151–160 of 1001 posts
One of the three will probably be less successful and end up getting acquired by a larger entity.
Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…
Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…
I have a feeling entrenched higher education will be less prevalent, and that there will be a rise in trade schools. Any predictions for the future of education?
Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…
* Nuclear still goes nowhere, wind and solar continue to rise in use. Maybe some Elon-esque person starts experimenting with gravity batteries.
* Self driving cars still aren't a thing.
* The price war with uber and lyft ends, and both are still around just more pricey. Food delivery for regular restaurants will stop but chains and delivery only places in cities stick around.
* Commercial FM Radio will be close to death and shut down in a lot of areas.
* Silicon Valley continues it's pattern of cycling monopolies, or ya know, just buying the next one.
Cynical Takes:
* The general public in the US becomes increasingly sick/disinterested/numb as social media and blogs become ambiguously trustworthy (bots, propaganda, etc.) and and local media is swallowed/assimilated into large media groups.
* Moderate cuts to US and UK social benefits continue gradually over the decade.
Hot Takes:
* Twitter gets nationalized due to it's frequent use by politicians.
* Small scale functional fusion reactor is built/being built by the end of the decade, presumably in Europe.
* The AR revolution starts/takes hold. We move from holding 5" screens in front of us to glasses-mounted or contact-lens based AR devices.
* Crystal (the language) gets more popular and Svelte (the framework) gets more popular.
* WebAssembly takes shape, languages other than JavaScript become first-class citizens of the web, but ES27/ES28/ES29 still dominates.
* Cryptocurrencies get relegated to the sidelines as purely speculative instruments, but Blockchain finally finds some real commercial uses.
* Electric cars reach 50% market share in US / Western Europe.
* At least one major gas station brand converts at least some of its stations to 50/50 electric. The era of going to EVGo charging stations in Whole Foods parking lots ends.
* San Francisco goes through at least one strong (but not 2008-level) downturn of at least ~2 years. Real estate prices stabilize.
* There will be at least five trillion-dollar companies
* There will be at least five 100-billion-dollar companies that haven't been founded as of today.
Can't wait to come back to this on 1/1/30!
Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…
Care to enter into a bet on #1? (Particularly with your phrasing, it seems like Waymo in Phoenix already counts)
Huh, not any hilarious predictions yet? - Artificial life forms and pet becomes mainstream. - First experimental artificial wombs for human babies put to test. - Current HIV becomes curable mainstream but another mutation will take its place. It will come from US or Europe. - War will break out in different parts of the world and first AI use for the purpose of killing people. - On demand AI therapist using a wearabl…
Finally. The year of the Linux desktop has arrived.
- Desktop usage will decline for gaming as well as general use. Consoles, iPads, chromebooks like devices will take over here.
- States will compel companies to install their mandatory citizenware and China like social credit will emerge.
- More applications will move to web using wasm. Major defaults by companies will be more fucked up than today as they stop caring so users will be driven towards places where they can customize and have sane defaults.
- Rise of open source software targeting Linux first before anything else.
Since desktop will target professionals more than they do now and those tend to be privacy-freedom focused, the choice is clear.
In finance, BTC price stabilises around 100 kUSD after peaking at 115k
In industry, Telsa goes bankrupt and is bought by a foreign car marker wanting to set foot in the US
In telecoms, an established foreign network starts a 4th national network in the US
In tech, a third CPU builder emerges next to AMD and Intel, likely from China.
In biology, we discover how methylation works, a few regenerative therapies based on differentiated stem cells become available in Asia and Latin america
In politics, freedom of movement in the Shengen area is replaced by passport control + biometric verification, and fascists take power in one or more of the big EU countries