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Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

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Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#131
post #24

The best book I've read in the last 5 years is David Simon's, "Homicide: A Year on the Killing Streets"...if you've watched The Wire, half of its material is derived from this real life account of being embedded in Baltimore's homicide unit: https://books.google.com/books/about/Homicide.html?id=N8LS0b... All of Atul Gawande's books, notably: The Checklist Manifesto [1]: http://atulgawande.com/book/the-checklist-manif…

Reading that article is outrageous. Save thousands of lives a year in every single hospital? And what is the cost? About 2 to 3 million dollars? It would be an absolute bargain at 10 Billion dollars.

But we are not doing it. Why? Because we misallocate the founds.

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#133
post #24

The best book I've read in the last 5 years is David Simon's, "Homicide: A Year on the Killing Streets"...if you've watched The Wire, half of its material is derived from this real life account of being embedded in Baltimore's homicide unit: https://books.google.com/books/about/Homicide.html?id=N8LS0b... All of Atul Gawande's books, notably: The Checklist Manifesto [1]: http://atulgawande.com/book/the-checklist-manif…

Reading that article is outrageous. Save thousands of lives a year in every single hospital? And what is the cost? About 2 to 3 million dollars? It would be an absolute bargain at 10 Billion dollars. But we are not doing it. Why? Because we misallocate the founds.

I just did the calculations, if we ignore the money saved and assume the projects total expenses are going to be 4 million, then it only needs to save at least 1198 people to beat the top rated charity on GiveWell (Against Malaria foundation).

Looking at the data (http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1306801) there were 721,800 what they call health care associated infections in 2011 (I couldn't find newer data). If the rate goes down at what the article suggest, (75%) then we will save 541350 people a year using this method whereas it would cost more than 1.8 Billion dollars to save the same amount of lives using the Against Malaria foundation.

This is almost 500 times as effective!

How do we get this knowledge to people who have 2 million dollars to spare?

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#134

There's another problem besides poor signal-to-noise, the information in pop-(history, psychology, economics, etc.) books often is simply wrong or deceptive. Even scholarly books can misinform you or give you a very biased perspective; with millions (tens of millions?) of PhD's in the world, you can find a book that will say almost anything you like. Thankfully, the experts in each field effectively review the books…

The question then is: how do you find such books especially as a layman?

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#135
post #19

I think if you're really looking to get a sense of how the world works, the best stuff to read are journalistic accounts and histories. Just pick a subject your interested in, do a bit of googling on well regarded accounts of that subject, than go to town. The reason I think these are more valuable than the pop psychology/business airport books is they don't operate under the pretense that the world's great truths ca…

I also think histories and biographies can be great for high S/N nonfiction. Good examples that I really enjoyed include "Ignition" by John D. Clark and "Excuse me sir, would you like to buy a kilo of isopropyl bromide?" by Max Gergel.

I'll second these picks as having lots of information wrapped up inside engaging writing.

Ignition: http://web.gccaz.edu/~wkehowsk/ignition.pdf

"Excuse me, sir...": ftp://www.fourmilab.ch/pub/etexts/www/gergel/isopropyl_bromide.pdf

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#136
I'm guessing you mean excluding textbooks

  The Extended Phenotype
  Your Inner Fish
  Thinking Fast and Slow
  The Information
  Chaos
  Statistics in Plain English
  Fortune's Formula
  Fooled by Randomness
  A Random Walk Down Wall St.
  How to Win Friends and Influence People

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#138
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I started reading this book and am half way through and, although I'm not finished, I would have to disagree with you. This book is mostly pop-psychology with overstated implications and reliance on low-stake experiments that can not always be replicated. Also, the book glosses over actual results by saying "the participants were more likely to x than y". How much more likely? A typical example of psychological disco…

It's supposed to be an accessible version of "Heuristics and Biases". Saying Kahneman is pop psych... Well if you think so, then we should consider anything in psychology to be "pop".

Another issue I take with the work is the certainty in talking about the analysis of his experiments. Phrases like "we now know..." are used often.

For instance, one experiment shows that frowning can have effects on your disposition. As an experiment, a subject is told to hold a pencil in their mouth in a certain way as to unknowingly produce a frown or smile and then do some task. The difference between behaviors is then attributed to smiling or frowning, as though the only thing going on with a pencil awkwardly in your mouth is the smiling or frowning.

Maybe I do view all psychology in a negative way but I imagine I find it distasteful the same way (I imagine) most people find the study of IQ differences among races distasteful. Is this a valid field of study? I don't know and I don't care to know because the racist overtones are so strong.

Unfortunately psychology, especially 'pop' psychology has been used to deny people their free will and restrict freedoms.

It goes along with an overall trend of the sciences to rely more and more on statistical methods which I find troubling.

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#139
The Four Steps to the Epiphany - Steve Blank

Steve Jobs - Walter Isaacson

Artificial Life - Steven Levy

On Writing - Stephen King

Machine Learning for Hackers - Drew Conway and John Myles White

How Doctors Think - Jerome Goopman

Cholesterol Clarity: What The HDL Is Wrong With My Numbers? - Jimmy Moore & Eric C. Westman

Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco - Bryan Burrough & John Helyar

Re: Ask HN: Books with a high signal to noise ratio?

#140

There's another problem besides poor signal-to-noise, the information in pop-(history, psychology, economics, etc.) books often is simply wrong or deceptive. Even scholarly books can misinform you or give you a very biased perspective; with millions (tens of millions?) of PhD's in the world, you can find a book that will say almost anything you like. Thankfully, the experts in each field effectively review the books…

The question then is: how do you find such books especially as a layman?

I've tried to solve that challenge a few times now. Here's what I've learned so far, from most efficient to least:

* Ask an expert; this is a simple question for them. A university library's reference desk has worked well for me. For example, looking for books on Egypt, I contacted a university library referece desk and was connected to the library's Arabic Studies reference librarian, who had a Ph.D. in the field from an elite university. What was a challenging question for me was probably offhand knowledge for him. (Of course, respect their time (be prepared and patient) and the fact that you are not entitled to their services, but he seemed excited that a member of the public was interested and serious.)

* Look for scholarly articles reviewing publications in the field. I use Google Scholar but I get the impression JSTOR is better if you have access (I've never used it and know little about it). In each case I've read several articles to triangulate what is widely accepted and what is particular to that author, and to fill gaps in each author's coverage. However, I find the review articles themselves fascinating, almost essential background on what I want to read, and tend to get lost in them. Lacking expertise myself, I still feel uncertain about the conclusions I draw - what don't I know? what context am I missing? - there is no substitute for expertise.

* Look at class syllabi at universities. This has been slow going: I have to find the classes and the syllabi (if available), and then hope it includes more than an unannotated list of books.

* Do not: Use general web resources. It seems like the general web and the scholarly world are two separate silos of knowledge. I find 100x more valuable information in the scholarly articles, and random people on the web are often badly misinformed (this includes Amazon reviewers, a great source of complete nonsense that sounds good until you know better).

Overall, it makes me appreciate the resources available to university students, who have free and easy access to experts in a huge variety of fields, all paid to help them.

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