick in housing buildup

- The EU finally takes a harder stance against uncontrolled migration with concrete measures that will bring numbers far down.

Negatives:

- Societal loneliness will continue to accelerate

- People will use their brains even less, thanks to more widespread LLM use

- the Nazi party in Germany will become the majority in two states (but won't be able to govern them)

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#157

Positives: - Major breakthroughs in robotics research thanks to ultra scalable simulation software and RL - AI will become even more useful in daily life - New drug discoveries or successful stage 3 clinical studies related to / similar to GLP-1. Also in longevity research. - Renewables will get even cheaper - Creators will thrive with all the new AI tooling - Government services will become more digital (at least in…

> Major breakthroughs in robotics research thanks to ultra scalable simulation software and RL

I was hoping that plumbers, electricians, construction, factory workers still had another 10-20 years before being priced out of the work pool.

I was also hoping we had that much time to use threat of mass protest to keep our politicians aligned.

I genuinely think it's game over for 99% of humanity's interests once the top wealthiest individuals and/or their governments can simply deploy robots en masse.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#158
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What's the specific measurement you are predicting? What happened to the measurement you would've made based on your previous prediction?

I wrote a lot. Let me add a tldr: any international trades happening in non-US dollar is an "acceleration" of dedollarizatiom, given that currently all trade is dollarized. Original: I don't known if I understand the spirit of the question. There are no metrics or tracking of how "dollarized" the international economy is because virtually all trade is done in dollars and there has been no risk of this changing for th…

"currently all trade is dollarized" - a ridiculous and patently false assertion.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2026?

#160
post #84

Physical AI will make subversive discoveries that exceed everyone's expectations - space-time integrated computing, rather than the current three-dimensional spatial computing plus discrete time steps

We can't even make a robot that folds clothes yet ..

Where we're going... we don't need clothes
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