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Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

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Re: Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

#131
It’s the best time to start a company. Few people can build anything now. Big companies are at a huge disadvantage now because they can’t be personal. Software development is going decentralized. You can go to a bunch of businesses and be personal, and develop personalized solutions for them in person. You only need few such clients to be profitable and have lifestyle business.

Re: Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

#132
post #124
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of course profit is a priority how else are you going to pay the bills/employees etc?

A healthy business uses revenue to pay bills, employees, etc. Using profit to pay for those things is what we call gambling.

Guess I got the semantics wrong, not my first language _shrug_

Re: Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

#133
Software moats were never really a moat in and of themselves. You always had to be a first mover. It's true that there are fewer and fewer first mover opportunities, but that has less to do with recent LLMs advancements and more that we have already solved a lot of software problems on first principles. It's partially why LLMs work so well, they are pulling the "widgets" from distribution and synthesizing into your requirements. Before, we probably thought we were writing novelty when it was literally solved 1000x over.

If you aren't a first mover, your success was always dependent on other skills and great execution across multiple disciplines, and also a lot of stubbornness. The software layer has always been important, but a support role of successful enterprises. Start-ups have always been hard to pull together successfully for a lot of other reasons unrelated to code.

If you find a disruptive algorithm (like pagerank) there is little evidence that LLMs will infer your solution by looking at your app. Anything else, they are just design choices and have never been moats either, but say you have a qualitative edge, you'll make the choices that can create a recognizable brand where someone vibing a copycat may not care as much. Nothing has changed on this. Your chance of succeeding rests on your ability to reach your users and iterate in a crowded space, this is what you always had to do anyway.

There are things, however, that aren't worth working on anymore with the advent of LLMs. Some of these have been fully dismissed, for example sentiment analysis. A single API call for the cheapest (even local) LLM vendor will give you SOTA classification. There are many more examples but they are so obvious. Essentially, the "build me 1 billion dollar app" prompt will never work, so if you have a burning desire to build something, do it. Just remember, there never was and never will be a promise of unlimited fortunes whatever you do.

Re: Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

#136
It depends on what you are pursuing. Software was never a true moat for the really hot stuff. See books Zero to One, 7 Powers. It can be moat when you have something extremely complex, like for Unreal Engine, software actually is the moat. However, when it comes to regular software, everything was always prone to being copied. Will it be copied, it depends entirely on what's for the grabs for someone else to copy it. If you have a mature SaaS, that already has some competitors, what does anyone gain by copying it if the projection for building a sustainable business is very small? Personally I am building something that is relatively complex (much more complex / non-standard than a CRUD and likely not in Claude training data, and something that would be a very bad idea to write it in AI slop due to security issues) and relatively niche, something that a well funded startup would never dream about building, yet something that a smaller team would have a difficult time to compete with me, LLMs or not.

Re: Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

#138
post #90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Mark Zuckerberg has had “AGI” for over a decade in the form of tens of thousands of human software engineers This makes me think that companies like Open AI, Anthropic etc are simply new types of body shoppers. body shoppers don’t have their own products they just supply talent to help other companies make products and services.

Mechanical Turk at scale.

Body shoppers on steroids

Re: Ask HN: Is it still worth pursuing a software startup?

#139
The moat for small company is the lower coordination overhead than bigger companies, not about the effort of writing code.

Big companies try to balance a lot of stakeholders, the collection of all their requirements makes them risk adverse and creates wasted effort. I’ve been on a lot of projects (pre AI coding) with rewrites and changes that have more to do with politics and org changes, lack of vision, and needless veto points.

That’s the small software company advantage still IMO

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