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Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

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131–140 of 176 posts

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#132
post #43

Honestly, why would anyone share a good idea here? I get it that ideas are cheap, but if someone actually thinks they have slam dunk they're not going to share it on HN.

Well I was asking for technology/market, not ideas. Unlike most people who say ideas are worth nothing, i do believe both ideas and execution matter. That said, just sharing information on what market looks attractive and what tech looks promising is not even an "idea".

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#133
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Every farmer i talk to about this doesn't store their data in compatible formats (yet) There are no standards.

why is that?

Requires skills in both science and tech that only commercial farmers have, big companies don't share good. Plus Lots of data points, proper measurements require self calibrating "field suitable" lab equipment that doesn't exist or is highly cost prohibitive. Im actively spend 60+ hour weeks solving this. Have been for almost three years (im solving for spacex/mars missions, but it'll work here on terra firma too) Expect to see early prototypes in 2022.

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#134
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You mean "genetically"? They already are.. Like roses, or most patented strains. Lots of research into cannabis. What do you think these plants do?

This is what genetic recombination has made possible in tropical fish in just the last ten years: https://www.glofish.com/ I don't doubt we will see CRISPR and friends applied to ornamental plants the way they are already applied to food crops.

Actually: https://phys.org/news/2020-05-crispr-non-gmo-method.html

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Every farmer i talk to about this doesn't store their data in compatible formats (yet) There are no standards.

That's not what I mean. Commercial agriculture is heavily dependent on, and influenced by, companies that zealously guard what they see as their intellectual property. When I say "open agriculture," I'm referring to protecting free experimentation and open seed culture.

More likely we'll move away from seeds towards sharing clones of rooted cuttings. Much more predictable.

Open cutting exchange is a good idea actually. Trace genetics.

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're downvoting this, you are probably missing the fact that this already started. Ethereum has already managed to infiltrate many companies and these companies already started diverting some of their profits to buying up Ethereum. Even Reddit is getting into Ethereum. This is just the beginning.

HN crowd has a lot of crypto deniers. The funny thing is that HN leaders like literally PG, Googl Bosses, Zuck and Marc Andreasen are very bullish on it. So it doesn't take much to realize who is right

Like the rest of SV, they are blinded by hubris and their own blindness to the downsides of tech.

Crypto currency is a disaster.

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

HN crowd has a lot of crypto deniers. The funny thing is that HN leaders like literally PG, Googl Bosses, Zuck and Marc Andreasen are very bullish on it. So it doesn't take much to realize who is right

Like the rest of SV, they are blinded by hubris and their own blindness to the downsides of tech. Crypto currency is a disaster.

You mean you know better than everyone that has been extremely Successful right? OK :)

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Like the rest of SV, they are blinded by hubris and their own blindness to the downsides of tech. Crypto currency is a disaster.

You mean you know better than everyone that has been extremely Successful right? OK :)

Survivorship bias is a real thing, and very relevant when discussing tech magnates.

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#139
post #49

No code/low code. People here underestimate the work it requires to craft a production CRUD app and keep it working. The problem these tools solve are more related to infrastructure rather than one's ability to code. Learning to code might be the easiest part but deploying it, maintaining it, scaling it, securing it and integrating it with thousands of other services remains a huge task even for experienced folks. It…

Every VC in the world right now is betting on this becoming a thing... problem is that No Code/ Low Code as a product doesn't actually solve the problem that they are trying to solve. The overarching concept of No Code/ Low Code is that "code" is the hard part of building software, ergo if we can make it so "normal" people don't have to code the problem is solved. Of course we all know that code isn't the hard part o…

As a counterpoint, my ML team regularly dumps data into Google Sheets for review / note taking, and we build dashboards using some SQL dashboarding tools.

I've cobbled together email sign up forms for some non-technical side projects with Google Forms, App Script and MailChimp.

I'm not a frontend developer so maybe frontend folks will tell me it's super easy, but my feeling is that there is a lot of space for low code tools that produce software that is not polished, but good enough.

Re: Ask HN: What non-obvious tech/market may take off in the next few years?

#140
post #42
post #4

Augmented Reality. Apple seems poised to release some AR Glasses based on the patents they've been registering and the investment they've made in the ARKit framework. This will probably become another iPhone-like platform for developing apps on, and will likely present opportunities like the early days of the App Store. There's a cool project trending on Github right now showing how magic-like some of the technology…

I think it has been tried unsuccessfully many times. There is even a Silicon Valley episode about it. Certainly it does not fit the "non-obvious" criterion. Apart from gamers, people just don't want it.

Another thing is half of the planet are "gamers." If you target gamers only your max addressable market is pretty good.
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